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Started By
Message
re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:43 pm to Dav
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:43 pm to Dav
quote:
Dav Dhan Member since Feb 2010 8095 posts Back to top Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:33 pm to AnAmericanGirl 10pm is in. Weakened down to a Cat 1 at landfall
10:00 pm Still shows 100 mph hurricane at landfall which Cat 2
0
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:43 pm to stout
quote:
Tropical Storm Francine Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062024
1000 PM CDT Mon Sep 09 2024
...
Environmental conditions are forecast to remain quite favorable for
strengthening along Francine's path for the next 24 hours, with very
warm ocean waters while remaining in a low wind shear environment.
The SHIPS RII index for rapid intensification over the next 24 hours
has decreased a little due to some dry air in the environment around
Francine. The NHC intensity forecast is similar to the previous
one, and lies near the high end of the intensity guidance suite.
Just prior to landfall, Francine should encounter increasing
west-southwesterly vertical wind shear, which will likely end the
intensification trend. Rapid weakening is expected after the storm
moves inland.
...
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 10/0300Z 24.3N 96.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 10/1200Z 24.9N 96.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 11/0000Z 26.2N 95.2W 80 KT 90 MPH
36H 11/1200Z 27.9N 93.7W 85 KT 100 MPH
48H 12/0000Z 29.9N 92.2W 75 KT 85 MPH...INLAND
60H 12/1200Z 32.4N 90.9W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
72H 13/0000Z 34.6N 90.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
96H 14/0000Z 36.6N 90.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H 15/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Hagen
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 9:45 pm
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:43 pm to thejudge
It’s forecasted to start the NNE from here on out. So something to keep an eye on.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:44 pm to Duke
I hope your right
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:44 pm to Dav
What? Where do you see that? Shows cat 2 for me.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:44 pm to Swagga
quote:
I’m having a hard time telling if that’s more east or not.
A little.
Lake Charles getting closer to being cone free
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:44 pm to rds dc
How cooked is BR?
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:44 pm to slackster
quote:
This has more to do with the fact the 7PM interval is over land. They still have it up to 100mph at 36 hours.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:45 pm to thejudge
Francine is moving more easterly.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:45 pm to stout
Well
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:45 pm to DVinBR
quote:
How cooked is BR?
Medium rare
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:46 pm to stout
quote:
Lake Charles getting closer to being cone free
I need less cones in my life at the moment.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:46 pm to tigafan4life
7pm Wednesday coordinates
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:46 pm to DVinBR
How cooked is BR?
Other than power outages it shouldn’t be that big of a deal
Other than power outages it shouldn’t be that big of a deal
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 9:47 pm
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:46 pm to DVinBR
quote:
How cooked is BR?
Like ordering steak at a bbq joint in the hood
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:47 pm to Mr Roboto
Still though, that's good to see it weaken so fast over barely on the coast of Louisiana. That might mean it falls to pieces to quickly before it carves places like BR up. It's almost looking it weakens on approach rather than strengthen and I'll take that in a night storm any day...
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:47 pm to Mr Roboto
I am not Steve Caparotta fyi 
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:47 pm to slackster
I need to visit Cow Island one day for lunch.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:48 pm to slackster
Sure pal
Posted on 9/9/24 at 9:50 pm to Impotent Waffle
Man this is truly starting to give me Gustav vibes and I don’t like it….
If I remember correctly the eye passed just to the west of BR (around gross tete maybe) around 1-2 pm in the afternoon didn’t it?
If I remember correctly the eye passed just to the west of BR (around gross tete maybe) around 1-2 pm in the afternoon didn’t it?
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