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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 3/9/20 at 9:59 pm to
Posted by cooLStorybreaUx
Member since Aug 2014
600 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 9:59 pm to
quote:

Germany has over 1000 cases and ZERO deaths.


Germany actually had two deaths today, and the number of infections have doubled in just a couple days. It is just hitting Germany. It has been in Italy for a month now resulting in 463 deaths. It's not an instant death, expect the toll to rise over the next few weeks there. I'm not one to overreact, but blindly posting numbers without perspective is not the best route.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26630 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 9:59 pm to
This is why this thing is so confusing. Either they just aren't reporting (likely) or we really know very little still about this virus and its preferred demographics.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88020 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:00 pm to
So your response to the “good” Germany numbers is that they will die eventually?

Interesting take.
Posted by tgr4ever
Gwinnett, baw
Member since Jul 2011
16214 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:01 pm to
Do you have any proof that the twitter thread is fake? I havent seen anything.
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
46735 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:01 pm to
quote:

It’s not


Link?
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51719 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:01 pm to
Seeing reports of 17 cases in Georgia now. I assume that is the total number, not just a number of new cases.
This post was edited on 3/9/20 at 10:04 pm
Posted by tgr4ever
Gwinnett, baw
Member since Jul 2011
16214 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:01 pm to
quote:

So your response to the “good” Germany numbers is that they will die eventually?

Interesting take.
No I think his response is to wait and see because right now Germany is still on a similar path that Italy was.
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
53474 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:02 pm to
It seems like around six weeks is the mark for fatalities. Based on the rapid surge of deaths in a tight group in the US from the nursing home infection.
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:04 pm to
quote:



Germany actually had two deaths today, and the number of infections have doubled in just a couple days. It is just hitting Germany. It has been in Italy for a month now resulting in 463 deaths. It's not an instant death, expect the toll to rise over the next few weeks there. I'm not one to overreact, but blindly posting numbers without perspective is not the best route.




Lol says the guy who is now stating definitely it’s “just now hitting Germany”.

How do you know that?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21544 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:04 pm to
quote:

And here comes the number one die hard right on schedule.

Germany has over 1000 cases and ZERO deaths...


Germany has two deaths and 1,204 active cases. The nCFR for Germany is 0.2% and the estimated cCFR for Germany is approximately 1%. The majority of the German cases fall in the 20 - 50 age range.

The combined nCFR for Italy, Spain, France, & Germany is 4%.




Posted by cooLStorybreaUx
Member since Aug 2014
600 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:04 pm to
quote:

So your response to the “good” Germany numbers is that they will die eventually?

Interesting take.


Considering deaths spiked drastically in Italy at about the one month mark, the data says yes, it's very possible. Breaking down data and patterns tends to give better results than ignoring due to bias.
Posted by Malik Agar
Member since Nov 2012
12076 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:04 pm to
He's been trolling all day. He's got mental issues so just ignore everything he says.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88020 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:04 pm to
Did you see the guy tweeting? Nothing since 2013 then bam. He suddenly “knows a guy” and tells this story that hasn’t been on the news or shared with video or first hand accounts with people willing to put their name on it? Come on y’all. Don’t be so gullible. It’s 2020. Information is too readily available for y’all to believe this random thread of doom and gloom.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51719 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:05 pm to
How does Mexico only have 7 cases? Just a lack of testing and the number is probably much higher?
Posted by lsunurse
Member since Dec 2005
129146 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:05 pm to
quote:

N95 only for the RN caring for a confirmed pt.


Why though?

WHO says droplet, contact with eye protection is sufficient as it is NOT spread via airborne

Only time you need N-95 is if you are doing procedures like intubations, bronchs, etc
Posted by Paluka
One State Over
Member since Dec 2010
10763 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:05 pm to
quote:

Neither? I think it is to prevent healthcare worker shortage.


Apologies. That came across poorly and I do not disagree.

Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
46735 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:06 pm to
American Academy of Dermatology just cancelled it’s huge annual meeting in Denver. I think that is a first
Posted by cooLStorybreaUx
Member since Aug 2014
600 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:07 pm to
quote:

Lol says the guy who is now stating definitely it’s “just now hitting Germany”.

How do you know that?


That's what the data is saying, not me. Germany's cases doubled in the last 3 days. They are on a path very similar to Italy, who also had very few deaths at the beginning.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88020 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:08 pm to
Don’t bring your weather hoopla in here!!!

Jk... what is nCFR? Fatality rate expected?
Posted by cooLStorybreaUx
Member since Aug 2014
600 posts
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:09 pm to
quote:

No I think his response is to wait and see because right now Germany is still on a similar path that Italy was.

quote:

It seems like around six weeks is the mark for fatalities. Based on the rapid surge of deaths in a tight group in the US from the nursing home infection.

Both of these.
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