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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 9/11/18 at 8:16 am to mikeboss550
Comparing last two NE eyewall drops, she looks to be regaining strength.
112@969 vs 124@965
Flight recon also report closed eye:
Hold onto your butts!
This post was edited on 9/11/18 at 8:19 am
Posted on 9/11/18 at 8:18 am to 50_Tiger
Just waiting for the eye to clear.
Posted on 9/11/18 at 8:21 am to 50_Tiger
Posted on 9/11/18 at 8:23 am to deltaland
Posted on 9/11/18 at 8:24 am to 50_Tiger
Cat5 at 11am update?
Posted on 9/11/18 at 8:26 am to jefffan
quote:
Cat5 at 11am update?
No.
Posted on 9/11/18 at 8:28 am to When in Rome
Looks like a sphincter spasm.
ETA: That Fema dude.
ETA: That Fema dude.
This post was edited on 9/11/18 at 8:30 am
Posted on 9/11/18 at 8:29 am to When in Rome
my god that thing looks angry
Posted on 9/11/18 at 8:30 am to maxxrajun70
She’s on her period of course she’s angry
Posted on 9/11/18 at 8:39 am to jackmanusc
My gf is on hers this weekend....I'm buying copious amounts of cheap wine tonight
Posted on 9/11/18 at 8:48 am to jefffan
Trying to figure out what the storm is going to do after landfall.
Posted on 9/11/18 at 8:50 am to GetCocky11
URNT12 KNHC 111255
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL062018
A. 11/12:31:50Z
B. 26.51 deg N 064.84 deg W
C. 700 mb 2668 m
D. 951 mb
E. 165 deg 8 kt
F. CLOSED
G. C32
H. 108 kt
I. 063 deg 19 nm 12:26:00Z
J. 150 deg 143 kt
K. 062 deg 21 nm 12:25:00Z
L. 107 kt
M. 232 deg 17 nm 12:37:00Z
N. 330 deg 108 kt
O. 232 deg 17 nm 12:37:00Z
P. 12 C / 3048 m
Q. 15 C / 3049 m
R. 7 C / NA
S. 12345 / 07
T. 0.02 / 2 nm
U. AF308 0706A FLORENCE OB 15
MAX FL WIND 143 KT 062 / 21 NM 12:25:00Z
MAX FL TEMP 16 C 068 / 13 NM FROM FL CNT
F tells you about the eyewall structure. So this would suggest the eyewall replacement is over. Now it's watching for the eye to clear out and the next strengthening phase to begin.
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL062018
A. 11/12:31:50Z
B. 26.51 deg N 064.84 deg W
C. 700 mb 2668 m
D. 951 mb
E. 165 deg 8 kt
F. CLOSED
G. C32
H. 108 kt
I. 063 deg 19 nm 12:26:00Z
J. 150 deg 143 kt
K. 062 deg 21 nm 12:25:00Z
L. 107 kt
M. 232 deg 17 nm 12:37:00Z
N. 330 deg 108 kt
O. 232 deg 17 nm 12:37:00Z
P. 12 C / 3048 m
Q. 15 C / 3049 m
R. 7 C / NA
S. 12345 / 07
T. 0.02 / 2 nm
U. AF308 0706A FLORENCE OB 15
MAX FL WIND 143 KT 062 / 21 NM 12:25:00Z
MAX FL TEMP 16 C 068 / 13 NM FROM FL CNT
F tells you about the eyewall structure. So this would suggest the eyewall replacement is over. Now it's watching for the eye to clear out and the next strengthening phase to begin.
Posted on 9/11/18 at 8:52 am to ForeverLSU02
quote:
quote:
The "GFS" posted earlier is an experimental version.
I removed it so it doesn't create confusion
If it was the FV3, then that appears to be performing better than the current GFS. The FV3 had some issues earlier in the season but they made some tweaks and it has responded well. It has a superior micro-physics package compared to the current GFS and that may be one of the reasons it has been left of the current GFS with the landfall of Florence.
Posted on 9/11/18 at 8:54 am to rds dc
Posted on 9/11/18 at 8:55 am to Duke
quote:
Now it's watching for the eye to clear out and the next strengthening phase to begin.
That eye looks like its going to be rather large, and it still has its warmest waters in front of her.
Posted on 9/11/18 at 8:59 am to Duke
Looks like that last frame shows eye clearing
Posted on 9/11/18 at 8:59 am to maxxrajun70
Someone should create a TD cane thread Bingo board featuring such phrases as: “My God”, “this thing”, “monster”....etc, etc.
Posted on 9/11/18 at 9:02 am to 50_Tiger
She's still got work to do. Eye isn't nice and rounded yet and the SW side is a little light on convection. That being said, the cloud tops are generally cooling around the system, next recon ought to be interesting.
Posted on 9/11/18 at 9:02 am to Duke
Clearing it out. That was fast.
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