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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins
Posted on 10/4/20 at 9:49 pm to JustinBRLA
Posted on 10/4/20 at 9:49 pm to JustinBRLA
quote:
You're actually not entirely wrong. Hurricanes exist in the first place for carrying excessive heat from the equator towards the north pole
more glacial melt incoming
thanks Delta
Posted on 10/4/20 at 9:49 pm to LaBR4
That’s a steep shift N on that track.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 9:51 pm to LegendInMyMind
The H moved from the left of the 90 West longitude line to right over the 90 West longitude line.
The center of the cone goes from Caminada Pass to just east of the Alliance refinery to just east of Belle Chasse NAS to English Turn to just south of the Michoud facility.
The center of the cone goes from Caminada Pass to just east of the Alliance refinery to just east of Belle Chasse NAS to English Turn to just south of the Michoud facility.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 9:54 pm to rds dc
Complicated forecast with models indicating that we will likely see a binary interaction b/w Gamma and Delta. This interaction depends on how close the systems get and how strong they are at the time. As of now, NHC isn't really showing any such interaction.
The 18z GFS shows a weaker Gamma and the 18z GFS-para shows a stronger Gamma.
18z GFS
18z GFS-para
Ultimately, the overall pattern will send the system(s) north towards Louisiana.

The 18z GFS shows a weaker Gamma and the 18z GFS-para shows a stronger Gamma.
18z GFS

18z GFS-para

Ultimately, the overall pattern will send the system(s) north towards Louisiana.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 9:55 pm to LPLGTiger
I like to look at things in checkpoints... where is the storm at when it hits certain points
like for future-Delta... the major checkpoint for us on the northern Gulf coast is where does the storm enter the Gulf
going off that Levi's been saying... Louisiana needs it to be as east as possible... so Louisianans want to cheer for it to make landfall as far east into Cuba as possible
if you're in the FL panhandle, Bama, Mississippi... you want it to kick back west ad be as close to the Yucatan Peninsula as possible... interact with Gamma some and pinwheel it west a bit before it makes its final approach which will kick landfall back deep into Louisiana
like for future-Delta... the major checkpoint for us on the northern Gulf coast is where does the storm enter the Gulf
going off that Levi's been saying... Louisiana needs it to be as east as possible... so Louisianans want to cheer for it to make landfall as far east into Cuba as possible
if you're in the FL panhandle, Bama, Mississippi... you want it to kick back west ad be as close to the Yucatan Peninsula as possible... interact with Gamma some and pinwheel it west a bit before it makes its final approach which will kick landfall back deep into Louisiana
This post was edited on 10/4/20 at 10:00 pm
Posted on 10/4/20 at 9:56 pm to NorthEndZone
They can’t even come close to predicting a landfall spot 48 hours out, might as well start looking at the center of the cone now.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 9:59 pm to questionable
quote:
They can’t even come close to predicting a landfall spot 48 hours out
I realize people like to shite on the NHC, or "They", but this isn't anywhere at all accurate.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:01 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
I realize people like to shite on the NHC, or "They", but this isn't anywhere at all accurate.
how long has the NHC been trying to tell us to not look at the center line but just realize that if you're anywhere in the cone that you're under threat?
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:03 pm to rt3
quote:
how long has the NHC been trying to tell us to not look at the center line but just realize that if you're anywhere in the cone that you're under threat?
Like that matters to most people. That center line is all that matters. Not that it should be that way.
This post was edited on 10/4/20 at 10:04 pm
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:06 pm to rds dc
HWRF drops this to sub 950 over the next 48hrs with a classic pinhole eye, if this forecast verifies... then wow.


Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:07 pm to rds dc
Nope. I will not acknowledge that forecast.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:11 pm to LegendInMyMind
It’s because they all think news is “fake” with an agenda even with storms. They do their best.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:11 pm to rds dc
Can’t say that I’ve ever seen a model show two storms circling each other like that.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:12 pm to LegendInMyMind
I wish the NHC would stop publishing center lines. It is highly misleading with impacts.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:12 pm to rds dc
Pretty classic spot for it to happen this time of year. We watched Gamma feast on that water for not very long and was clearly running at getting to hurricane. I fully expect it to pop off at that point.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:15 pm to Duke
quote:
Pretty classic spot for it to happen this time of year. We watched Gamma feast on that water for not very long and was clearly running at getting to hurricane. I fully expect it to pop off at that point.
Wilma like?
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:21 pm to rds dc
Thats seriously some 2020 shite.
Is there any idea how this interaction could inhibit or aid intensification for whatever Frankenstein storm someone will get, or is it just too up in the air to know?
Is there any idea how this interaction could inhibit or aid intensification for whatever Frankenstein storm someone will get, or is it just too up in the air to know?
This post was edited on 10/4/20 at 10:21 pm
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:28 pm to rds dc
quote:
Wilma like?
I'd be impressed if it did THAT, but yes that's what I'm thinking of. It has a window to really pop.
Posted on 10/4/20 at 10:31 pm to Cosmo
quote:
quote:
Wilma like?
Bingo?
Wilma went from gaining hurricane status to breaking the record 24hrs later. Truly insane and impossible to forecast. The 00z SHIPS shows some pretty crazy RI potential as this moves into the Southern Gulf.

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