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Posted on 8/31/17 at 7:26 pm to rds dc
Bit of a westward shift on the 18z GEFS, now has a member into Florida.
Posted on 8/31/17 at 7:31 pm to rds dc
This is coming into the Gulf, isn't it?
Posted on 8/31/17 at 7:32 pm to Jim Rockford
Has pj said anything
Posted on 8/31/17 at 7:34 pm to jimbeam
quote:
Has pj said anything
Why????
BTW... Looking at what I am seeing.... The EAST Coast of the States will get hammerd by Irma........
Posted on 8/31/17 at 7:35 pm to dukke v
California is done for
Posted on 8/31/17 at 7:35 pm to dukke v
Posted on 8/31/17 at 7:35 pm to Gillnet
quote:
PJ says not to worry
Please God no!!! I don't wanna lose all my shite!
Posted on 8/31/17 at 7:35 pm to Gillnet
quote:
PJ says not to worry
Posted on 8/31/17 at 7:35 pm to dukke v
quote:
BTW... Looking at what I am seeing.... The EAST Coast of the States will get hammerd by Irma........
Goodbye Gulf Coast. It was nice knowing you.
Posted on 8/31/17 at 7:37 pm to Gillnet
quote:
PJ says not to worry
quote:
BTW... Looking at what I am seeing.... The EAST Coast of the States will get hammerd by Irma........
This post was edited on 8/31/17 at 7:38 pm
Posted on 8/31/17 at 7:38 pm to Gillnet
quote:
PJ says not to worry
nice knowing you guys
Posted on 8/31/17 at 7:40 pm to udtiger
quote:lol at peej downvoting everyone replying to him.
nice knowing you guys
Posted on 8/31/17 at 7:47 pm to dukke v
quote:
BTW... Looking at what I am seeing.... The EAST Coast of the States will get hammerd by Irma
It's not a hurricane thread without a Peej prediction.
FWIW, I'm leaning to an east coast result as well but it's a challenging forecast for now.
Posted on 8/31/17 at 7:52 pm to dukke v
quote:
BTW... Looking at what I am seeing.... The EAST Coast of the States will get hammerd by Irma........
Posted on 8/31/17 at 7:53 pm to Duke
Yup.... We're all dead. Good lord I hope he doesn't start making predictions about North Korea trying to nuke us!!!
Posted on 8/31/17 at 7:59 pm to rds dc
Found this nugget from earlier today by Dr. Jeff Masters on WunderGround:
quote:
quote:
To get a better sense of where Irma might go, it is often helpful to look at the ensemble forecasts from the European and GFS models. These forecasts take the operational high-resolution version of the models and impose slight variations in the initial atmospheric conditions, to simulate an ensemble of potential outcomes. They are run at lower resolution, so individual ensemble members are likely to be less reliable than the operational version. The GFS model runs 20 different ensemble forecasts, and the European model runs 50. One tool that I have found valuable is to look at the “high probability cluster” of the European model—the four ensemble members that have done the best job tracking Irma over the past day. Looking at Figure 2, the high probability cluster predicts that the Caribbean and U.S. Gulf Coast might be the most at-risk areas for a landfall by Irma.
Posted on 8/31/17 at 7:59 pm to dukke v
quote:
BTW... Looking at what I am seeing.... The EAST Coast of the States will get hammerd by Irma........
Damn we're screwed
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