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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:02 pm to GumboPot
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:02 pm to GumboPot
quote:
All depends on where and when it makes its turn NE right?
Yeah. Where that is depends on an upper low out over Texas and a ridge that builds over Florida. The upper low sets the edge of the ridge for the storm to roll around. Short term it's also going to get a shove west around Gamma (the fluid dynamics of the fujiwara would be right up your alley).
So it's just details of strength and placement of upper low and how the ridge sets up to where it'll turn around.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:02 pm to Prominentwon
From the NHC Discussion:
quote:
So regardless of Delta's final landfall intensity, the projected large size of the hurricane is likely to result in a significant storm surge and wind event for
portions of the northern Gulf coast later this week.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:02 pm to CE Tiger
quote:
I just pull the NHC Data into google earth
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:03 pm to rt3
quote:That's no bueno
The global models, however, depict a significant increase in the
size of Delta's wind field while it is over the Gulf of Mexico,
which increases the spatial extent of the storm surge and wind
threats for the northern Gulf coast.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:04 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
fricking finally, this shite show can be almost over.
quote:
"Supplemental upper-air balloon launches at 0600 and 1800 UTC have begun at upper-air sites across portions of the southeastern United States. In addition, a NOAA G-IV synoptic surveillance mission is in progress and should provide additional data for the 0000 UTC cycle of the dynamical models."
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:04 pm to CE Tiger
4am NHC Track - 20 miles west
10am NHC Track - 21 miles west
4pm NHC Track - 40 miles west
10pm NHC Track -?????
10am NHC Track - 21 miles west
4pm NHC Track - 40 miles west
10pm NHC Track -?????
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:04 pm to CE Tiger
I hate to admit I'm dumb but how do I pull the data in??
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:05 pm to Bayou_Tiger_225
Boy Entergy is about to get fricked with their stretched resources as it is.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:06 pm to deuce985
quote:
Boy Entergy is about to get fricked with their stretched resources as it is.
I used to hate Entergy, I thought they were too damn expensive, blah blah... then I moved somewhere that had a local co-op. SLECA. Never again. Most unreliable shite ever.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 4:06 pm
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:06 pm to LaBR4
shite.
I'm gonna have to bring the pumpkins in too, arent i?
I'm gonna have to bring the pumpkins in too, arent i?
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 4:06 pm
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:06 pm to rt3
1 major thing I see in that discussion is that the upper air information from the plane in the Gulf right now should be in the next set of model runs
plus local NWS stations have gotten word to put up more weather balloons
plus local NWS stations have gotten word to put up more weather balloons
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:06 pm to tiger91
I have the Google Earth app so when I clicked the link it opened it in GE.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:07 pm to ABucks11
Track keeps pushing West this has the chance to be Laura 2.0 sorry to say it.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 4:07 pm
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:07 pm to DhanTigers212
quote:You're right and you’re wrong.
This rainfall projection is absolutely USELESS at this time. No one knows where it’s gonna go. It was hitting New Orleans yesterday now it’s hitting close to Lafayette.
The exact path of the storm is not known but wherever it goes and makes landfall, the rain totals will look like that. So if the path moves 50 miles East (for illustrative purposes) the rain totals will move accordingly.
Everyone is trying their best here, this far out forecasting is not an exact science.
Note that the rain totals are not huge.
Late season storm and its forward motion is good.
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:07 pm to Ash Williams
quote:
I'm gonna have to bring the pumpkins in too, arent i?
Yeah I would, it might be smashing pumpkins
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:07 pm to Scooba
Fckin baton rouge is gonna get pounded. Fck man.
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