re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

Question for the experts: if this thing intensifies into a Cat 3 or 4, could the inertia from the storm affect current predictions of stalling out around or south of Houston?

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Well, Cat.3/4 winds are a tad bit more than "gusty"...

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esp. if the gusty winds never want to leave

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I've been flying about once every 5-6 weeks the past 4 years...and I still feel like that on about every damn flight. Can't be good for my mental state.

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Xanax. Find some. It works wonders for this particular anxiety.

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Flooding is the most dangerous aspect of this storm. No one gives a shite if it's a little gusty

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Are you fricking serious? There are people who will likely experience 100 mph winds for over an entire fricking day.

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IF it gets to cat 3 or 4. I stand by what I said with regards to what causes the most damage and impact to the city. It's the storm hanging over the city for 3 days and torrential down pour

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Would suck to get all that rain. Especially with the roof of your house blown off

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Question for the experts: if this thing intensifies into a Cat 3 or 4, could the inertia from the storm affect current predictions of stalling out around or south of Houston?

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It doesn't really work that way. The GFS has it bottoming out at 937 mb, yet still stalls it and backs it up SE over a 48 hour window.

I'm not saying the winds don't suck. Pick your poison. Not really worth arguing about as I don't feel strongly about anything and I am not an expert. Just saying the rain and flooding is still a factor

New Orleans had a press conference:

Via @JAdelson

New Orleans Homeland Security Director Aaron Miller:

Current forecast of between 5 and 8 inches of rain, possibly more.
Landrieu has requested FEMA preposition resources in area ahead of Harvey.
We remain at diminished pump capacity. If system as strong as predicted, we would see some localized flooding even at full capacity
Make sure those with special needs sign up for special needs registry through 3-1-1
Please remove grass, leaves and other visible debris from catch basin openings before and after rainstorm
Crews working 24/7 to bring pumps back online, generators installed and available to be turned on
Variety of assets moved into region and city, emergency supplies and contingency equip, first responder supplies.

Landrieu: 5 to 10 inches of rain predicted during Harvey, potential for double in localized areas
Landrieu stressing that NWS is saying forecasts are subject to change
In meeting with FEMA administrator Brock Long, requested assets be pre-positioned for heavy rains
High water vehicles, boats and barricades have been staged if we need them
105 of 120 pumps operational, 2 of 5 turbines operational. We remain in a state of diminished capacity until all are restored

Landrieu: We have an evacuation plan for a Cat 3 hurricane, the question is whether there's a different trigger. The answer is not yet
NWS can't tell how large rain bands are going to be or how serious the rain will be
We don't want to make the call (on evacuation) until we have clarity (on what the situation will be)
Landrieu, addressing reports of Lakeview as first area to be evacuated: One of many scenarios that were being considered
Landrieu: We're in a more vulnerable space than we should be in
Landrieu: These rain bands are significant enough that even if S&WB were at full capacity we could see flooding

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New Orleans Homeland Security Director Aaron Miller:

Current forecast of between 5 and 8 inches of rain, possibly more.
Landrieu has requested FEMA preposition resources in area ahead of Harvey.
We remain at diminished pump capacity. If system as strong as predicted, we would see some localized flooding even at full capacity
Make sure those with special needs sign up for special needs registry through 3-1-1
Please remove grass, leaves and other visible debris from catch basin openings before and after rainstorm
Crews working 24/7 to bring pumps back online, generators installed and available to be turned on
Variety of assets moved into region and city, emergency supplies and contingency equip, first responder supplies.

Landrieu: 5 to 10 inches of rain predicted during Harvey, potential for double in localized areas
Landrieu stressing that NWS is saying forecasts are subject to change
In meeting with FEMA administrator Brock Long, requested assets be pre-positioned for heavy rains
High water vehicles, boats and barricades have been staged if we need them
105 of 120 pumps operational, 2 of 5 turbines operational. We remain in a state of diminished capacity until all are restored

Landrieu: We have an evacuation plan for a Cat 3 hurricane, the question is whether there's a different trigger. The answer is not yet
NWS can't tell how large rain bands are going to be or how serious the rain will be
We don't want to make the call (on evacuation) until we have clarity (on what the situation will be)
Landrieu, addressing reports of Lakeview as first area to be evacuated: One of many scenarios that were being considered
Landrieu: We're in a more vulnerable space than we should be in
Landrieu: These rain bands are significant enough that even if S&WB were at full capacity we could see flooding

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I dont understand how they can even predict that amount of rain at this point...where are they getting this info?