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re: For your family & friends that think this is an overraction

Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:15 am to
Posted by Number 9 Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2020
681 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:15 am to
quote:

So, if after taking all of these universal precautions, the death toll from this virus is relatively low, lets say 1000. Wouldn’t it make sense that the seasonal flu numbers should also plunge?

Yes, I think you are correct.
Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
29889 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:16 am to
quote:

I mean compared to what some of the other countries have done


There are maybe 4-5 countries that have done "more" than the US....and they were the one's that didn't do shite, got hit hard, then decided to disregard all human rights.
Posted by DCtiger1
Member since Jul 2009
10164 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:18 am to
quote:

Even moderate measures lead to millions of deaths.


bullshite
Posted by Brazos
Member since Oct 2013
20557 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:19 am to
Millions of deaths come the frick on .
Posted by fatboydave
Fat boy land
Member since Aug 2004
17979 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:20 am to
quote:

I mean hell the streets of Crowley, LA look like a damn ghost town.

Can i get some rice n gravy from the Rice Palace?
Posted by ashy larry
Marcy Projects
Member since Mar 2010
5575 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:21 am to
quote:

Why are scenarios being presented that show outcomes if we do nothing.....by my estimation it appears we are doing a freaking lot.


Have you read this board? MANY people here believe this is like the flu and we should let it run its course.

Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
29889 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:22 am to
quote:

Because many out there believe we should do nothing. Read this board for examples.


There have been countries that have successfully done nothing but test folks and quarantine sick people only....I mean it appears that is a strategy that works. Now it does require a vast amount of tests to administer.....BUT why we aren't at least considering that is very interesting to me.

I suspect it's because that would upend this sexy crisis that the media is making a proverbial "killing" on right now.
Posted by DCtiger1
Member since Jul 2009
10164 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:22 am to
Why have we let the flu run it’s course for decades? How many years have you gotten your flu shot?
Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
29889 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:23 am to
quote:

Can i get some rice n gravy from the Rice Palace?


Gotta pick it up son....no buffet

But I did go for the seafood last Friday....it was lit son!
Posted by EarlyCuyler3
Appalachia
Member since Nov 2017
27290 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:23 am to
quote:

Have you read this board? MANY people here believe this is like the flu and we should let it run its course.


I don't believe it's like the flu. I do believe the cost of this massive overreaction is going to vastly outweigh whatever is accomplished by doing so. It's a cost/benefit analysis. We are mortgaging our future in hopes of cutting back on the death count.
Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
29889 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:25 am to
quote:

We are mortgaging our future in hopes of cutting back on the death count.


Keep in mind it is a very skewed mortality rate at the moment due to the minimal tests given in this country.
Posted by GRTiger
On a roof eating alligator pie
Member since Dec 2008
65902 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:27 am to
We need to implement stop and frisk of anyone appearing to be over the age of 65, with arrests if they are and are caught outside of their house. Emergency law should be written that anyone known to infect an elderly person be charged with negligent homicide.

That would save a lot of lives.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41861 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:28 am to
quote:

There have been countries that have successfully done nothing but test folks and quarantine sick people only....I mean it appears that is a strategy that works


which countries. thanks
Posted by GardnerBarnes
Member since Feb 2020
50 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:28 am to
quote:

Why have we let the flu run it’s course for decades? How many years have you gotten your flu shot?


Apples & Oranges.

The flu is normally a human to human entity. We are used to dealing with it.

The novel coronavirus is normally animal to animal, and rarely makes the leap to humans. Also, this coronavirus is exponentially more contagious than those dealt with in the past, and has a higher death rate than those in the past.
Posted by Walking the Earth
Member since Feb 2013
17313 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:29 am to
quote:

Stop the fear mongering you weak minded bitch.


Well, he is called CaptainPanic, not ColonelCalm.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
451055 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:30 am to
quote:

which countries. thanks

that's what SK did, iirc
Posted by AbuTheMonkey
Chicago, IL
Member since May 2014
8405 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:30 am to
quote:

quote:
Have you read this board? MANY people here believe this is like the flu and we should let it run its course.


I don't believe it's like the flu. I do believe the cost of this massive overreaction is going to vastly outweigh whatever is accomplished by doing so. It's a cost/benefit analysis. We are mortgaging our future in hopes of cutting back on the death count.



This is really what is getting me. The scenes in Italy and China should be convincing that this is worse than the simple flu, though I do think Italy in particular has some unique factors that are making it so bad there.

But this talk - largely driven by the Imperial College London study - of months-long, intense, and repeated social isolation in hopes of a vaccine that may or may not work is hysteria. The economic, social, and political implications of such actions would be worse than the disease itself, and there shouldn't be any doubt about that at all.

I give us six to eight weeks starting from this past Sunday. That will give us time to contain the initial outbreak, get our heads around better data and epidemiology, and enhance and develop therapeutic treatment.

Anything longer than that just will not and cannot happen. The implications - war, catastrophic economic depression, serious civil strife - of doing this beyond that are just too much of a burden to bear for a disease with this kind of lethality rate.
Posted by DCtiger1
Member since Jul 2009
10164 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:30 am to
quote:

has a higher death rate than those in the past.


You simply cannot State this as a fact. You’re comparing complete historical data to a relatively small sample size of corona cases.

quote:

The novel coronavirus is normally animal to animal, and rarely makes the leap to humans.


Except for SARS and MERS
This post was edited on 3/18/20 at 11:38 am
Posted by GardnerBarnes
Member since Feb 2020
50 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:36 am to
quote:

Millions of deaths come the frick on .


Here is the Wikipedia profile of the guy leading the Imperial College team that generated the report that is guiding world policy.

LINK

I look forward to seeing your superior resume, which justifies doubting his analysis.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41861 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:37 am to
right, but according to the model posted in the OP, SK risks a resurgence of cases

guess we will know soonish
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