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Message

re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:27 pm to
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:27 pm to
Irma forming off the east coast would help pull the ridge east, allowing Harvey to move more east... and there's currently a 70% chance of Irma forming within 48 hours.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:28 pm to
Thursday Morning.
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10139 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

Nah man, you can take some of this rain, we have had more than our quota


Sure have and wish all yall the best of luck
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
184252 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

Brother lives in Moss Bluff north of Sam Houston State Park ... almost intersects Joe Miller Road. He's out of the country right now ... worries or no??



Joe Miller Rd area floods pretty easily
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
90261 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:30 pm to
Posted by CorporateTiger
Member since Aug 2014
10700 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:30 pm to
Anyone have thoughts on floor to lay down in our house?
Posted by Samso
nyc
Member since Jun 2013
5081 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:30 pm to
So happy I left Houston Friday morning
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40251 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:30 pm to
Well shite ... when you get to the end of Joe Miller, turn right and his hood is on the left. Poor fella -- he's hunting in Canada and his truck is a at a hotel in Houston which is where he flew out of. Not sure when he's coming home BUT I'd expect it was supposed to be today or tomorrow. Guess his plans will change.
Posted by FunroePete
The Big Cheezy
Member since Dec 2012
1531 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:31 pm to
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40251 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:31 pm to
I like our concrete floors. Sorry this is happening to you. Really.
Posted by BeachDude022
Premium Elite Platinum TD Member
Member since Dec 2006
36567 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:36 pm to
Damn man, sorry it got you
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
59328 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:37 pm to
Why would FEMA send 100 ambulances for flooding? Not trying to be a dick but you've routinely claimed to have "sources" and been proven wrong multiple times
Posted by CorporateTiger
Member since Aug 2014
10700 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:38 pm to
Nothing you can do about it, hopefully it doesn't get worse and we should get away with laying a new floor and replacing a piece of furniture or two.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40251 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:39 pm to
Is water already IN the house?? IF NOT, get every pot and pan and bucket and big glass that you have and put legs of furniture in them. It worked for lots of people here last August. Best of luck.
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
43351 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

Fulshear Drone Footage


Used to be good goose hunting there.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:40 pm to
Here we go.



MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0743
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
209 PM EDT SUN AUG 27 2017

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST TX & SOUTHERN LA

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING LIKELY

VALID 271808Z - 280008Z

SUMMARY...RAINFALL FROM HARVEY CONTINUES PROGRESSING INTO LA WHILE
PERSISTING IN SOUTHEAST TX. SIGNIFICANT TO CATASTROPHIC FLASH
FLOODING CONTINUES IN SOUTHEAST TX WHILE IT EXPANDS FARTHER INTO
LA.


DISCUSSION...RADAR IMAGERY HAS SHOWN AS EASTWARD MOVEMENT TO
HARVEY AS OF LATE, WHICH MOVED THE EARLIER BANDS FROM SOUTHEAST TX
INTO SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL LA. NEW BANDS CONTINUE TO FORM
NEAR AND WEST OF HOUSTON, BUT REMAIN 50 MILES AWAY FROM ITS
CENTER. THE INNERMOST BAND IS TRYING TO WRAP AROUND ITS NORTHERN
SIDE AS ELEVATED CONVECTION. OVERALL, THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
REMAINS MAINLY WITHIN THE SYSTEM'S NORTHEAST QUADRANT. DRIER AIR
AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT CONTINUES SWEEPING AROUND ITS WESTERN AND
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY WHICH IS GIVING ITS CLOUD PATTERN AN INCREASING
COMMA-LIKE APPEARANCE; DEW POINT FALLS OF 10F WERE SEEN OVER THE
PAST SEVEN HOURS AT BROWNSVILLE TX. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE
2.2-2.7" PER RECENT GPS DATA. INFLOW AT 850 HPA IS CYCLONIC OUT
OF THE SOUTHEAST AT 20-45 KTS, 50-100% GREATER THAN THE MEAN
850-400 HPA WIND. THE ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM BANDS ARE BEING
AIDED BY FAIRLY UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW WITH HEIGHT IN THE LOW- TO
MID-LEVELS OF THE TROPOSPHERE AND 25-35 KTS OF EFFECTIVE BULK
SHEAR.

THE MESOSCALE GUIDANCE AT 12Z SHOWED A DISTINCT SHIFT TO THE EAST
IN THE RAINFALL PATTERN, WHICH GENERALLY MATCHES RECENT RADAR
TRENDS AND MOTION OF HARVEY. RAIN BANDS SHOULD CONTINUE RADIATING
EASTWARD OUT OF HARVEY UNTIL AT LEAST SUNSET, WITH THE EASTWARD
LIMIT DEFINED BY THE FLOW AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF A DEEPENING LOW
OFFSHORE GA. HOURLY RAIN TOTALS UP TO 3" ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THIS
MOIST AIR MASS. THE MESOSCALE GUIDANCE SHOWS A GOOD SIGNAL FOR 6"
OF RAIN, WHICH IS BELIEVABLE WITHIN THIS CONVECTIVE CYCLONE.

THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING IS INCREASING ACROSS SOUTHERN LA AS
SOILS SATURATE, WHILE SIGNIFICANT TO CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING
CONTINUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TX, INCLUDING THE HOUSTON
METROPOLITAN AREA. THE AVERAGE RAINFALL WITHIN THE HARRIS COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT NETWORK HAS EXCEEDED THAT OF TROPICAL STORM
ALLISON (2001) IN ALMOST HALF OF THE TIME (2-3 VERSUS 5 DAYS).
HISTORIC FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THE HOUSTON
METROPOLITAN AREA THROUGH THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
Posted by redstick13
Lower Saxony
Member since Feb 2007
41321 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

How's Rockport, Houston,


Rockport took a direct hit.
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
59328 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:41 pm to
THat drone footage should be titled "cloudy day in Fulshear"
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

*** by dukke v
No worries for the U.S. mainland which is good.... Mexico is gonna get fricking slammed...... looks like nothing that is gonna do damage to this storm as far as strength.


Still the all-time best weather predictor hands down.
Posted by CorporateTiger
Member since Aug 2014
10700 posts
Posted on 8/27/17 at 1:41 pm to
We put as much as possible up on the big furniture and left on Friday. Nothing we can do now but wait and see. Already texting people to see what supplies they will need whenever we can manage to get back into town.
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