re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

SUMMARY OF 600 PM EDT...2200 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...33.9N 76.3W
ABOUT 90 MI...140 KM ESE OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM E OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...8 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES

At least 18 hours until landfall - if she doesn't slow down even more. 100 / forward speed = ~20 inches of rain potential just until landfall.

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Purple Jennifer is BACK!!!

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I've got a hot tower forming too

keep fighting the good fight, Kevin!!!

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23 Devastating flooding across much of the county. Travel is nearly impossible with numerous roads countywide impassable or washed out. Many homes across the county are inundated.

20 Widespread flooding over much of the county. Many roads flooded and impassable including Highways 41 and 50 and Interstate 40. Numerous homes and communities near the river are surrounded by water.

17 Numerous roads flooded. Water floods Highways 41 and 50, and parts of Interstate 40. Areas many miles from the river are flooded due to tributaries backing up.

16 Many secondary roads are flooded. Water affects Highways 41 and 50 and travel delays are likely. Areas many miles from the river are affected as small streams backup and flood. Muddy Creek, Cypress Creek, and Island Creek flood areas around Chinquapin. Significant flooding in the River Landing community in Wallace occurs as well.

15 Secondary roads adjacent to the river flood and may be impassable. Tributaries that drain into the river flood secondary roads. Water surrounds homes and properties in the River Landing community in Wallace.

13 Low land flooding adjacent to the river and its tributaries is expected. Tributaries of the Northeast Cape Fear River likely produce low land flooding.

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Duplin County (/'du?pl?n/)[1] is a county located in the U.S. state of North Carolina. As of the 2010 census, the population was 58,505.[2] Its county seat is Kenansville.[3]

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And hot towers are firing around the center. Winds are already back up.

She's not going away without a fight.

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Why the hell not? This storm has completely mocked the best professionals in the country, over the last 36-48 hours when it comes to intensity. So why not blow up 10-15 mph 100 miles offshore?

Keep holding on Kevin....just for one more day

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A pro met going with this statement on Twitter:

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I am fearing that this might be the early stage of a rapid intensification process of #HurricaneFlorence. Another burst of convection to the north of the eye of the hurricane in recent frames. We'll see if this cyclonically wrapping eyewall completes its orbit around the eye

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Nah.

The storm is bad enough. She'll do plenty of damage whether the winds pick up 10 mph or not. This guy is just trying to get followers, and the people that follow mets on Twitter love this kind of sensationalism.

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I'm sure she's churned up much colder water to the surface so that somewhat defeats the benefit of the gulf stream..but would it decrease the water temp enough to just halt any strengthening?

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This will become someones doctoral thesis about the thermodynamics of a huge tropical cyclone sitting over a constant flow heat source, versus the kinetic energy spent with a giant storm.

I guess we will find out soon enough what happens .

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Alex needs to lose the rain jacket

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Her pressure has dropped and her wind speed increased (as slightly as it may be).

The question is how long does it last, and does her giant size upwell enough ocean outside the gulf stream to affect convection.