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Message
3
Posted on 8/22/17 at 3:12 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Just noticed that the NHC now gives is a 100% chance of developing.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 3:13 pm to tgrbaitn08
Plays off? Of Pays off?
Posted on 8/22/17 at 3:15 pm to ell_13
quote:
Of Pays off?
Fail
Posted on 8/22/17 at 3:17 pm to ell_13
I didnt even notice that...I obviously didnt make that meme...the internet is so dumnb
Posted on 8/22/17 at 3:19 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Just noticed that the NHC now gives is a 100% chance of developing.
At this point does it even matter if it forms or not its going to be a ton of rain for someone regardless.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 3:20 pm to TDsngumbo
We need the rain here big time.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 3:21 pm to LSU5508
quote:
At this point does it even matter if it forms or not its going to be a ton of rain for someone regardless.
I'd say yes. That wind ain't no joke. Just how much will this lil bitch get is the question.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 3:26 pm to Turftoe
Anyone know what the forecasts were last year for the flood? I know 7 days out, it had the rain/low mostly towards the panhandle. But I can't find many local details. Every time I search historical/past forecasts, even when using a target date, I get almost nothing. It's either the actual historical data, or the local news site has scrubbed their archive. Help?
Posted on 8/22/17 at 3:30 pm to ell_13
I remember them bc I'm a weather freak.
The Monday prior to crap hitting the fan, they were still projecting that system to only go as far west as MS/AL, with BR and SWLA only getting a little bit of rain on TH and FR.
It wasn't until Wednesday morning when we woke up it was "oh crap, this isn't going to be good".
The Monday prior to crap hitting the fan, they were still projecting that system to only go as far west as MS/AL, with BR and SWLA only getting a little bit of rain on TH and FR.
It wasn't until Wednesday morning when we woke up it was "oh crap, this isn't going to be good".
Posted on 8/22/17 at 3:36 pm to EZE Tiger Fan
At some point the forecast had the heavy rain in central LA. Northwest of Baton Rouge was supposed to be the worst hit.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 3:37 pm to ell_13
quote:
. Every time I search historical/past forecasts, even when using a target date, I get almost nothing. It's either the actual historical data, or the local news site has scrubbed their archive. Help?
Try this. LINK
Search for 8/09/2016 and work your way closer to the forecast on 8/12.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 3:41 pm to ell_13
This was the forecast from 8/12/16.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 3:42 pm to slackster
Good stuff. Thanks. Any chance you know where to get something from the Euro or GFS?
Posted on 8/22/17 at 3:45 pm to ell_13
Latest has euro to Brownsville; GFS to Galveston...
Posted on 8/22/17 at 3:45 pm to ell_13
So, basically the drive back from the beach on Sunday is going to suck tremendously.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 3:45 pm to LSU5508
quote:
At this point does it even matter
I think it does. A constant strong southerly wind would compound river flooding if 15" of rain falls at the same time. Rivers would rise just from the wind alone and 15" of rainfall on top of that wouldn't be good.
Posted on 8/22/17 at 3:56 pm to TDsngumbo
How reliable are the NAM models?
Posted on 8/22/17 at 3:59 pm to TDsngumbo
WPC Rain Totals
This post was edited on 8/22/17 at 4:01 pm
Posted on 8/22/17 at 4:03 pm to rds dc
Seems to be consolidating rather quickly near the NW tip of the Yucatan
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