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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

Posted on 9/11/18 at 9:58 pm to
Posted by jefffan
Florence- Sumter- Columbia, SC
Member since Sep 2013
4971 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 9:58 pm to
11pm should be coming out any moment
Posted by TigerNAtux
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2007
18622 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 9:58 pm to
Why does the NAM look so realistic?

Other models need to step up their animation.
Posted by Dlab2013
Pineville, Luzianna
Member since Jun 2013
9529 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 10:00 pm to
This has been a damn good thread, but as an adjuster, the insurance carriers still don’t have faith in the models. We’ve seen it change too many times in the last day. I’m gonna camp out in Western NC in “wait and see mode” to see where the actual flooding/claims are coming in. We don’t expect Flood Claims to really start coming in until next Monday or so.

Friday/Sat will give us a better idea of what is really occurring
Posted by jefffan
Florence- Sumter- Columbia, SC
Member since Sep 2013
4971 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 10:00 pm to
If that's true Outer Banks may survive after all.

Anyone in the Pee Dee is going to be impacted more and more.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21505 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 10:01 pm to
The models had trended towards killing off Isaac in the Caribbean but now the ensembles are starting to trend back towards Isaac making the trek across and then turning north. This will be an interesting to trend to watch over the next couple of days.

Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102613 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 10:02 pm to
quote:

Wish Trump would ban Asian imports.


They’ve been reduced a good bit through the new usda inspections
Posted by HoldenOversoul
South Carolina
Member since Oct 2012
520 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 10:02 pm to
That latest update just sent it right through my hometown, Lake Waccamaw in SE North Carolina. shite
Posted by jefffan
Florence- Sumter- Columbia, SC
Member since Sep 2013
4971 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 10:04 pm to
NHC track is very concerning for anyone in SC
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 10:04 pm to
quote:

What’s a good time to check in for next forecast?



You ask and the NHC obliges.

Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102613 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 10:04 pm to
Great and I have to travel to New Orleans next weekend
Posted by jackmanusc
Columbia, SC
Member since Apr 2012
3948 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 10:05 pm to
Flo to SC

This post was edited on 9/11/18 at 10:05 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 10:05 pm to
quote:

NHC track is very concerning for anyone in SC


Not really, at least not yet. Heavier rainfall totals will still be to the E and NE of the center.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178840 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 10:05 pm to
Conclusion: models don’t ever know shite 4-5 days out
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53879 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 10:07 pm to
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178840 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 10:07 pm to
Gulf to New Jersey, sounds about right
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30509 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 10:08 pm to
Isaac can go frick himself
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 10:08 pm to
quote:

Why does the NAM look so realistic?

Other models need to step up their animation.


It's got a resolution of 3km. The HRRR is another short range model with exceptional resolution.

On a side note, these hurricane threads always screw up my predictive texts for months. The acronyms are out of control and now my phone just gives up on autocorrect.
Posted by jefffan
Florence- Sumter- Columbia, SC
Member since Sep 2013
4971 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 10:08 pm to
Very true.

Gonna be terrible for a lot of people for several days no matter where it is.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21505 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 10:09 pm to
Pressure up a bit as another ERC appears to be under way

Posted by AubieALUMdvm
Member since Oct 2011
11713 posts
Posted on 9/11/18 at 10:13 pm to
Well, shite
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