Started By
Message

re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:17 am to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:17 am to
extrapolated pressure is 921.3... would be a rise if the dropsonde agrees
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15263 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:19 am to
quote:

Oh sweet statistics. That'd be pretty cool to see the result of


Yeah out of sheer curiosity. Youd have a random effect on model type. Would have a population average model with deviations for each of the model runs having separate coefficients estimated as random effects. However, there are much smarter people than me who have probably looked at that.

Plus with nature of hurricanes being so chaotic in nature I'm sure that parametric stats are out the window lol
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15263 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:23 am to
quote:

extrapolated pressure is 921.3... would be a rise if the dropsonde agrees



That due to ERC?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:24 am to
potentially
Posted by TennesseeFan25
Honolulu
Member since May 2016
8391 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:26 am to
Mil
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:28 am to
Most likely the pressure rise has been due to the competing eyewalls tonight yes.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:39 am to
drop 4 of AF309's mission

position: 19.6 N 67.4 W (from drop #3: +0.2 N +0.5 W... from drop #1: +0.5N +1.4W)

pressure: 921 (+1 mb from Drop #3... +5 MB from Drop #1)

just over 2 hours after drop 3... just over 5 hours from drop 1
Posted by DoUrden
UnderDark
Member since Oct 2011
26155 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:39 am to
When will the next run data come out?

And there it is.
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 12:41 am
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:40 am to
Euro starts soon.

I never stay up and watch it, just wake up and see how the NHC cone shifted to know what it said.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:41 am to
NE eyewall has ~205 mph winds ~620 feet above the surface
Posted by DoUrden
UnderDark
Member since Oct 2011
26155 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:42 am to
quote:

I never stay up and watch it, just wake up and see how the NHC cone shifted to know what it said.


I am usually this way but this storm is once in a lifetime it seems and I have a vested interest (secondary.)
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 12:43 am
Posted by BOSCEAUX
Where the Down Boys go.
Member since Mar 2008
52356 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:43 am to
Ready for the Euro run. IMO important run to see if it stays where it is or aligns with the GFS track further to the east.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:46 am to
Euro is starting now

will take about an hour to fully run
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:50 am to
anyone have opinions about the storm's movement over the last 5 hours?

0.5 N 1.4 W
Posted by BRgetthenet
Member since Oct 2011
118249 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:52 am to
Sailing Mischief crew lives


Darwin took the day off with this crew.
Posted by DoUrden
UnderDark
Member since Oct 2011
26155 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:55 am to
Yeah, they are living the life they want and have the means to do it, I don't wish them ill will.
Posted by BRgetthenet
Member since Oct 2011
118249 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:56 am to
I'm almost positive they'd been taking money from strangers on the internet.

Ya know.....livin' the life.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:57 am to
quote:

I'm almost positive they'd been taking money from strangers on the internet.

Ya know.....livin' the life.

like Chicken?
Posted by DoUrden
UnderDark
Member since Oct 2011
26155 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:57 am to
quote:

I'm almost positive they'd been taking money from strangers on the internet.

Ya know.....livin' the life.


If I could find people stupid enough I would do it, a fool and their money.....
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:00 am to
NOAA9 did upper level readings earlier today... landed in Tampa... and just took off for another mission
Jump to page
Page First 337 338 339 340 341 ... 711
Jump to page
first pageprev pagePage 339 of 711Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on X, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookXInstagram