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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins

Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:02 pm to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

All depends on where and when it makes its turn NE right?


Yeah. Where that is depends on an upper low out over Texas and a ridge that builds over Florida. The upper low sets the edge of the ridge for the storm to roll around. Short term it's also going to get a shove west around Gamma (the fluid dynamics of the fujiwara would be right up your alley).

So it's just details of strength and placement of upper low and how the ridge sets up to where it'll turn around.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:02 pm to
From the NHC Discussion:

quote:

So regardless of Delta's final landfall intensity, the projected large size of the hurricane is likely to result in a significant storm surge and wind event for
portions of the northern Gulf coast later this week.


Posted by Scooba
Member since Jun 2013
20013 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

I just pull the NHC Data into google earth


Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:02 pm to
Posted by Bayou_Tiger_225
Third Earth
Member since Mar 2016
12779 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:03 pm to
quote:

The global models, however, depict a significant increase in the
size of Delta's wind field while it is over the Gulf of Mexico
,
which increases the spatial extent of the storm surge and wind
threats for the northern Gulf coast. 
That's no bueno
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:04 pm to
fricking finally, this shite show can be almost over.

quote:

"Supplemental upper-air balloon launches at 0600 and 1800 UTC have begun at upper-air sites across portions of the southeastern United States. In addition, a NOAA G-IV synoptic surveillance mission is in progress and should provide additional data for the 0000 UTC cycle of the dynamical models."
Posted by ABucks11
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2012
1236 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:04 pm to
4am NHC Track - 20 miles west
10am NHC Track - 21 miles west
4pm NHC Track - 40 miles west
10pm NHC Track -?????
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40226 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:04 pm to
I hate to admit I'm dumb but how do I pull the data in??
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53874 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:04 pm to
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:05 pm to
Boy Entergy is about to get fricked with their stretched resources as it is.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40226 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:05 pm to


Too close to me for comfort.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:06 pm to
quote:

Boy Entergy is about to get fricked with their stretched resources as it is.



I used to hate Entergy, I thought they were too damn expensive, blah blah... then I moved somewhere that had a local co-op. SLECA. Never again. Most unreliable shite ever.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 4:06 pm
Posted by Ash Williams
South of i-10
Member since May 2009
18560 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:06 pm to
shite.

I'm gonna have to bring the pumpkins in too, arent i?
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 4:06 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147070 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:06 pm to
1 major thing I see in that discussion is that the upper air information from the plane in the Gulf right now should be in the next set of model runs

plus local NWS stations have gotten word to put up more weather balloons
Posted by LSUlefty
Youngsville, LA
Member since Dec 2007
28514 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:06 pm to
Unfrickingbelievable
Posted by Scooba
Member since Jun 2013
20013 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:06 pm to
I have the Google Earth app so when I clicked the link it opened it in GE.
Posted by DhanTigers212
Member since Dec 2014
10469 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:07 pm to
Track keeps pushing West this has the chance to be Laura 2.0 sorry to say it.
This post was edited on 10/6/20 at 4:07 pm
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
74695 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:07 pm to
quote:

This rainfall projection is absolutely USELESS at this time. No one knows where it’s gonna go. It was hitting New Orleans yesterday now it’s hitting close to Lafayette.
You're right and you’re wrong.

The exact path of the storm is not known but wherever it goes and makes landfall, the rain totals will look like that. So if the path moves 50 miles East (for illustrative purposes) the rain totals will move accordingly.

Everyone is trying their best here, this far out forecasting is not an exact science.

Note that the rain totals are not huge.

Late season storm and its forward motion is good.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53874 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:07 pm to
quote:

I'm gonna have to bring the pumpkins in too, arent i?


Yeah I would, it might be smashing pumpkins
Posted by BananaManCan
Member since Sep 2009
4353 posts
Posted on 10/6/20 at 4:07 pm to
Fckin baton rouge is gonna get pounded. Fck man.
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