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re: Beta - Downgraded to TD - Now Short Break in Storms or Season Over?

Posted on 9/18/20 at 5:35 pm to
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100545 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 5:35 pm to
quote:

thought everyone who posts on TD is either a missile surgeon or a brain scientist.


No I’m a billionaire investor and I do porno vids on the side with OT 10s because I have a massive cock
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 5:41 pm to
12z Euro EPS rainfall map doesn't have the typical sharp gradient, as this setup will favor some decent rains far inland away from the system on the western side. However, there will be a very sharp gradient for the biggest totals and some of those are nervously close to the Houston area.

This post was edited on 9/18/20 at 5:42 pm
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
83720 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 5:42 pm to
quote:

No I’m a billionaire investor and I do porno vids on the side with OT 10s because I have a massive cock


I know that, dumbass. We're identical twins.
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
86193 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 5:57 pm to
Have the weather people moved off of using el nino? I remember as a kid that's all they would talk about.
This post was edited on 9/18/20 at 5:58 pm
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
83720 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 6:06 pm to


Posted by Teton Tiger
Somewhere between here and there.
Member since Mar 2005
3034 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 6:11 pm to
Holy shite
Posted by Tllsu
Maurice
Member since Nov 2015
2476 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 6:15 pm to
Is that some 60 mph drops showing up in the LLC?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 6:21 pm to
No, that was in the convective burst to the NE of the center. There was a little pressure drop in that area but the center is really farther south. It's going to be a pretty stretched out center from SW to NE with this shear.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43200 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 6:30 pm to
center looks a little south of that main blowup of storms.
Posted by 1609tiger
Member since Feb 2011
3729 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 6:32 pm to
Yeah I’ve got treatments at MD Anderson Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday morning. Should be ok as of current forecast.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100545 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 6:34 pm to
quote:

It's going to be a pretty stretched out center


Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 6:42 pm to
North of 25?
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43200 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 6:46 pm to
looks like it RDS
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43200 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 6:46 pm to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146425 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 6:53 pm to
finding 55-60 kts (63-69 mph) already at flight level?
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13781 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 8:19 pm to
Looks like 1000 mb and several 48 knot SFMR. Could be 55 mph at next advisory.

Location is 25.2 92.3

That is a bit NE of 4 pm advisory

Forecast for 1 am was 25.1 92.9. It’s already A good bit ENE of there.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 8:21 pm to
quote:

Forecast for 1 am was 25.1 92.9. It’s already A good bit ENE of there.


Which makes for an interesting next step as it gets pushed west under the ridge. Does it still get to the coast or inland?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146425 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 8:21 pm to
quote:

Looks like 1000 mb and several 48 knot SFMR. Could be 55 mph at next advisory.

Location is 25.2 92.3

That is a bit NE of 4 pm advisory

Forecast for 1 am was 25.1 92.9. It’s already A good bit ENE of there.

when we're playing a game of "will it make landfall in Texas before turning towards Louisiana"

it being further away from Texas as a start point isn't a great thing
Posted by TigerNAtux
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2007
18480 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 8:54 pm to
Beta or no Beta...I ain’t mad about these temps.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13781 posts
Posted on 9/18/20 at 9:08 pm to
Lowest pressure is at 25.6 North 92.1 West on second pass.

raw data says 996 mb but it is usually adjusted. I guess we will see with the next VDM.
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