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Message
re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins
Posted on 10/7/20 at 12:32 am to lsugolfredman
Posted on 10/7/20 at 12:32 am to lsugolfredman
So the 00z stuff hasn't moved much huh?
I'll be back in about 3 hours with more ensembles.
I'll be back in about 3 hours with more ensembles.
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 12:35 am
0
Posted on 10/7/20 at 12:40 am to lsugolfredman
We are approx 72 hrs away from landfall according to the HWRF.
Whats the NHC's mileage deviance average 3 days out over the past years? I know some have nailed it ,some are, what,?, 50 miles off?
It still kills me this thing isn't in the Gulf yet. It gonna jet across the gulf in around 48 hours I guess.
since its 2020 I guess it would be safe to assume another tropical storm in the gulf in a couple weeks. Kinda like Lee in '11
Whats the NHC's mileage deviance average 3 days out over the past years? I know some have nailed it ,some are, what,?, 50 miles off?
It still kills me this thing isn't in the Gulf yet. It gonna jet across the gulf in around 48 hours I guess.
since its 2020 I guess it would be safe to assume another tropical storm in the gulf in a couple weeks. Kinda like Lee in '11
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 1:12 am
Posted on 10/7/20 at 12:42 am to rt3
quote:
final pass dropped 7 mb from previous drop in the eye... 975 to 968
Methinks that was just a better actual center fix altogether. That 973mb drop, for example, had a 37kt surface wind. That's definitely not the true center, but if it's still very small, it's understandable the drops aren't hitting it perfectly.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 12:52 am to slackster
I see we have an M at landfall now instead of an H...frick
Posted on 10/7/20 at 12:59 am to TigahJay
Bye everyone 
;
;
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 1:00 am
Posted on 10/7/20 at 12:59 am to rds dc
We're less than 100,000 tons into a 1,500,000 ton harvest.
This goddamned thing couldn't have picked a worse time and location to hit.
I offer up George Carlin's cheer..
Rat shite
Bat shite
Dirty old twat
69 assholes
Tied in a knot
Hooray
Lizard shite
frick!
This goddamned thing couldn't have picked a worse time and location to hit.
I offer up George Carlin's cheer..
Rat shite
Bat shite
Dirty old twat
69 assholes
Tied in a knot
Hooray
Lizard shite
frick!
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:00 am to reverendotis
The jaunt over the Yucatán isn’t gonna retard this fricker at all, is it?
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:11 am to slackster
These images should auto update in the next hour or so.
Also going to serve as my bookmark in the thread.
Also going to serve as my bookmark in the thread.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:15 am to slackster
Getting my mother in law out of Pierre Part tomorrow. God speed
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:15 am to slackster
Man, I really thought we were going to see more of an east shift on this run with the new data...
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:18 am to slackster
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:19 am to slackster
And just like that, they’ve updated already. Looks like the Cat 5 models are off the table for now. That’s a blessing.
Spaghetti models are also very tightly clustered, but that’s probably a bit deceiving. Confidence is high, but not that high.
Spaghetti models are also very tightly clustered, but that’s probably a bit deceiving. Confidence is high, but not that high.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:24 am to slackster
00z Euro still doing its TX/LA border shenanigans like it has for a day or so now. Still a substantial outlier in that respect.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:27 am to slackster
It wasn’t good for Laura either, was it?
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:31 am to lsugolfredman
quote:
Straight nasty. 950mb.
Better than the last run which was 945.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:42 am to BregmansWheelbarrow
quote:
The jaunt over the Yucatán isn’t gonna retard this fricker at all, is it?
Nope.
Angle of approach and eye wall size need be what everyone in the Baton Rouge area should be paying attention to. If the eye passes between Laffy and BR then that means BR will have many more additional hours of hurricane force winds.
Gonna be a lot of power outages.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:05 am to rds dc
Alright so who is packing to get out of BR and head N?
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:21 am to YogaPants
I'm not leaving Baton Rouge. I got a power supply for the internet. Full tank of gas. I'll hang out in the car for a day or two if I lose power or it gets too hot.
Maybe I'll leave after the storm if it doesn't look like power will be restored quickly. Ex wife and kid will be fine in NOLA and I'll probably go there if we get it bad and stay for a few with family. I live alone here so just me.
I kinda hope we get the brunt. I don't want it to go west to Lake Charles or to Mobile(so much debris everywhere there, that would be bad). BR will be fine.
Maybe I'll leave after the storm if it doesn't look like power will be restored quickly. Ex wife and kid will be fine in NOLA and I'll probably go there if we get it bad and stay for a few with family. I live alone here so just me.
I kinda hope we get the brunt. I don't want it to go west to Lake Charles or to Mobile(so much debris everywhere there, that would be bad). BR will be fine.
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 2:28 am
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:34 am to GeauxTigers80
We didn’t have internet for almost a month after Laura. When the power poles all got knocked over, to clear the roads and debris, the power company just cut all the cable lines. Suddenlink had to re-run their entire infrastructure. There are still a lot of people here who have no internet...hell, there are still some without power. Still hear generators at night. Hope your internet is fiber and is buried.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 2:40 am to BregmansWheelbarrow
Internet? Hell I was without power for a month after Gustav.
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