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re: Harvard: Intermittent social distancing will have to continue into 2022

Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:32 pm to
Posted by Big_Slim
Mogadishu
Member since Apr 2016
3979 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:32 pm to
fricking flatten the curve you anti science bigot!!!
Posted by yatesdog38
in your head rent free
Member since Sep 2013
12737 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:33 pm to
I printed this off and used it instead of toilet paper. Trying to conserve. Plus the fresh ink feels kinda cool on da buttox
Posted by arcalades
USA
Member since Feb 2014
19276 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:34 pm to
China calls Harvard when they want advice on propaganda.
Posted by Unknown_Poster
Member since Jun 2013
5758 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

Wait, you think this is life as usual for that many people?

For you? Definitely.
Posted by Ronaldo Burgundiaz
NWA
Member since Jan 2012
6795 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

TL;DR

First pic:
Assuming this is not seasonally affected: A 4 week social distancing does practically nothing. A 20 week social distancing is the best case scenario.

Second pic:
Assuming this is seasonally affected: The best case scenario is no social distancing at all and we achieve herd immunity before June. Social distancing makes the epidemic worse by saving everyone for the autumn rush.

Third pic:
Third option they present is 10+ intermittent periods of social distancing until 2022. This will save the most lives, but will absolutely destroy the economy.

Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88462 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:38 pm to
I have a kid and a wife working at home. Definitely not.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88462 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

fricking flatten the curve you anti science bigot!!!
I’m all about science.
Posted by DavidTheGnome
Monroe
Member since Apr 2015
31597 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:42 pm to
We can’t keep doing this for 2 more months much less years
Posted by bad93ex
Walnut Cove
Member since Sep 2018
36767 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:45 pm to
So the science isn't even settled on it then?
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
24485 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:46 pm to
Good. I hope more and more studies like this come out. It’s time to stop the police state and get back to work.

The government needs to focus on treating the people that have it and stop preventing people from earning money to pay taxes to allow the government to actually do something meaningful.
Posted by Ronaldo Burgundiaz
NWA
Member since Jan 2012
6795 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:49 pm to
If this thing is seasonally affected, then Sweden's "let it ride" philosophy will bring them out of this practically unscathed. There will be a window in which they will be overrun, but it will be over in a short period of time.
Posted by Bamadiver
Member since Jun 2014
4165 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:57 pm to
Utterly meaningless.
Posted by Lou Pai
Member since Dec 2014
29646 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 2:02 pm to
I think the bigger takeaway from their findings that no one seems to care about it on here is that short-term social distancing could actually present a big problem for us, as herd immunity won't be able to help us when fall comes around.

ETA: or maybe not, I iz confused about scenario 2
This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 2:05 pm
Posted by Big_Slim
Mogadishu
Member since Apr 2016
3979 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 2:06 pm to
Yup. Kind of why I always laugh when I see people bitching about others not maintaining proper social distance. If every individual citizen were to quarantine themselves perfectly, the results could be disastrous when everything reopens. Some exposure is absolutely essential.
Posted by bad93ex
Walnut Cove
Member since Sep 2018
36767 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 2:11 pm to
quote:

There will be a window in which they will be overrun, but it will be over in a short period of time.


Sweden isn't as vast of a country as the United States so couldn't we expect it come in more of a wave here as it spreads across the country?
Posted by Ronaldo Burgundiaz
NWA
Member since Jan 2012
6795 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 2:58 pm to
quote:

I think the bigger takeaway from their findings that no one seems to care about it on here is that short-term social distancing could actually present a big problem for us, as herd immunity won't be able to help us when fall comes around.
That is correct, if covid loses 30% of it's R0 over summer. That is still unknown though.
This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 3:00 pm
Posted by Ronaldo Burgundiaz
NWA
Member since Jan 2012
6795 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 2:59 pm to
quote:

Sweden isn't as vast of a country as the United States so couldn't we expect it come in more of a wave here as it spreads across the country?
Sweden also has far fewer critical care beds per capita. Something along the lines of 4x less, per capita.
Posted by Privateer 2007
Member since Jan 2020
7951 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

sweeden has 4x less ICU beds per capita


But, a wayyyyy healthier populace.
Posted by BamaCoaster
God's Gulf
Member since Apr 2016
7408 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 3:12 pm to
I spent a bit in DC working at a think tank and some of the absolute dumbest people I have met in my entire existence, and I am from South LA and live in South AL now, are Harvard graduates.
Not only are they dumb, but they are dangerous because they think they know something.
Posted by bad93ex
Walnut Cove
Member since Sep 2018
36767 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 3:14 pm to
quote:

Sweden also has far fewer critical care beds per capita. Something along the lines of 4x less, per capita.



I thought everything was based on ventilators not critical care beds.
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