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Message

re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:10 pm to
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:10 pm to
quote:


PJ's prediction guaranteed it wouldn't affect Mexico a week ago.



A week ago it was hitting the Yucatan!



Peej is always wrong, always.
Posted by doya2
Charenton
Member since Jan 2005
8863 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:11 pm to
Still....a lot of time for change for the good and bad.
Posted by 10Percenter
Member since Feb 2009
1938 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

Headed to Houston tmro for a concert. Should be an interesting trip.


Will prob be rescheduled
Posted by jimjackandjose
Member since Jun 2011
6746 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:11 pm to
Pat Shingleton = PEEJ???? This makes sense now
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

He is on the news showing a model run taking this inland in TX and then well into Mexico. Not even showing the models getting this back over water and coming at LA. I understand not wanting to hype something up too much but it seems even more irresponsible to cherry pick the one model (probably their in house model) that shows it going off into Mexico. That's basically telling everyone not to worry because it won't come here. He just says we might get a little rain from feeder bands.



He's not a meteorologist.

FWIW, Steve Caparotta is the best met in the BR area.
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
45113 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

I hope you took a pic of that.
Yes for sure, have a bunch of pics somewhere including that one.
Posted by The Egg
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2004
83711 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:12 pm to
fyi I stopped by kroger on kirby to pick up some charcoal - packed to the gills and they're on the verge of fighting for water pallets
Posted by MSMHater
Houston
Member since Oct 2008
23247 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:12 pm to
quote:


Will prob be rescheduled


Nope. Scheduled to go on as planned per local reports.
Posted by MSMHater
Houston
Member since Oct 2008
23247 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

fyi I stopped by kroger on kirby to pick up some charcoal - packed to the gills and they're on the verge of fighting for water pallets


As long as Specs doesn't run low, we'll be good.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:13 pm to
The sliver of white to the NE of the eye is basically the only thing keeping Harvey in check right now. It might be able to push that out or it may be wrapped into the core, but relatively drier nuances like that are the only really hope for slowing down the development over the next 36 hours.


Meanwhile, Harvey's eye is becoming more pronounced on satellite imagery, so we'll see.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43292 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:14 pm to
I agree today while still being calm is saying models are trending more north and east towards us and said it's a real possibility that it does come here. Also said still time to watch and see but as of today it looks worse for Louisiana.
Posted by 10Percenter
Member since Feb 2009
1938 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

Nope. Scheduled to go on as planned per local reports.


What concert?
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14262 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:15 pm to
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is
expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak
surge occurs at the time of high tide...

N Entrance Padre Island Natl Seashore to Sargent...6 to 12 ft
Sargent to Jamaica Beach...5 to 8 ft
Port Mansfield to N Entrance Padre Island Natl Seashore...5 to 7 ft

Jamaica Beach to High Island...2 to 4 ft
Mouth of the Rio Grande to Port Mansfield...2 to 4 ft
High Island to Morgan City...1 to 3 ft

This will be bad. And it won't recede as quickly as a normal storm surge since Harvey will be stalling.
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36223 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:15 pm to
Any chance it stalls over Texas and weakens to the point of not being able to "turn around" back into the gulf?
Posted by OchoDedos
Republic of Texas
Member since Oct 2014
39822 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

As long as Specs doesn't run low, we'll be good.



Loaded up with Lawnmower and Weedwacker. Beer, tuna, and cheese crackers. What hurricane?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

A week ago it was hitting the Yucatan! Peej is always wrong, always.


PJ guaranteed it would slam into Mexico, and saw nothing that could slow it down from developing. A few days later it dissipated and "struck" the Yucatan as an open wave. Now it is projected to be a Cat 3 hurricane striking the US mainland after PJ said there would be no threat to the US mainland.

He's wrong more often than not, and when he's wrong, it is usually in an extraordinary fashion. The dude called the August 16 floods a non event 36 hours before they started.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131447 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:17 pm to
Thats what im hoping for.

This goes balls deep in texas and doesnt reemerge
This post was edited on 8/24/17 at 4:18 pm
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:17 pm to


Watch that outflow expand toward Texas. He's breathing well.

The conditions look strong for development. I'm worried things will look scary by late tonight.
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

Any chance it stalls over Texas and weakens to the point of not being able to "turn around" back into the gulf?



lol, no
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36223 posts
Posted on 8/24/17 at 4:18 pm to
:-(
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