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Started By
Message
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:19 am to Duke
quote:
Oh sweet statistics. That'd be pretty cool to see the result of
Yeah out of sheer curiosity. Youd have a random effect on model type. Would have a population average model with deviations for each of the model runs having separate coefficients estimated as random effects. However, there are much smarter people than me who have probably looked at that.
Plus with nature of hurricanes being so chaotic in nature I'm sure that parametric stats are out the window lol
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:23 am to rt3
quote:
extrapolated pressure is 921.3... would be a rise if the dropsonde agrees
That due to ERC?
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:28 am to gaetti15
Most likely the pressure rise has been due to the competing eyewalls tonight yes.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:39 am to Duke
drop 4 of AF309's mission
position: 19.6 N 67.4 W (from drop #3: +0.2 N +0.5 W... from drop #1: +0.5N +1.4W)
pressure: 921 (+1 mb from Drop #3... +5 MB from Drop #1)
just over 2 hours after drop 3... just over 5 hours from drop 1
position: 19.6 N 67.4 W (from drop #3: +0.2 N +0.5 W... from drop #1: +0.5N +1.4W)
pressure: 921 (+1 mb from Drop #3... +5 MB from Drop #1)
just over 2 hours after drop 3... just over 5 hours from drop 1
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:39 am to Duke
When will the next run data come out?
And there it is.
And there it is.
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 12:41 am
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:40 am to DoUrden
Euro starts soon.
I never stay up and watch it, just wake up and see how the NHC cone shifted to know what it said.
I never stay up and watch it, just wake up and see how the NHC cone shifted to know what it said.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:41 am to rt3
NE eyewall has ~205 mph winds ~620 feet above the surface
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:42 am to Duke
quote:
I never stay up and watch it, just wake up and see how the NHC cone shifted to know what it said.
I am usually this way but this storm is once in a lifetime it seems and I have a vested interest (secondary.)
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 12:43 am
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:43 am to rt3
Ready for the Euro run. IMO important run to see if it stays where it is or aligns with the GFS track further to the east.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:46 am to BOSCEAUX
Euro is starting now
will take about an hour to fully run
will take about an hour to fully run
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:50 am to rt3
anyone have opinions about the storm's movement over the last 5 hours?
0.5 N 1.4 W
0.5 N 1.4 W
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:52 am to BRgetthenet
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:55 am to BRgetthenet
Yeah, they are living the life they want and have the means to do it, I don't wish them ill will.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:56 am to DoUrden
I'm almost positive they'd been taking money from strangers on the internet.
Ya know.....livin' the life.
Ya know.....livin' the life.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:57 am to BRgetthenet
quote:
I'm almost positive they'd been taking money from strangers on the internet.
Ya know.....livin' the life.
like Chicken?
Posted on 9/7/17 at 12:57 am to BRgetthenet
quote:
I'm almost positive they'd been taking money from strangers on the internet.
Ya know.....livin' the life.
If I could find people stupid enough I would do it, a fool and their money.....
Posted on 9/7/17 at 1:00 am to DoUrden
NOAA9 did upper level readings earlier today... landed in Tampa... and just took off for another mission
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