re: Hurricane Lane barrels toward Hawaii

got about 4 alerts since yesterday on the phone. everyone is stockpiling on gas and water here

Maui wont get hit as hard as Kauai or Oahu, should be okay

Update as of a few minutes ago 3:48 PM CDT...

WTPA32 PHFO 222048
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Lane Advisory Number 33
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP142018
1100 AM HST Wed Aug 22 2018

...HAWAIIAN ISLANDS REMAIN VULNERABLE AS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE
LANE PASSES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 155.9W
ABOUT 285 MI...455 KM S OF KAILUA-KONA HAWAII
ABOUT 420 MI...680 KM SSE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...935 MB...27.61 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Hawaii County
* Maui County...including the islands of Maui, Lanai, Molokai and
Kahoolawe


A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Oahu
* Kauai County...including the islands of Kauai and Niihau

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-
force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult
or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before
the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds,
conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

Interests in the the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands should monitor
the progress of Hurricane Lane.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by the National Weather Service office in
Honolulu Hawaii.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Lane was located
near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 155.9 West. Lane is moving
toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A gradual turn
toward the northwest is expected today followed by a more northward
motion on Thursday. A turn back toward the west is expected on
Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Lane will move very
close to or over the main Hawaiian Islands from Thursday through
Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher
gusts. Lane is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. A steady weakening trend is forecast to begin
today, but Lane is expected to remain a dangerous hurricane as it
approaches the islands.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 935 mb (27.61 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Hurricane
Warning area beginning late tonight into early Thursday morning,
with hurricane conditions expected somewhere within the warning area
on Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the
Hurricane Watch area beginning Thursday into Thursday night, with
hurricane conditions possible late Thursday night into Friday.

RAINFALL: Rainbands from Hurricane Lane are moving ashore on
the Puna and Kau districts. Excessive rainfall associated with Lane
is expected to affect portions of the Hawaiian Islands from late
today into the weekend. This could lead to major flash flooding and
landslides. Lane is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
10 to 15 inches with localized amounts in excess of 20 inches over
the Hawaiian Islands.

SURF: Large swells generated by Lane will impact the Hawaiian
Islands, spreading across the island chain today and tonight.
These swells will produce very large and potentially damaging surf
along exposed west, south and east facing shorelines.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM HST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster R Ballard

quote:

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Hawaii has some big mountains. I doubt it gets all of that 160 mph winds.

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Even getting hurricane force sustained winds will be a stretch based on the current projections.

I came for the Kiffin jokes - I'm staying for the witty banter.

quote:

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I should be sitting on Waikiki beach right now

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That’s unfortunate, we’re headed to the Kaneohe/Kailua area next Wednesday. Most of the models seem to have the storm passing along the southern side of the islands.

Everything moves in cycles... so twice a century the ocean lets us know just how small we really are. A storm comes out of Antarctica, tearing up the Pacific and it sends a huge swell north miles. And when it hits Bells Beach it'll turn into the biggest surf this planet has ever seen.

quote:

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Hurricane Lane surfs toward Hawaii

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FIFY

I'm supposed to land in Kauai on Sunday... not sure what's going to happen.