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Message

re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:28 am to
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166766 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:28 am to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:28 am to
The spaghetti models, Euro, and GFS are all in agreement that this will be an issue in western LA, at a minimum.
Posted by Boudreaux35
BR
Member since Sep 2007
22281 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:29 am to


See how that dark area/band in the NE quadrant seems to be moving away? Is there any chance that the ridge to the NW or wind shear to the north and NW might help break this system down once it gets on land and begins to weaken?
Posted by Festus
With Skillet
Member since Nov 2009
86127 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:29 am to
Has Peej weighed in recently with any prediction, and if so, can you direct me to the page? I need to make some decisions.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:31 am to
quote:


I'm not excited for this storm to hit anyone, but I am excited to see the battle between the two ridges


Yeah, I find severe weather to be an incredible thing to view and study, but I hate when it impacts folks. Give me this same setup in the middle of the Atlantic instead.
Posted by tke857
Member since Jan 2012
12195 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:32 am to
from Tropical tidbits
quote:

Latest dropsonde dropped in #Harvey's eye measured 949mb pressure with 10 kt wind, so possibly 948mb. 2-3mb lower than 2 hours ago.
Posted by TH03
Mogadishu
Member since Dec 2008
172004 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:32 am to
It won't hit the US. Only Mexico
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:33 am to
quote:


Has Peej weighed in recently with any prediction, and if so, can you direct me to the page? I need to make some decisions


Only good news is he thinks this will be bad now.

Him completely whiffing on a prediction 7 days out was a stone cold lock.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:33 am to
quote:


Has Peej weighed in recently with any prediction, and if so, can you direct me to the page? I need to make some decisions


Why do you people continue to give him so much attention. It's useless, the whole meme of his predictions has jumped the shark. There are some tropes here that we need to move on from...

No offense, but these threads always go well until some OG OTer comes in and brings up a joke or something that only him and the few other older members left think are funny.
This post was edited on 8/25/17 at 8:37 am
Posted by bigberg2000
houston, from chalmette
Member since Sep 2005
70731 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:33 am to
He has been hammered for saying it was going to Mexico so he hasn't posted much.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:35 am to
I mean, he made a projection based on models seven days out. Of course he wiffed.

Yawn.

Unfortunately looks like Harvey has really gotten his act together overnight.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:35 am to
quote:

the only relief is that the storm surge is usually the last domino to fall when a hurricane is strengthening.. so the surge may be below normal for a hurricane of its intensity


Yep. Texas A&M Corpus Christi is literally on an island in Corpus. Hopefully it is spared.
Posted by tke857
Member since Jan 2012
12195 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:37 am to
no idea what this means....maybe some one can translate

Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166766 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:37 am to


Hurricane Harvey could be a 'flooding disaster' for Texas
LINK
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:37 am to
That means Harvey is having an eyewall replacement cycle.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:38 am to
quote:

Why do you people continue to give him so much attention. It's useless, the whole meme of his predictions has jumped the shark. There are some tropes here that we need to move on from...



PJ talk is fine early, but it doesn't have a place anymore in the thread.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:38 am to
Eyewall replacement has happened.

Basically the inner eye wall starts to want and gets choked out by the outer. Once the outer is the stronger of the two, it will start to shrink in a little and be the main eyewall while the original one goes away.

Common in stronger hurricanes.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53509 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:38 am to
quote:

Yep. Texas A&M Corpus Christi is literally on an island in Corpus. Hopefully it is spared.




yikes.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:38 am to
Captain obvious USA Today comes in with the laziest graphic out there.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:41 am to
quote:

Things getting wet and wild in downtown Houston already




Bruh, George and Stout said that Houston floods all the time and it drains like a bathtub. Once the water hits the ground it evaporates immediately. There will be no problems in Houston as long as the power stays on.

BTW, those are their words not mine. George used to live in the loop for like 3 years so I'm not going to question him.
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