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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:05 am to
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
49417 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:05 am to
quote:

Except for the perfect incubator that is the Diamond Princess.


Which had a hospitalization rate over 1.5%
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
52225 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:06 am to
quote:

Which had a hospitalization rate over 1.5%


So, 1/10 of the 15% you were pushing last page?

Interesting.
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
49417 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:07 am to
quote:

Wrong. The majority of the cases being confirmed are those that require hospitalization.

Hospitalization = severe.


This is inaccurate. Every positive test is counted regardless of the outcome.
Posted by Antonio Moss
The South
Member since Mar 2006
49417 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:08 am to
quote:

So, 1/10 of the 15% you were pushing last page?

Interesting.


I was just posting actual statistics.

I'm giving you the benefit of the doubt and using the low-end numbers that we have and it still results in medical system chaos if it spreads rapidly.

It's not the flu.
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
52225 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:08 am to
quote:

This is inaccurate. Every positive test is counted regardless of the outcome.


The majority of which are coming from hospitals.
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
52225 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:10 am to
quote:


I'm giving you the benefit of the doubt and using the low-end numbers that we have and it still results in medical system chaos if it spreads rapidly.

It's not the flu.


The low end says 1.5% of confirmed cases will require hospitalization. You just said it yourself.
Posted by reverendotis
the jawbone of an arse
Member since Nov 2007
4987 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:10 am to
quote:

Which had a hospitalization rate over 1.5%






And the age distribution of a retirement community.
Posted by STLhog
Dallas, TX
Member since Jan 2015
19470 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:12 am to
quote:

The low end says 1.5% of confirmed cases will require hospitalization. You just said it yourself.


Edit:

If we confirm 1M cases, that's 150,000 people in a hospital on the high end and 15,000 on the low end.

How do you not see that as an issue?
This post was edited on 3/23/20 at 9:17 am
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
52225 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:14 am to
quote:

If we confirm 1M cases, that's 150,000 people in a hospital.

How do you not see that as an issue?


Should have used a calculator.
Posted by shawnlsu
Member since Nov 2011
23682 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:15 am to
quote:

Jesus Christ

Exactly.
Need him more than ever right now.
I didn't say it was of that level. I asked if you believe its possible. You have yet to answer a single question directly. Democrat?
Posted by STLhog
Dallas, TX
Member since Jan 2015
19470 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:16 am to
Yea, fat finger. 150,000 on the high end, 15,000 on the low end.

That's a lot depending where its distributed.
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:16 am to
I've been very confident the economy would roar back in short order after this, but I'm starting to get a lot more nervous.

If we don't slowly start to re-open (maybe 50% capacity?) small businesses, we're going to see waves of defaults in volumes we haven't seen since the Great Depression.

There isn't enough government cheese to fix that.

I am still going to lean into the market because it won't be down forever, but the cost of this shut down is getting worse and worse. They need to realize that this will kill just as many people in the long run.
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:17 am to
quote:

If we confirm 1M cases, that's 150,000 people in a hospital.



MATH!
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
52225 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:17 am to
quote:

Exactly.
Need him more than ever right now.


I guess you went to that church that's still holding services then, right?

Don't worry, the pastor will heal you through the power of GAWD.

quote:

I didn't say it was of that level. I asked if you believe its possible. You have yet to answer a single question directly. Democrat?


I've answered several questions. I just choose not to answer your ridiculous hypothetical about a virus that's killed fewer than 500 people in the US wiping out the human race.
This post was edited on 3/23/20 at 9:19 am
Posted by STLhog
Dallas, TX
Member since Jan 2015
19470 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:18 am to
quote:

I am still going to lean into the market because it won't be down forever, but the cost of this shut down is getting worse and worse. They need to realize that this will kill just as many people in the long run.


Not arguing this but you don't think they're weighing this and modeling it?

Maybe not with this administration but fahk i would hope they are.
Posted by shawnlsu
Member since Nov 2011
23682 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:19 am to
quote:

I guess you went to that church that's still holder services then, right?

Online, but thanks for jumping to conclusions again.

Thanks for playing. If you can't answer a simple question, there is no point in this anymore.
Posted by STLhog
Dallas, TX
Member since Jan 2015
19470 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:19 am to
yea yea yea, i owned it. I got it.
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
52225 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:20 am to
quote:

Online, but thanks for jumping to conclusions again.


Says the guy talking about the end of the human race over a virus that doesn't even manifest symptoms in the majority of it's cases.

You're a smart one.
Posted by Douglas Quaid
Mars
Member since Mar 2010
4121 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:20 am to
quote:

There isn't enough government cheese to fix that


More can and probably will be printed.
Posted by SabiDojo
Open to any suggestions.
Member since Nov 2010
84435 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 9:21 am to
Don’t be too hard on yourself. It’s no worse than every statistician in this thread who keeps moving the goal posts on when we become Italy.
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