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re: Big Cold Blast Coming - Round 2

Posted on 12/13/17 at 2:47 pm to
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5417 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 2:47 pm to
I believe the Canadian showed it first and the NAM latched on and never backed off. But those models don't go out this far so I don't think any model can claim to have nailed the last one from this far out.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23479 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

What model predicted the snow event so far out? That's the one im gonna ride with

Canadian and NAM were solid with the EURO jumping on board followed by the GFS.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
49052 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 2:59 pm to
NAM correctly predicted Hammond to Ascension Parish as the areas with most accumulations. It was dead on in that prediction. I remember it predicting from 4-8" in those areas and in my part of northeastern Ascension parish, we received 6.5".
Posted by CuseTiger
Member since Jul 2013
8947 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 3:02 pm to
Where with the euro runs does it show precip? Every time I'm on Trop tidbits I can never see the euro precip runs, only the lower,upper, and thermodynamics like this.


I've found the GFS, CMC, and NAVGEM MSLP & precip models but can't see the ECMWF. Is this a case where the ECMWF does not run precip models, only the thermodynamics?
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 3:02 pm to
Thought there was one that was 10 days out that nailed it
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18011 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 3:12 pm to
Weather.us shows the Euro with precip
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23479 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 3:14 pm to
Yeah you can't get everything from tropicaltidbits. Check weather.us
Posted by CuseTiger
Member since Jul 2013
8947 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 3:25 pm to
Thanks! Think I'll just stick with watching the gfs and cmc runs while leaving the euro runs to the experts on here, trop tid is a bit easier to maneuver than the weather . us site in my novice opinion
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23479 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 3:29 pm to
I agree. Not a huge fan of Weather.us so far.

Take a look at "Americawx southeastern states"
This post was edited on 12/13/17 at 3:30 pm
Posted by CuseTiger
Member since Jul 2013
8947 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 3:38 pm to
Browsing the site and so far every model run has a "Sorry, we could not find that!", probably because I'm not a member?
Posted by ElderTiger
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2010
7662 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 3:56 pm to
quote:

Let's see what Pat Shingleton has to say first


LOL
Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34654 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 4:05 pm to
From James Spann,
Posted by OweO
Plaquemine, La
Member since Sep 2009
120015 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 4:08 pm to
I hope that dude who was pissed about Pat Shingleton being wrong last week about the snow finds him a new weatherman before Christmas.
Posted by crazyLSUstudent
391 miles away from Tiger Stadium
Member since Mar 2012
6036 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 4:22 pm to
Going to be in Huntsville, AL
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 4:30 pm to
quote:

Where with the euro runs does it show precip? Every time I'm on Trop tidbits I can never see the euro precip runs, only the lower,upper, and thermodynamics like this.


Euro is limited on tropical tidbits.



That Euro run is showing a potential blizzard/ice storm for the country's mid section. That low over Colorado will dive down into the plains and get stronger. Depending on track, it paints an icy picture for somewhere.

That big artic high over Canada is worth watching run to run if that low keeps showing up. It'll block a northern path if it doesn't move out to the east. Putting Oklahoma and North Texas in the thick of it. IMO. Which isn't that of a professional.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
49052 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 5:00 pm to
Updated the original post
Posted by dawgfan24348
Member since Oct 2011
51436 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 5:06 pm to
Eww cold rain
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 5:12 pm to
I'll take cold rain over the ice storms that have been thrown out there.
Posted by RidiculousHype
The Hatch
Member since Sep 2007
10724 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 5:22 pm to
18z GFS is off the rails

Shows a dusting for BR on the 23rd, an ice storm of Biblical proportions on Christmas Day, and a sleet/snow mix on the 27th

What a week that would be!
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23479 posts
Posted on 12/13/17 at 6:20 pm to
Sensory overload!!
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