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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:34 pm to NYNolaguy1
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:34 pm to NYNolaguy1
Well considering our population is 7x theirs, that would be silly to think otherwise.
0
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:35 pm to NYNolaguy1
quote:
Do you believe we will overtake Italy with number or confirmed cases?
Being, they are 1/5 the size of us, I would be pretty confident we would if you are talking straight numbers.... Now percentages, doubtful.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:35 pm to Bullfrog
I agree depending on your viewpoint that stat may not be totally relevant, but to say we are not close in any regard is not quite true.
This post was edited on 3/22/20 at 4:36 pm
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:37 pm to VABuckeye
quote:
If 4000 to 32000 in 6 days isn't concerning to you I don't know what to tell you.
I mean, they are running a lot more tests every day now. These types of jumps were to be expected as more and more tests happen.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:37 pm to VABuckeye
quote:How many times do people have to point out that this was a given with more testing. We knew the numbers were going up. Everyone agreed that the testing was too slow to start and we were missing cases. The exponential increase isn’t an increase in cases appearing, it’s an increase in cases being found because we are finally looking for them more efficiently. Nothing has changed.
If 4000 to 32000 in 6 days isn't concerning to you I don't know what to tell you.
Why the hell is everyone shocked or surprised?
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:43 pm to ell_13
quote:Still lying about your positive test?
Those type of exponential scales make things seem much worse than they are. We are not that close to Italy in any Respect.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:45 pm to tgr4ever
Why are you obsessed with me? 
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:45 pm to ell_13
quote:
Everyone agreed that the testing was too slow to start and we were missing cases. The exponential increase isn’t an increase in cases appearing, it’s an increase in cases being found because we are finally looking for them more efficiently. Nothing has changed.
The number of cases I could go back and forth on as sometimes people test positive and may not present symptoms. Thats a direct correlation of more people getting tested.
The more troubling part for me is that straight line on the log scale for deaths, and you will notice that line went up a few notches on 3/17.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:48 pm to NYNolaguy1
The spike on 3-17 was offset by the less than 50 on 3-22. That’s a significant drop.
ETA. Our death rate is still falling. It’s at 1.1% now.
ETA. Our death rate is still falling. It’s at 1.1% now.
This post was edited on 3/22/20 at 4:50 pm
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:49 pm to ell_13
quote:
The spike on 3-17 was offset by the less than 50 on 3-22. That’s a significant drop.
Have you seen todays numbers? We are at 112 and counting.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:50 pm to NYNolaguy1
Was looking at the poliboard numbers. The death rate is still falling.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:52 pm to ell_13
quote:
Was looking at the poliboard numbers. The death rate is still falling.
As long as new cases out pace deaths yes that will always be the case.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:52 pm to ell_13
quote:Because saying you have corona to try and show its not as bad as people are saying is one of the most pathetic things I’ve ever seen on the internet.
Why are you obsessed with me
Your girl friend in middle school go to a different school bro?
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:53 pm to NYNolaguy1
Outpace is the wrong term. They have to outpace 10-1 of not by more. And they are. That’s a good thing.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:54 pm to ell_13
quote:
They have to outpace 10-1 of not by more.
Can you explain this rationale to me?
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:55 pm to tgr4ever
quote:Jesus. We’ve been through this. I’m a healthy 33 year old. No one in my situation is going to struggle with this. I didn’t go through some miraculous healing. I never claimed to. Chill.
Because saying you have corona to try and show its not as bad as people are saying is one of the most pathetic things I’ve ever seen on the internet.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:56 pm to NYNolaguy1
All he's saying is if you have 1 new confirmed case and 1 new death, the death rate that day is 100% and the overall death rate would go up. The confirmed new cases because of the added testing should out pace deaths 100 to 1 in order for the death rate to maintain at about 1%, unless my math is wrong.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:57 pm to reedus23
quote:
All he's saying is if you have 1 new confirmed case and 1 new death, the death rate that day is 100% and the overall death rate would go up. The confirmed new cases because of the added testing should out pace deaths 100 to 1 in order for the death rate to maintain at about 1%, unless my math is wrong.
I understand the point he is making. I am asking how got the >10-1 figure.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:58 pm to NYNolaguy1
Sorry. I meant 100 to 1. Right now the Us death rate is 1.1%. That means just over 1 out of every 100 cases results in a death. So if for every 100 people, 10 started to die, you would see that percentage increase. The outpacing needs to be at that 100 to 1 for it to stay at 1%. But it’s better than that because it’s continuing to go down.
Posted on 3/22/20 at 4:58 pm to ell_13
Does anyone know the positive/hospitalized rate? I believe I had seen that it was around 10%. If so that would put Louisiana as using about 80 extra hospital beds towards Covid19 treatment. Is this close to correct?
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