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Started By
Message
re: Category 5 Hurricane Melissa - 185 mph, 892mb, Top 3 in Recorded History
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:00 pm to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:00 pm to LegendInMyMind
933 mb pressure in latest advisory. Winds 145 mph.
Moving west (270 degrees) at 5 mph.
Moving west (270 degrees) at 5 mph.
1
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:06 pm to IT_Dawg
quote:
This might actually be what this beautiful country needed to accelerate the pace of the revolution. In 10 years, instead of 50….this place will be absolutely amazing
Same words were said about another 3rd World locale after a hurricane in 2005.
Hard to change the trajectory of a $hithole no matter how good the intentions of outsider help. Even after a Black Swan event that should be a wake up call...
That said, prayers for any human beings in the face of this thing, the satellite picture with the last flash of sunset against Melissa's eyewall is
an astoundingly ominous image.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 7:21 pm to LegendInMyMind
This is one of the most perfectly formed storms I've ever seen.
The professional mets and analysts on Storm2K are certain Melissa will be Cat 5 overnight and they were just explaining what is about to happen in the southern sea level towns like Kingston. Melissa is moving so slowly that Kingston will suffer tremendous damage obviously from the storm, the storm surge and the potential 75 inches of rain but directly behind theses towns is a mountain range that will gather all that rain, mix it with mud and rocks and funnel back down onto the sea level towns. Prayers to Jamaica and the Cajun Navy
The professional mets and analysts on Storm2K are certain Melissa will be Cat 5 overnight and they were just explaining what is about to happen in the southern sea level towns like Kingston. Melissa is moving so slowly that Kingston will suffer tremendous damage obviously from the storm, the storm surge and the potential 75 inches of rain but directly behind theses towns is a mountain range that will gather all that rain, mix it with mud and rocks and funnel back down onto the sea level towns. Prayers to Jamaica and the Cajun Navy
Posted on 10/26/25 at 8:58 pm to Disco Ball
I'm wondering of we're starting to see hints of an EWRC beginning. That would be a limiting factor for further strengthening tonight. It wouldn't really be the best timing for Jamaica, though.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 9:13 pm to Disco Ball
Meanwhile, there is a Flash Flood Emergency with a Catastrophic tag NW of Orlando. They've seen nearly 20" of rain today/tonight.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 9:16 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
I'm wondering of we're starting to see hints of an EWRC beginning. That would be a limiting factor for further strengthening tonight. It wouldn't really be the best timing for Jamaica, though.
One of the most respected mets on Storm2k feels that she's in the downside of an eyewall replacement as we speak. I've only been paying attention for the last few hours since she isn't a threat to the gulf.
Most of the day her course has been due west but in the last two hours she's now wobbling southwest. Still expected to turn north overnight.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 10:00 pm to rds dc
Melissa is a compact hurricane.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 10:13 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Posted on 10/26/25 at 10:18 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Melissa is now forecast to make landfall as a Cat. 5. That would definitely make it the strongest hurricane to ever directly hit Jamaica, topping Gilbert. Forecast landfall is a little further west which is slightly better news for Kingston.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 10:22 pm to Disco Ball
quote:
One of the most respected mets on Storm2k feels that she's in the downside of an eyewall replacement as we speak.
Suspected to be an eyewall merger. We never saw the deterioration of the inner eyewall or a really widening of the eye or broadening of the wind field. I guess it is technically an EWRC, but doesn't seem to have the same impact on the storm. It hasn't weakened any appreciable amount during that merger as it does with a traditional EWRC.
Irma did the same during one of its EWRCs.
This post was edited on 10/26/25 at 10:24 pm
Posted on 10/26/25 at 10:26 pm to LegendInMyMind
Yeah, after I posted the consensus changed to a "meld" rather than a "replacement".
They really don't know what's going on with this one. Her intensity has exploded over the past 45 minutes. AF went out at 10:15. Hopefully we'll see some good data soon.
They really don't know what's going on with this one. Her intensity has exploded over the past 45 minutes. AF went out at 10:15. Hopefully we'll see some good data soon.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 10:33 pm to Disco Ball
quote:
They really don't know what's going on with this one. Her intensity has exploded over the past 45 minutes. AF went out at 10:15. Hopefully we'll see some good data soon.
They learn from every one of them, and every one is different. It has definitely taken advantage of the meger and started to ramp back up.
The good thing is that we've had pretty constant planes in it. Hopefully, there is another headed that way soon.
Posted on 10/27/25 at 5:24 am to rds dc
Category 5 Hurricane Melissa this morning. Max sustained winds 160 mph.
This post was edited on 10/27/25 at 5:32 am
Posted on 10/27/25 at 5:56 am to LegendInMyMind
Jeebus!!!!
Posted on 10/27/25 at 6:31 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Posted on 10/27/25 at 6:56 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Wow
Posted on 10/27/25 at 7:24 am to LanierSpots
Those poor people
Posted on 10/27/25 at 7:27 am to LanierSpots
AF Hurricane Hunter data is in
912.9MB
Here are all the sub-920 hurricanes in the Atlantic. Melissa is now at #15 on the all-time Atlantic list in terms of pressure.
880s
882 - Wilma (2005)
888 - Gilbert (1988)
890s
892 - Labor Day (1935)
895 - Rita (2005)
895 - Milton (2024)
899 - Allen (1980)
900s
900 - Camille (1969)
902 - Katrina (2005)
905 - Mitch (1998)
905 - Dean (2007)
908 - Maria (2017)
910s
910 - Cuba (1924)
910 - Ivan (2004)
910 - Dorian (2019)
913 - Melissa (2025)
914 - Janet (1955)
914 - Hattie (1961)
914 - Irma (2017)
915 - Cuba (1932)
915 - Isabel (2003)
915 - Erin (2025)
916 - Opal (1995)
917 - Iota (2020)
918 - Great Atlantic (1944)
918 - Hugo (1989)
919 - Esther (1961)
919 - Gloria (1985)
919 - Michael (2018)
912.9MB
Here are all the sub-920 hurricanes in the Atlantic. Melissa is now at #15 on the all-time Atlantic list in terms of pressure.
880s
882 - Wilma (2005)
888 - Gilbert (1988)
890s
892 - Labor Day (1935)
895 - Rita (2005)
895 - Milton (2024)
899 - Allen (1980)
900s
900 - Camille (1969)
902 - Katrina (2005)
905 - Mitch (1998)
905 - Dean (2007)
908 - Maria (2017)
910s
910 - Cuba (1924)
910 - Ivan (2004)
910 - Dorian (2019)
913 - Melissa (2025)
914 - Janet (1955)
914 - Hattie (1961)
914 - Irma (2017)
915 - Cuba (1932)
915 - Isabel (2003)
915 - Erin (2025)
916 - Opal (1995)
917 - Iota (2020)
918 - Great Atlantic (1944)
918 - Hugo (1989)
919 - Esther (1961)
919 - Gloria (1985)
919 - Michael (2018)
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