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Started By
Message
re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***
Posted on 5/29/20 at 10:51 pm to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
Posted on 5/29/20 at 10:51 pm to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
quote:
JUST IN: @ABC looked at 21 states that eased restrictions May 4 or earlier & found no major increase in hospitalizations, deaths or % of people testing positive in any of them. [SC, MT, GA, MS, SD, AR, CO, ID, IA, ND, OK, TN, TX, UT, WY, KS, FL, IN, MO, NE, OH] via @AMitrops LINK He hasn't posted the data, waiting on that. Even the news media is catching on. Louisiana, its time to join the free states.
Probably apples to oranges comparing the states here.
That Louisiana phase 0.5 that started May 1st probably matched what some of the states did by "opening up" (especially judging by Buckeye's statement on OH - Louisiana was past that point on May 1st).
Phase 0.5 = Restaurants allowing outdoor seating and small business had that "Small businesses could always be open if they kept proper social distancing" clarification that JBE made around May 1st.
1
Posted on 5/29/20 at 11:31 pm to BRIllini07
Partygoer at last weekend's Lake of the Ozarks pool party tests positive, potentially exposing hundreds LINK
Posted on 5/30/20 at 12:33 am to buckeye_vol
Posted on 5/30/20 at 6:42 am to Jim Rockford
quote:
potentially
more of this horse shite
They should have rioted instead
Posted on 5/30/20 at 7:36 am to WaWaWeeWa
From a new British study:
"Some minority ethnic groups have a higher risk of confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection in the UK Biobank study, which was not accounted for by differences in socioeconomic conditions, baseline self-reported health or behavioural risk factors."
Duh. It's Vitamin D. They found that, compared to white British, the risk of infection was at least doubled for black Caribbeans, black Africans, and South Asians -- and that's after they adjusted for everything else that could cause a disparity.
There are multiple reasons that this is so important. One is what WaWaWeeWa and I have been talking about: the variability in the risk of infection means that herd immunity likely exists when 15-20% of the US population has antibodies. I think this can be clearly seen in the sharp dropoff in the NYC infection curve.
The other reason is that it indicates that summer will help us destroy the virus in ways that go beyond the warmer temperatures and higher indoor relative humidity. As we all get more sun and build up more Vitamin D, the population's risk of infection goes down and drops the R value directly.
"Some minority ethnic groups have a higher risk of confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection in the UK Biobank study, which was not accounted for by differences in socioeconomic conditions, baseline self-reported health or behavioural risk factors."
Duh. It's Vitamin D. They found that, compared to white British, the risk of infection was at least doubled for black Caribbeans, black Africans, and South Asians -- and that's after they adjusted for everything else that could cause a disparity.
There are multiple reasons that this is so important. One is what WaWaWeeWa and I have been talking about: the variability in the risk of infection means that herd immunity likely exists when 15-20% of the US population has antibodies. I think this can be clearly seen in the sharp dropoff in the NYC infection curve.
The other reason is that it indicates that summer will help us destroy the virus in ways that go beyond the warmer temperatures and higher indoor relative humidity. As we all get more sun and build up more Vitamin D, the population's risk of infection goes down and drops the R value directly.
Posted on 5/30/20 at 10:08 am to GOP_Tiger
That’s a good point.
What’s even more interesting about Vitamin D is that you can’t just get sun. If you live above the 37th parallel you can’t even get vitamin D even when you are in the sun at certain times of the year. It has something to do with the angle of the sunlight and the atmosphere
Isn’t it interesting that this started in November and started to turn the corner in March?
What’s even more interesting about Vitamin D is that you can’t just get sun. If you live above the 37th parallel you can’t even get vitamin D even when you are in the sun at certain times of the year. It has something to do with the angle of the sunlight and the atmosphere
quote:
The best way to get vitamin D is naturally from the sun. However, if you live above the 37th parallel (37 degrees latitude), or anywhere north of Los Angeles, then you really can’t get much vitamin D from November to March when the sun is very low in the sky (all of Utah is above the 37th parallel). Thus, we have to rely on the vitamin D we were able to store up from the summer or the vitamin D we can take in through our diets and supplements.
Isn’t it interesting that this started in November and started to turn the corner in March?
This post was edited on 5/30/20 at 10:15 am
Posted on 5/30/20 at 10:26 am to WaWaWeeWa
And that northern latitudes were hit hardest, thus far.
Then you can throw the effects of tall buildings in big cities has on the ability for sunlight to reach the ground
Then you can throw the effects of tall buildings in big cities has on the ability for sunlight to reach the ground
Posted on 5/30/20 at 10:59 am to WaWaWeeWa
Preprint out of Seattle looking at antibodies in children.
Not a random sampling, but found:
Also... the Feds are pushing back at Cuomo's claim that he was only following their guidelines.
Not a random sampling, but found:
quote:
In particular, seropositivity increased markedly from March to April of 2020, and most seropositive children had never tested positive for virus. However, the overall frequency of seropositivity was low (~1%) even in April, suggesting that while infections of children are often missed by viral testing perhaps due to the lack of symptoms, only a small fraction of children in Seattle had been infected by SARS-CoV-2as of April 2020.
Also... the Feds are pushing back at Cuomo's claim that he was only following their guidelines.
This post was edited on 5/30/20 at 11:18 am
Posted on 5/30/20 at 11:03 am to Sasquatch Smash
The Sun’s UV rays are also more intense in the summer. Virus’ do not tolerate UV rays very well.
Posted on 5/30/20 at 11:22 am to Sasquatch Smash
quote:
Busting balls, he does do good work, just a perception of him pooping on anything positive in this.
Does he? His act on here is hilarious to me. He's a community college professor with a masters in stats as his terminal education, yet also one of the foremost COVID experts on the internet able to instantly debunk the work of far superior scientists.
Posted on 5/30/20 at 11:26 am to MusclesofBrussels
quote:
a masters in stats as his terminal education
This alone probably makes him more qualified than most biology PhDs and especially any MD when it comes to calling out the stats issues in their papers.
Just because someone has a doctorate doesn't mean they are good at stats.
This post was edited on 5/30/20 at 11:27 am
Posted on 5/30/20 at 5:21 pm to MusclesofBrussels
quote:I have a PhD and I start a tenure-track position at 4-year University this fall, where I’ll be overseeing doctoral students’ research as well. My stats degree was a supplemental degree that I was able to receive as I was completing my PhD in a different field.
He's a community college professor with a masters in stats as his terminal education,
I’m no expert by any means, and while I don’t have too many peer-reviewed journal publications (8) and I’ve peer-reviewed just a few publications myself, I think I have enough knowledge and experience to at least critically discuss science, which I enjoy discussing.
I’m probably wrong about a lot though, and you’re free to point out my errors. But instead all you’ve done is mock me and (as you’ve done here) make up some fake educational and professional background.
This post was edited on 5/30/20 at 5:22 pm
Posted on 5/30/20 at 7:04 pm to frankthetank
jesus has nothing to do with it.
Posted on 5/30/20 at 8:34 pm to CelticDog
Posted on 5/31/20 at 12:17 am to WaWaWeeWa
I’m in the sun a lot. I’m still deficient and 5000 is didn’t help much so I take 10000/d
People should consider getting their levels tested with routine bloodwork.
People should consider getting their levels tested with routine bloodwork.
This post was edited on 5/31/20 at 12:18 am
Posted on 5/31/20 at 4:16 am to tiger91
My wife takes 10,000 per her doctors orders after blood work.
Posted on 5/31/20 at 1:19 pm to tiger91
I go for 30-45m walks every day and crossfit 4x a week, which often involves running, and I take 20,000IU every 2 days. My vit d was 27 when I started supplementing, it is now between 70-80 when I get tested.
It isn't always easy to get vitamin d.
It isn't always easy to get vitamin d.
This post was edited on 5/31/20 at 2:25 pm
Posted on 5/31/20 at 7:18 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
I’m probably wrong about a lot though, and you’re free to point out my errors. But instead all you’ve done is mock me and (as you’ve done here) make up some fake educational and professional background.
It is what the uneducated do. Don't sweat it. It is the 3rd grade mentality that this country has taken on.
Posted on 6/1/20 at 1:53 am to buckeye_vol
quote:
I’m no expert by any means
Then why do you continue to act like it in any COVID thread, man. Give it up. You’d be working somewhere else If you knew half of what you claim to know.
Posted on 6/1/20 at 7:45 am to Errerrerrwere
Inidan preprint with a look at the use of hydroxychloroquine as a prophylaxis in healthcare workers.
This bit was interesting. I guess they're implying that people took more risks with a few doses which led to them being infected.
quote:
The pivotal finding of our study was the noteworthy benefits of HCQ prophylaxis. It was identified that simply initiating HCQ prophylaxis did not reduce the odds of acquiring SARS-CoV-2 infection among HCWs. However, with the intake of four or more maintenance doses of HCQ, the protective effect started emerging, and in the adjusted multivariate model, a significant reduction (>80%) in the odds of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the HCWs was identified with the intake of six or more doses of HCQ prophylaxis.
This bit was interesting. I guess they're implying that people took more risks with a few doses which led to them being infected.
quote:
The first part of the dose-response relationship curve showed an apparent increase in the odds of acquiring SARS-CoV-2 infection in HCWs who had taken 2-3 doses of HCQ prophylaxis. While this phenomenon cannot be fully explained by the data collected through the present study, lessons from other areas of public health could be of some help. The parallels include (i) seat-belt legislations vis-à-vis speeding and road traffic casualties, and (ii) condom use promotion with unintended effects linked to greater sexual activities.
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