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Started By
Message
re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:43 am to slackster
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:43 am to slackster
quote:
The scale only goes up to 24+ inches, but there are ares in there that are projected for 24 inches in 24 hours, so the totals are much higher.
A lot of that falls while the center is to the west of Houston/Galveston. Constant southerly winds will back up rivers and bays. This is a worst case scenario unfolding.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:44 am to rds dc
quote:
A lot of that falls while the center is to the west of Houston/Galveston. Constant southerly winds will back up rivers and bays. This is a worst case scenario unfolding.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:48 am to rds dc
quote:
Constant southerly winds will back up rivers and bays.
That is a lot of water moving straight up the Houston Ship Channel.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:49 am to slackster
This would be a major problem.
50.3" near El Campo.
50.3" near El Campo.
This post was edited on 8/23/17 at 11:49 am
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:49 am to rds dc
quote:
Constant southerly winds will back up rivers and bays.
I'm assuming those rivers and bays are the ones in East Texas and Southwestern LA? Assuming it's current projections are accurate?
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:50 am to rds dc
quote:
12z GFS is weaker and doesn't dig as much with that S/W. There is no weakness for Harvey to escape towards and the ridge builds back over the top forcing Harvey back to the SW.
Should be a nice couch weekend for me!
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:53 am to slackster
50 inches in a matter of 7 days.....i assume 90% of that would be dumped in a 24-48hr period
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:57 am to tke857
it's going right over my camp in Matagorda
frick
frick
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:58 am to tke857
quote:
50 inches in a matter of 7 days.....i assume 90% of that would be dumped in a 24-48hr period
For the most part. The rain totals are minimal through the first 60 hours.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 11:58 am to cgrand
Just landed in Houston and heading home. Lafayette still projected so far for 8-10"?
Posted on 8/23/17 at 12:00 pm to deuce985
Seems like the projections get worse hourly
Posted on 8/23/17 at 12:02 pm to slackster
quote:
50.3" near El Campo.
My moms entire family farms there
Posted on 8/23/17 at 12:02 pm to Paul Allen
Does it look like it will be out of lake Charles by Wednesday? I fly lake Charles to Dallas on the 30th
Posted on 8/23/17 at 12:05 pm to GeauxMariners
Wednesday? Thats when this thing will be kicking up. You aint flying no where out of LC on the 30th


Posted on 8/23/17 at 12:06 pm to dukke v
quote:
No worries for the U.S. mainland
Every. Damn. Time.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 12:07 pm to texag7
quote:
My moms entire family farms there
I've got a ton of family in Cuero. Hopefully these numbers fail to verify.
Posted on 8/23/17 at 12:11 pm to tke857
That picture shows a pretty healthy, organized storm. Is that with the assumption it stays close enough to the coast that it can maintain? What strength does it project it to be at that point?
Posted on 8/23/17 at 12:14 pm to FelicianaTigerfan
Houston fam.
Thought I'd get out ahead of mass hysteria and pick up all the dry goods I could before this afternoon. It's already taking place at the Woodlands HEB. No more gallons of water. Bottled water supply is almost gone.
Better to get out now and stick up before waiting in lines folks
Thought I'd get out ahead of mass hysteria and pick up all the dry goods I could before this afternoon. It's already taking place at the Woodlands HEB. No more gallons of water. Bottled water supply is almost gone.
Better to get out now and stick up before waiting in lines folks
Posted on 8/23/17 at 12:15 pm to FelicianaTigerfan
quote:
Is that with the assumption it stays close enough to the coast that it can maintain? What strength does it project it to be at that point
It is nothing more than a tropical storm, if that, in that image.
For the time being, wind speed doesn't appear to be a major concern in any global models.
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