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Started By
Message
re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:31 am to otowntiger
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:31 am to otowntiger
I could be wrong but I believe it was mentioned that the storm would not strengthen much yesterday. The intensification would happen today.
2
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:35 am to Large Farva
This storm can’t seem to close it’s circulation of high clouds dealing it weak to strengthen much.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:48 am to rds dc
06Z GFS now showing a Terrebonne landfall tomorrow evening.
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 4:49 am
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:56 am to Large Farva
For the most part yes- but it was generally predicted to start strengthening last night and it clearly has not. They still admit they have a long way to go when it comes to accurately predicting intensification. But i do think all can agree that the longer it takes to begin intensifying the less it will have time to and likely the less it will make it beyond cat 1.
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 5:04 am
Posted on 9/10/24 at 4:59 am to otowntiger
Yup buddy. Looking like a mid Cat 1 and we are about 30 hours until landfall
Never forget all the fear mongers saying cat 3 over and over. sad to see
Never forget all the fear mongers saying cat 3 over and over. sad to see
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:07 am to Slippery Joe
Per NHC
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 10/0900Z 24.4N 96.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 10/1800Z 25.4N 95.6W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 11/0600Z 27.1N 94.2W 80 KT 90 MPH
36H 11/1800Z 29.0N 92.5W 85 KT 100 MPH
48H 12/0600Z 31.4N 91.1W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
60H 12/1800Z 33.8N 90.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
72H 13/0600Z 35.7N 90.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
96H 14/0600Z 37.0N 90.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 10/0900Z 24.4N 96.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 10/1800Z 25.4N 95.6W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 11/0600Z 27.1N 94.2W 80 KT 90 MPH
36H 11/1800Z 29.0N 92.5W 85 KT 100 MPH
48H 12/0600Z 31.4N 91.1W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
60H 12/1800Z 33.8N 90.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
72H 13/0600Z 35.7N 90.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
96H 14/0600Z 37.0N 90.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:07 am to Slippery Joe
What’s scarier than this pathetic system is the fear mongering. All the Walmarts are completely empty of all brands of water. Thats not the most surprising thing as people want to be prepared for a couple weeks. Why hasn’t parish presidents recognized this and prepared better to have extra necessities available before and after storms?!
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:14 am to AverageJoe26
quote:
06Z GFS now showing a Terrebonne landfall tomorrow evening
Let's start wishcasting it back to marsh island and vermillion. All the old women are posting the same prayer on Facebook
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:16 am to mattchewbocca
quote:
Why hasn’t parish presidents recognized this and prepared better to have extra necessities available before and after storms?!
Because they get crap for telling people to be prepared early and the storm doesn't hit at all. Egg on the face.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:18 am to Slippery Joe
Ida went from cat 1 to a 4 in 24 hours.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:19 am to maisweh
Morning folks! The hurricane expertise and insight in here is amazing. Let’s keep it up and most importantly prepare whether it goes east or west of that dam center line!
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:19 am to maisweh
Man dry air looks like it ripped this thing in half. I’m guessing the NHC isn’t too confident in model runs bc of the overall disorganization of the storm otherwise cone would be shifted more east
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:21 am to tigersownall
quote:
Ida went from cat 1 to a 4 in 24 hours.
I remember going to bed a 1 and waking up to a monster but to be fair he experts kept saying it would happen. They aren’t saying that as much here it seems
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:21 am to tigersownall
quote:
Ida went from cat 1 to a 4 in 24 hours.
Ida was a rapidly intensifying storm and was strengthening at landfall. As far as I can tell this storm is significantly different and weaker.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:22 am to tigersownall
because that was the prediction genius
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:22 am to tzimme4
Have extra water at the very least during the most busiest month of the hurricane season! People scream possible cat 2 storm and the shelves are empty by the time the working class citizens are off of work. It’s bullshite!
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 5:24 am
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:24 am to Slippery Joe
Prepare for the worst and pray for the least - idiot
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:26 am to STEVED00
quote:
Man dry air looks like it ripped this thing in half. I’m guessing the NHC isn’t too confident in model runs bc of the overall disorganization of the storm otherwise cone would be shifted more east
I read this thinking it's gonna hit as a weak TS and I can only get so erect.
Then I notice it's not RDS posting so I'm preparing for a 3
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:28 am to mattchewbocca
Unfortunately this is now a SE LA storm. Buckle up baws. Ugh! These are the frustrating storms....likely not a ton of damage, but just enough to cost me $10,000 worth of house damage. Just enough out of pocket damage to not file a claim.
Posted on 9/10/24 at 5:29 am to mattchewbocca
quote:
Why hasn’t parish presidents recognized this and prepared better to have extra necessities available before and after storms?!
Private consumers are wiping the shelves clean at Walmart. Could you imagine what it would look like if the parish government was handing out cases of bottled water before a storm that nobody knows when, where and how strong it will be? And how do you know “necessities” won’t be handed out after the storm?
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 6:06 am
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