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re: Guadalupe River Flooding

Posted on 7/16/26 at 8:34 am to
Posted by Aforem7
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2019
1121 posts
Posted on 7/16/26 at 8:34 am to
quote:

That's why it floods badly in heavy rain. Same thing that happened in Tennessee and North Carolina during the Helene remnants a few years back.. it all funnels to the watersheds.


Most people that live in relatively flat areas really don't comprehend how this is possible. More mountainous areas are extremely susceptible to flash flooding. When rain falls at the higher elevations, the water travels quickly to one central point: the river. Its different than flooding in south louisiana and other gulf coastal areas because most flooding here is caused by the water not having anywhere to go. Think about it like filling up a bath tub vs a funnel. The bathtub fills up a lot slower and takes a lot more time to fill, but when its filled its deep and takes forever to drain. Thats south louisiana. Now imagine quickly pour water into a funnel. The water level in the funnel is going to jump up really quickly (like what we are seeing with the Guadalupe) but is also going to reside very quickly (also why there high velocity dangers with these flash floods)
This post was edited on 7/16/26 at 8:35 am
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
40591 posts
Posted on 7/16/26 at 8:36 am to
quote:

I’m thankful folks down here are still on high alert after 2025.


sounds like all the camps are in massive CYA mode sending out non-stop updates to parents

i am sure some parents are a mess to deal with right now luckily most of the rain has been downstream of hunt
Posted by SoggyCerealClub
Member since Apr 2026
182 posts
Posted on 7/16/26 at 8:39 am to
quote:

Hopefully everyone is evacuated asap

I haven’t seen any Hill country camps announce evacuations.

I know their assholes are puckered though. Most camps had to go through some serious permitting to open this year after last year’s tragedy so I fully expect them to be on top of it.

My kid is currently at camp in Texas and we’ve received nonstop updates on weather, a big change from last year.
Posted by SoggyCerealClub
Member since Apr 2026
182 posts
Posted on 7/16/26 at 8:40 am to
quote:

that poor girl's body that was never found might get moved again

Bruh, there’s not a physical body left at this point. Maybe her bones, sad to say.
Posted by Chingon Ag
Member since Nov 2018
4183 posts
Posted on 7/16/26 at 9:00 am to
quote:

luckily most of the rain has been downstream of hunt


Yes mostly downstream as Center Point and Comfort are getting the brunt of it on the Guadalupe
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
48242 posts
Posted on 7/16/26 at 9:09 am to
quote:

Is this a good weekend for floating the river ?



For most folks, no. But for an alpha like you? I'd say you should get there now and jump in.
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
24386 posts
Posted on 7/16/26 at 9:20 am to
Nobody is stupid enough to wade out into those flash flood prone waters now. Plenty of warning on this one. The second summer with a parked low pressure system over central Texas. Climate change?

Maybe some idiot may try and cross a flooded area. Probably would be a millennial.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14512 posts
Posted on 7/16/26 at 9:21 am to


Crest of 37.08 was higher than it was for 2025 disaster.

quote:

Historic Crests

1. 42.30 ft on 07-01-1869
2. 40.90 ft on 08-02-1978
3. 36.90 ft on 06-14-1935
4. 35.64 ft on 07-04-2025 (P)


quote:

Flood Impacts

39 - Disastrous life threatening flooding is over a mile across in some areas, flooding many homes below Kerrville to Canyon Lake, some to the roof. Large areas of the flood plain are cut off drowning hundreds of cattle. Most roads and bridges near the river flood and are extremely dangerous to motorists, cutting off residents in some areas until the water recedes.

35 - Disastrous flooding damages many homes above Center Point to below Comfort. Roads, bridges, and crossings are extremely dangerous to motorists entering the Guadalupe River channel. Residents of flood prone areas below Kerrville to below Comfort should prepare to evacuate as emergency officials assess the threat.

31 - Numerous homes flood above Center Point to near Comfort. Most roads and bridges near the river flood. Flow approaches homes in the western part of Comfort and additional runoff down Cypress Creek floods them. Major lowland flooding cuts livestock off in the flood plain, potentially drowning them.
This post was edited on 7/16/26 at 9:29 am
Posted by CC
Galveztown
Member since Feb 2004
15220 posts
Posted on 7/16/26 at 9:31 am to
My in-laws live in Kerrville. Ironically, they moved there from Grand Bay, AL for the weather. They were tired of hurricanes.
Posted by bigberg2000
houston, from chalmette
Member since Sep 2005
70786 posts
Posted on 7/16/26 at 9:36 am to
No worries Mikel is on the way.
Posted by Fat and Happy
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2013
20154 posts
Posted on 7/16/26 at 9:39 am to
Hasn’t this happened a bunch of summers in a row everytime it rains hard?

Like last summer when that summer camp basically went underwater
Posted by LemmyLives
Texas
Member since Mar 2019
17064 posts
Posted on 7/16/26 at 9:40 am to
quote:

Kerrville i

I nearly booked a cabin on the river this month for the second year in a row.
Posted by SpotCheckBilly
Member since May 2020
8647 posts
Posted on 7/16/26 at 10:27 am to
That's a lot. I've seen the Conecuh rise about 20' in 24 hours, but not that much. Little rivers can rise rapidly, that's for sure. All the little rivers in south Alabama can do that -- ask Elba about the Pea.
Posted by LSU9102
West of the Mississippi
Member since Mar 2007
2527 posts
Posted on 7/16/26 at 4:25 pm to
quote:

Hasn’t this happened a bunch of summers in a row everytime it rains hard? Like last summer when that summer camp basically went underwater


No it’s been a drought in Canyon Lake where the Guadalupe flows into.
Canyon Lake was at its lowest depth last year since the 60s. No one was using the lake for recreation.
It hasn’t rained this constant since Harvey.
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