re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

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This should calm the nerves of Louisiana and TX

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because an unofficial hurricane tracker on twitter said so?

not sheriff srs

Sarcasm I hope

That's a huge margin of era bro and models have consistently trended westward days now. Went from fish storm to New York to North Carolina now a potential East GOM threat. Seems timing is everything here and where it tracks, how fast it goes and how fast the potential ridge forms could change everything.

The tracker twitter feed is fed from nhc.noaa.gov.

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It shifts further west each time a new model comes out. I don't think anyone's nerves can be calm right now

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Not only that, a 255 track this far out has an effect on how far west that pig gets before it tracks north. I'm thinking the panhandle is going to get smacked in the mouth.

It was around this time last year they got hit by the hurricane right or was that in later September? Can't remember the specific date. Bad thing is GOM is steroids for hurricanes I'd hate to see where it goes from there. Intensity models could change overnight just as they did for Harvey.

Agreed...anything getting it into the Gulf is worst case scenario.

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The tracker twitter feed is fed from nhc.noaa.gov.

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This is false. The hurrtracker graphics aren't from NHC, they are made by whoever is behind the hurrtracker app.

Read the fine print on the graphic, take it with a grain of salt.

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*Not an official NHC product. This outlook is issued by the Hurricane Tracker App

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shite, I haven't been paying attention to this at all - looks like this fricker may impact my parents in the Panhandle and then move up inland to my son's campus.

This hurricane season can suck a fat one.

Much thanks to all you "weather nerds" for keeping this thread updated and explaining it in layman's terms to those of us who don't speak meteorology.

I grew up in Florida but never lived there as an adult and we don't get hurricanes up here in North Alabama. I know tornados but I look at those hurricane forecasts and turn into Forrest Gump.

I'll be following this thread - thanks again for all the info!

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This should calm the nerves of Louisiana and TX

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I'm not saying people there should worry but just a quick comment on the beyond day 5. The NHC suspended their internal 7 day forecast because of the lack of skill it showed. So, the best forecasters in the world using the best data determined that it wasn't worthwhile to continue the internal long term forecast.

Considering if Irma does track into the GOM, it likely will have to cross the length of Cuba to get there, doesn't this help weaken it substantially? At least knock it down from major hurricane status?