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Message

re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 2/2/20 at 1:15 pm to
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20705 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

What is the economic loss of having another version of the Flu every year?

We have another version of the flu going around NOW. Over 8k have died from it this season so far.

I'm not sure what makes one version ok and another version go crazy time.
Posted by bbrownso
Member since Mar 2008
8985 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

I'm not sure what makes one version ok and another version go crazy time.


Combinations of factors: rate of infection, potentially higher rate of death, and the fact that there are a lot of unknowns about it.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

Cocktail of flu, HIV drugs appears to help fight coronavirus: Thai doctors


From what little I know about lopinavir/ritonavir, that makes sense for a viral infection like coronavirus.

Also worth noting those drugs produced favorable results when used during the SARS outbreak.
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
85168 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 1:35 pm to
So where do we stand? Any further cases outside of China?

Seems to have slowed pretty damn quickly. Guess the bio weapon was a dud
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11825 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

Combinations of factors: rate of infection, potentially higher rate of death, and the fact that there are a lot of unknowns about it.


Exactly. I thought that was obvious. Also toss in No Vaccine.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

So where do we stand? Any further cases outside of China?


I haven’t been tracking the daily numbers outside of China, but China has 98.77% of confirmed cases as of now. On January 25th, 98.26% of the confirmed cases were in China.

We've had one confirmed death outside of China - the Philippines.

Thailand was the first country outside of China with a confirmed case on January 13th. That was 20 days ago and they're only up to 19 confirmed cases.

Japan has the most cases internationally with 20. Their first case was confirmed on 1/16.
Posted by Odysseus32
Member since Dec 2009
10053 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 2:08 pm to
Hey man thanks for keeping this info updated. This thread is actually more informative than those feeds the news sites put up. This is actual factual info and nothing else. Really great thing you're doing.
Posted by TomTheGhost
Member since Dec 2018
852 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 2:11 pm to
Anyone see containment percent numbers lately?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

Anyone see containment percent numbers lately?



Haven't seen anything phrased like this since it started.
Posted by NITEFISHER
Behind enemy lines
Member since Aug 2019
140 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 2:56 pm to
"Posted on 2/2/20 at 2:22 pm"

Buy a lottery ticket.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216481 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 2:57 pm to
Am I safe. I haven't left Walker in like three months.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21559 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 2:59 pm to
quote:

@nytimes: The Wuhan coronavirus spreading from China is now likely to become a pandemic that circles the globe, according to experts. But scientists do not yet know how lethal the new coronavirus is.


LINK
This post was edited on 2/2/20 at 3:00 pm
Posted by real turf fan
East Tennessee
Member since Dec 2016
11961 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 3:11 pm to
LINK

Good read even if it's the Daily Mail. The woman it's about is stuck back home in Wuhan where her Mother is dying of rectal cancer. She is in a different hospital probably with the corona virus. Her Father is in a third hospital, also with serious corona symptoms, but also with no formal diagnosis.

This one doesn't have any scientific stuff in it but it gives a pretty good 'man on the street' idea of what someone faces in her situation.
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
18181 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 3:13 pm to
quote:

We have another version of the flu going around NOW. Over 8k have died from it this season so far.

I'm not sure what makes one version ok and another version go crazy time.


The flu hasn't caused cities with millions to be quarantined. Or a big shut down on international flights to and from a country.

Using only current death count of one virus vs another virus is not an accurate measure of crisis/emergency especially one increasing at an alarming rate. And that virus ain't done yet.



Posted by bbrownso
Member since Mar 2008
8985 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

The flu hasn't caused cities with millions to be quarantined. Or a big shut down on international flights to and from a country.


That's the novel/unknown part taking hold. Better to be safe than sorry.

quote:

Using only current death count of one virus vs another virus is not an accurate measure of crisis/emergency especially one increasing at an alarming rate.

True but it's better than just shrugging and say "I don't know." It also gives us some point of reference for comparison and tracking.
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
18181 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 3:31 pm to
quote:

It also gives us some point of reference for comparison and tracking.


True. But to think that we shouldn't take corona virus seriously until it kills more people than the flu would be very complacent and irresponsible .

Let's say there's a chocolate candy selling completion. And you're projected to sell 6000 bars for the contest. That's a nice number. But let's say this unknown seller sold a few his first day. The 2nd day he sold 50% more. The 3rd day he sold 50% more. And he's been increasing sales everyday for 10 days. Don't you think you should pay attention to what he's doing?
Posted by Burhead
Member since Dec 2014
2100 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 3:44 pm to
Another confirmed case in Santa Clara.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182682 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 4:01 pm to
Growth is slowing, though

Jan 27 2,887 (+35.7%)

Jan 28 4,687 (+62.35%)

Jan 29 6,145 (+31.1%)

Jan 30 7,911 (+28.73%)

Jan 31 9,856 (+24.58%)

Feb 1 12,006 (+21.81%)

Feb 2 13,997 (+16.6%)

Feb 3 14,640 ~ ?
Posted by TigerBait1971
PTC GA
Member since Oct 2014
16391 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 4:03 pm to
quote:

Another confirmed case in Santa Clara.


Better than vampires.
Posted by bbrownso
Member since Mar 2008
8985 posts
Posted on 2/2/20 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

Another confirmed case in Santa Clara.


LINK

quote:

"This Santa Clara County case is not related to the first case but they both had recently traveled to Wuhan, China," officials said. "She is a visitor to this county and arrived January 23 to visit family."

The woman has been at home since, except for two times to seek medical care. She has been regularly monitored and never sick enough to be hospitalized.


So not related to the 1st case and seems to have stayed self-quarantined (save for seeking medical attention).
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