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Started By
Message
re: COVID19 was spreading in Pennsylvania in December? Interesting
Posted on 5/14/20 at 10:54 pm to Volvagia
Posted on 5/14/20 at 10:54 pm to Volvagia
quote:And average time to show symptoms you sniveling cun.t?
The median number of days from first symptom to death is 14 days.
6 days to show symptoms on average from infection
Our health system which has the largest covid cases in our entire state is averaging 23.8 days between presentation at hospital to death
So I rounded 29.8 to 30 days
Peak infection for us here in Louisiana would have been around early to mid March. I don’t think it’s far fetched to say leak infections were obviously earlier in New York, making it in February
You don’t know as much as you think
This post was edited on 5/14/20 at 10:56 pm
1
Posted on 5/14/20 at 10:55 pm to Jester
quote:
I got really sick back in 2011. Tested negative for flu and strep. I obviously had COVID-19.
A lot of people don’t realize that’s exactly the same logic being used here. And it’s a news article trawling for hits trying to make the insinuation.
It’s certainly not the doctors, in spite of health officials being interviewed in the article. The insinuation of an December infection doesn’t come up there, just a blurb from the anonymous sources that was immediately dropped and not followed up on now they can justify making the attention grabbing headline.
This post was edited on 5/14/20 at 10:56 pm
Posted on 5/14/20 at 10:56 pm to Volvagia
quote:
So to just confirm the position:
We actively ignored
Stopped here. Does anyone ever say "so just to confirm" followed by something that genuinely summarizes the statement they are responding to?
Posted on 5/14/20 at 10:59 pm to lsupride87
quote:
And average time to show symptoms you sniveling cun.t?
Around 5 days. You still haven’t made the half way mark.
quote:
So I rounded 29.8 to 30 days
And then added another 15 days for a “what the hell?” Or did you forget your outside estimate was 45 days?
quote:
You don’t know as much as you think
And yet, in spite of you spending another post “clarifying” your point, have only made a case for a peak in mid-late March in spite of saying it made “perfect logical sense” for it to be in February.
And:
quote:
Our health system which has the largest covid cases in our entire state is averaging 23.8 days between presentation at hospital to death
Link?
This post was edited on 5/14/20 at 11:19 pm
Posted on 5/14/20 at 11:02 pm to Volvagia
Even in your theory it would be 20 days from infection day to death, not 14. You can’t do basic math
Your theory is 14 days from symptoms to death
And it takes 6 days to show symptoms
So infection day to death is 20 days even in your very own theory
And one other thing you are greatly confusing, 14 days is the benchmark used for considering someone recovered, it is not the average time from symptoms to death
Your theory is 14 days from symptoms to death
And it takes 6 days to show symptoms
So infection day to death is 20 days even in your very own theory
And one other thing you are greatly confusing, 14 days is the benchmark used for considering someone recovered, it is not the average time from symptoms to death
This post was edited on 5/14/20 at 11:04 pm
Posted on 5/14/20 at 11:02 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
It broke out in October, therefore, you should track those which with they had contact, so as to ascertain how they got it.
Posted on 5/14/20 at 11:04 pm to lsupride87
quote:
Even in your theory it would be 20 days from infection day to death, not 14. You can’t do basic math
I think you need to step away from the keyboard and calm down.
I never said it averaged 14 days from infection to death
Posted on 5/14/20 at 11:04 pm to Volvagia
Don’t back down now
Posted on 5/14/20 at 11:05 pm to lsupride87
quote:
So infection day to death is 20 days even in your very own theory
And death peak occurred almost twice as many days away from February.....soooo what exactly is it you think you are arguing?
Posted on 5/14/20 at 11:07 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Seems unlikely. Feeling ill in December and testing positive for covid antibodies 5 months later =/= you had covid in December.
Posted on 5/14/20 at 11:07 pm to Volvagia
quote:death peak in New York was end of March into very early April
And death peak occurred almost twice as many days away from February.....soooo what exactly is it you think you are arguing?
30 days before that is, you guessed it, the end of February
It’s not outlandish to think infections in this country were peaking in February
Posted on 5/14/20 at 11:10 pm to slackster
quote:This case is far from being conclusive that the couple def contracted the virus in December
Seems unlikely. Feeling ill in December and testing positive for covid antibodies 5 months later =/= you had covid in December.
Posted on 5/14/20 at 11:10 pm to slackster
quote:
Seems unlikely.
Seems possible as well.
quote:
Feeling ill in December and testing positive for covid antibodies 5 months later =/= you had covid in December.
Valid counter. They could have had something else in December, then later gotten covid but were asymptomatic.
Posted on 5/14/20 at 11:14 pm to GRTiger
I can't wait for antibody tests at your leisure so I can stop hearing every mofo under the sun tell me they think they had it already.
Posted on 5/14/20 at 11:16 pm to GRTiger
quote:
Seems possible as well.
No doubt.
Posted on 5/14/20 at 11:17 pm to lsupride87
quote:
death peak in New York was end of March into very early April
So it peaked nationally in February because it peaked locally somewhere earlier. Ok. Makes sense.
But if you want to focus on NY:
They didn’t get to a double digit death rate until March 25, longer than the general median infection>expiration timeline.
So essentially you are arguing NY all got infected at a party on the last days of February, and then the severe cases all hung on and died on right hand side of the bell curve.
frick averages and the fact that they mean half of a number occurs before that date, we got dat New Yorker spirit!
Why? No other reason but because you apparently can’t stand to be anything but contrarian to anything i say.
This post was edited on 5/14/20 at 11:18 pm
Posted on 5/14/20 at 11:17 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Antibody tests are a joke. Might as well flip a coin. But Roche pharmaceuticals has just developed an accurate one. Problem is the Germans have already bought them up.
Posted on 5/14/20 at 11:23 pm to RileyTime
quote:
I’m 100% positive I had it in Dec, too.
I could never say 100%, but my entire household all got sick in January and we never all get sick at the same time. It was very unusual.
My family believes it was coronavirus, but IDK.
Posted on 5/14/20 at 11:29 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Had it at Christmas ....low grade fever and a residual cough for about a month....a dry one at that. The only thing that finally broke it was getting on a bike and pushing about 12 miles int he a.m. for two weeks.
Posted on 5/14/20 at 11:31 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
No no. This has been scienced already. Had to happen just like China said.
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