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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:02 am to GEAUXmedic
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:02 am to GEAUXmedic
1
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:03 am to slackster
I've been looking at this track on this thing past few days. Haven't been following this thread as I didn't really want to worry too much. I've noticed it keeps shifting westward on the tracks which has me nervous for the rest of gulf coast. Is that unwarranted? I know it's still too early to predict but is it possible this thing becomes a SELA threat at some point or is something preventing it from being a major threat to shift this far west? Almost looks like it's doing something similar to the hurricane that hit Florida last year.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:03 am to rds dc
I don't care what anyone says, something that close to the gom makes me nervous in Louisiana
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:03 am to Fun Bunch
quote:
Getting worried again.
Saw pictures on the news this morning of empty store shelves already in Fla. Damn. However, after multiple stories of not enough bottled water for Harvey victims I can't really blame the Fla. folks.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:07 am to Homesick Tiger
Well, shite. I just looked at the NHS website and noticed that system out of Mexico has been upgraded. Wtf? That thing was a 20% chance last night. This hurricane season sucks. frick it all to hell. I can't wait for winter to roll around with cold fronts weekly. Can't believe I'm saying that. Any thread for the one by Mexico? Didn't see one in OT.
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 10:09 am
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:08 am to deuce985
quote:
system out of Mexico has been upgraded. Wtf?
the one in the bay of Campeche?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:09 am to deuce985
For anyone who has questions about ensemble models..
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:09 am to Homesick Tiger
I was at the grocery store this morn. people are loading up on water. I imagine NC and Fla. are quite nervous. And Tx and La. have PTSD no doubt so they are worried.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:10 am to iamAG
That's what I'm saying man. I've seen it go from a fish storm to possibly hitting panhandle in 3 days. What's stopping it from shifting further west? That's what I'm asking. Models seem to be pretty consistent on it taking a sharp turn northward at some point but question is when? Do we still have hope it can just die out to sea or is that high pressure firmly in place now?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:10 am to deuce985
quote:The Levi video posted here last night had it at a 10% chance of developing.
Well, shite. I just looked at the NHS website and noticed that system out of Mexico has been upgraded. Wtf? That thing was a 20% chance last night. This hurricane season sucks. frick it all to hell. I can't wait for winter to roll around with cold fronts weekly. Can't believe I'm saying that. Any thread for the one by Mexico? Didn't see one in OT.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:11 am to oldcharlie8
Yeah, went to a 40% chance to form now. Does seem to be tracking more westward which is a good thing for Texas/SELA.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:12 am to deltaland
quote:
Hey I don't want it to happen. Just how I see it playing out.
I know. Just fricking w/ you.
I am becoming increasingly uneasy about this. Farther west is bad news for the GOM, even if she makes the northward turn.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:13 am to slackster
quote:
The other bit of good news for the US is more and more models are forecasting an interaction with Cuba. A glancing blow won't do much, but we've seen what the mountainous terrain can do to hurricanes in the past, so a direct hit could help weaken the storm considerably.
Yep.
But I hate having to hope it hits someone else. And fish storm looks to be off the table.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:16 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Track Hurricane Irma @Track_Irma 2 minutes ago
#Hurricane #Irma Latest graphics, these will change daily, focus on the broad areas, not single lines. A strong CAT 4+ is very likley though
LINK
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 10:16 am
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:16 am to GEAUXmedic
Gonna be one hell of a right turn, sure hope somebody reminds her
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:16 am to udtiger
Waiting for this beast to take the northerly turn.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:16 am to udtiger
This hurricane season the models have consistently changed for bad news too which seems to be the theme for the entire season.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:19 am to Bestbank Tiger
Levi gonna have lots to say today
here's hoping that little ridge he talked about yesterday comes and sits its butt right over LA like he showed it might
here's hoping that little ridge he talked about yesterday comes and sits its butt right over LA like he showed it might
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:23 am to rt3
another hurricane hunter airplane has taken off to fly into Irma.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 10:25 am to lsuman25
quote:
another hurricane hunter airplane has taken off to fly into Irma.
I imagine they're going to be constant now
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