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re: Governor Edwards - Deaths can be mitigated if Social Dist continues through May

Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:06 pm to
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
78046 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:06 pm to
quote:


And then if we go back to normal and the virus comes back and some people get it... will we reshut it all down again ???
Highly likely.

This will be a fluctuating scenario for a long time.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
41915 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:10 pm to
quote:

It may feel that way, but we have been locked down for a total of ten days.





Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40262 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:11 pm to
quote:

Scruffy had gone through med school and residency with this board. W


Damn I missed that.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
41915 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:12 pm to
quote:

It seems like the "peak" just keeps getting pushed back repeatedly.


This is false. Most of the experts have been holding firm on a mid april peak (for LA) for a while now.
This post was edited on 4/2/20 at 5:14 pm
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
78046 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:14 pm to
quote:

This is false. Most of the experts have been holding firm on a mid april peak for a while now.


Then they have been poorly getting their views out there because it has been a pretty consistent “10-14 days until the peak or hospitals are overrun” since February.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41888 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:19 pm to
quote:

It seems like the "peak" just keeps getting pushed back repeatedly.



April 12-14th has been the scheduled peak for Louisiana for awhile now
Posted by Tonio
Member since Dec 2019
1023 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:20 pm to
quote:

I would say mid to late April is "wishful thinking".


April is in the bag buddy boy
This post was edited on 4/2/20 at 5:22 pm
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
108750 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:22 pm to
Naw fam.
Posted by SEClint
New Orleans, LA/Portland, OR
Member since Nov 2006
49487 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:23 pm to
Hoping at least awareness will have an impact too. Cleaning hands and wiping down heavily touched areas and items.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40262 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:24 pm to
quote:

LINK


This link says April 9 ... and it also says that we in Louisiana would need 853 ventilators and we have 507 in use. Yes, that's a lot but it's a good bit under the "projections".
Posted by Rza32
Member since Nov 2008
4687 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:24 pm to
quote:

People will just start doing what they want


When have they stopped?
Posted by JBeam
Guns,Germs & Steel
Member since Jan 2011
68377 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:26 pm to
quote:

Highly likely.

This will be a fluctuating scenario for a long time.


This is why I would be highly skeptical about a regular LSU football season taking place.
Posted by JBeam
Guns,Germs & Steel
Member since Jan 2011
68377 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:28 pm to
quote:

Hoping at least awareness will have an impact too. Cleaning hands and wiping down heavily touched areas and items.

South Louisiana is one of the few spots in the southeast that has actually taken the social distancing request seriously from what the models indicate. With that being said, we still haven't approached the peak in Louisiana or nationally.
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
49579 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:29 pm to
quote:

his link says April 9 ... and it also says that we in Louisiana would need 853 ventilators and we have 507 in use. Yes, that's a lot but it's a good bit under the "projections".


853 is simply the median projection. The range is 326-1349. So the current use is within the range and below the median projection - which is a good thing.
Posted by SEClint
New Orleans, LA/Portland, OR
Member since Nov 2006
49487 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:31 pm to
quote:

South Louisiana is one of the few spots in the southeast that has actually taken the social distancing request seriously from what the models indicate. 


I hope so, I have a lot of people in houma.
quote:

With that being said, we still haven't approached the peak in Louisiana or nationally.


I know, I'm worried about these next 3 weeks for all my family spread across louisiana and rural areas of it.
Posted by geauxtigers456
Member since Jul 2015
2067 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:33 pm to
This board is showing its IQ with these coronavirus takes. If the government says we need to shelter in place until new year's, even if it just saves one elderly life, it is completely worth it.
Posted by Mike da Tigah
Bravo Romeo Lima Alpha
Member since Feb 2005
61883 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:34 pm to
I have to wonder sometimes just how much of this is driven by public safety, and fear of not having enough equipment to manage the numbers, both of which are very valid concerns. But then, how much of this is driven by politics and fear by Politicians in giving their political opponents something to criticize them on, like not doing enough, and How much is driven by lawyers and fear of rampant litigation.


Up to now, I think it’s driven by sound reasoning, but some of this shite you’re hearing like it lasting all the way until next fall and even beyond that is a bit overboard in my estimation, especially since it’s one thing to track models, and another to actually see the numbers for yourself down the road.
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
49579 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:35 pm to
quote:

With that being said, we still haven't approached the peak in Louisiana or nationally.



The good news is that the median projections of peak deaths and total deaths in Louisiana have dropped over the last two days. Hopefully, our daily deaths stay low and that 54 we had on Tuesday was just a hanging chad.
Posted by JBeam
Guns,Germs & Steel
Member since Jan 2011
68377 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:35 pm to
quote:

I hope so, I have a lot of people in houma.



I've fully accepted the fact that I likely won't see my grandparents for the rest of the year (Both are in their 80's).

quote:

I know, I'm worried about these next 3 weeks for all my family spread across louisiana and rural areas of it.

I think over the month of April we will see how this thing attacks rural areas. Which for the ill prepared could be a very scary situation. In reality I don't expect some things returning to normal until early-mid July.
Posted by Bear88
Member since Oct 2014
15421 posts
Posted on 4/2/20 at 5:35 pm to
quote:

Pulling my hair out with all these dam kids. Open the dam schools


You had em.... take care of your own damn kids during this time
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