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re: Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada

Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:23 pm to
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46763 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:23 pm to
quote:

I hope they don’t see a spider on the plane.....


There is no way they will be able to agree on what color/pattern for the curtains.
Posted by Pepperoni
Mar-a-Lago
Member since Aug 2013
4257 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:23 pm to
quote:

Last time we had a first female going into the air was also in Florida and the Challenger exploded. Let’s hope it doesn’t happen again.


Sally Ride 1983, died of cancer in 2012
Christa McAuliffe 1986 Challenger Disaster
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:23 pm to


Levi Cowan
@TropicalTidbits
·
6m
An SFMR-derived surface wind estimate of 106 mph was just measured in #Dorian's northern eyewall by recon aircraft.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102502 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:24 pm to
quote:

Levi seems to be leaning heavily toward this thing not making its way into the gulf.



Appears if it makes it then you’d be looking a panhandle landfall. Likely won’t make it very far west in the gulf if it gets in the gulf. Worst case as far as widespread damage is if it goes up the peninsula, or worse makes it in the gulf and skirts the west coast of Florida without much weakening
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21473 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:28 pm to
12z EPS vs 18z EPS



Posted by roadGator
DeBoar’s dome
Member since Feb 2009
157548 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:30 pm to
shite. That's worse.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102502 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:30 pm to
quote:

SFMR-derived surface wind estimate of 106 mph was just measured in #Dorian's northern eyewall by recon aircraft.



This storm is getting stronger way sooner than expected it seems. It’s shrugging off the little bit of shear from the ULL
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131395 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:31 pm to
An eyewall run up the east coast of FL with no landfall and minimal weakening would be insane
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21473 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:32 pm to
quote:

Holding steady at 980 mb for now and no direction change


This next VDM might show a pretty good drop?
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131395 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:33 pm to
quote:

all female hurricane hunter crew


Glass ceiling!
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:34 pm to
Looks like some deep convection is blowing up around the center (the black and white cloud tops).

This post was edited on 8/29/19 at 9:35 pm
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53871 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:36 pm to




Hampton Inn looks pretty strong-rates going for $102 for Sunday night.

LINK
This post was edited on 8/29/19 at 9:44 pm
Posted by roadGator
DeBoar’s dome
Member since Feb 2009
157548 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:36 pm to
That's not in a flood zone?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21473 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:37 pm to
quote:

Looks like some deep convection is blowing up around the center (the black and white cloud tops).


It has been pulsing all day but we haven't seen it wrap all the way around the eye, once that happens...
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:38 pm to
What's the black circles on the EPS guidance? That doesn't appear to be the track of the actual 12z operational run.
Posted by tigerpimpbot
Chairman of the Pool Board
Member since Nov 2011
69069 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:39 pm to
quote:

all female hurricane hunter crew


Maybe they can design a collapsible bridge in Miami
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:39 pm to
quote:

It has been pulsing all day but we haven't seen it wrap all the way around the eye, once that happens...


Yeah, it's gotta only be a matter of time before it blows up and stays there.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131395 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:41 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:43 pm to
quote:

This next VDM might show a pretty good drop?


979mb
This post was edited on 8/29/19 at 9:44 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21473 posts
Posted on 8/29/19 at 9:44 pm to
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