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re: Hurricane Milton - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:03 pm to
Posted by ColoradoAg03
Denver, CO
Member since Oct 2012
6629 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:03 pm to
LINK
University of Tampa Riverfront cam

LINK
Clearwater Pier Beach

LINK
Earthcam Fort Myers Riverfront

LINK
Margaritaville Fort Myers Beach

This post was edited on 10/8/24 at 10:06 pm
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51685 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:03 pm to
Here is a zoomed in view of the cone from the interactive map on the NHC website. The black line is the center line of the cone, but the center of the hurricane could go anywhere within the cone.

Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14263 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:05 pm to
Looks like a few changes to the peak surge forecasts

Posted by stuntman
Florida
Member since Jan 2013
10813 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:07 pm to
quote:

That storage facility is very close to ground zero. :(




For Irma, I parked my Boat and truck in a Walmart loading dock. Worked perfect.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216446 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:13 pm to
Tampa looks to be dodging a major bullet here.
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
42070 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:14 pm to
It’s cool to watch a monster like this eat its way around the ridge. Only deep layer steering is pushing this thing. Poleward he will go.
Posted by Tbonepatron
Member since Aug 2013
8462 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:14 pm to
Damn, that fricker started scootin in the last couple frames
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87962 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:15 pm to
Welp
Posted by NOSHAU
Member since Feb 2012
13716 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:15 pm to
quote:

Tampa looks to be dodging a major bullet here.
WAY too early to make that claim.
Posted by terd ferguson
Darren Wilson Fan Club President
Member since Aug 2007
114938 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:17 pm to
quote:

Tampa looks to be dodging a major bullet here.


RIP Tampa... anyone still there please leave now
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:17 pm to
quote:

The black line is the center line of the cone, but the center of the hurricane could go anywhere within the cone.


Also worth pointing out that the NHC doesn’t predict the line nor the cone - they only predict the center locations at various intervals.

Once those intervals are set, they connect them with the line. Then they draw a predetermined circle around each center that would encompass a 1 standard deviation miss (based on previous 5 years of misses) at each interval, then they connect the circles into a cone.

Understanding how the cone is formed can help you understand the shifts/misses/etc
Posted by GeauxFish31
Member since May 2024
3037 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:18 pm to
Yeah did the blue house survive Helene?
This post was edited on 10/8/24 at 10:20 pm
Posted by lsuguy84
Madisonville
Member since Feb 2009
27309 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:18 pm to
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87962 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:18 pm to
lol. Nerd.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:19 pm to
quote:

dukke v


quote:

Tampa looks to be dodging a major bullet here.


Id just get in the car now of I was in Tampa
This post was edited on 10/8/24 at 10:20 pm
Posted by Lonnie Utah
Utah!
Member since Jul 2012
34464 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:19 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:19 pm to
quote:

Tampa looks to be dodging a major bullet here.


PJ just Lehigh-ed Tampa
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
78304 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:20 pm to
quote:

Yeah Tampa may escape the worst of the surge but things are getting worse for points south.


How so? The updated surge maps are still showing 10-15 feet.
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5035 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:21 pm to
The global models are still way too close to Tampa. The 00z ICON is right is to the Tampa Bay. I wouldn’t declare Tampa safe yet
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51685 posts
Posted on 10/8/24 at 10:21 pm to
quote:

dukke v

Tampa looks to be dodging a major bullet here.

If only the people in the Tampa area who have chosen to stay knew what has just been unleashed upon them…
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