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Started By
Message
2
Posted on 6/30/24 at 7:12 am to stout
quote:
It needs to stay off of American soil.
It fricking better
I'll be pissed if I have to remember a storm named fricking Beryl, much less actually live through it
Such a shite name
Posted on 6/30/24 at 7:32 am to TheArrogantCorndog
Beryl STAAACCKED
Cancun FRRRICCCKED
Cancun FRRRICCCKED
Posted on 6/30/24 at 7:36 am to Bobby OG Johnson
Damn it’s early for a monster like this.
I don’t think a major has hit the islands in recorded modern times.
I don’t think a major has hit the islands in recorded modern times.
This post was edited on 6/30/24 at 7:40 am
Posted on 6/30/24 at 7:40 am to loogaroo
Looking at the new sketti models from this morning, I’m becoming more uncomfortable
Posted on 6/30/24 at 7:45 am to LSUfanNkaty
This is crazy. I don’t know if we have ever had a cat 4 in June.
Posted on 6/30/24 at 7:48 am to LSUfanNkaty
Can you post or link them?
I'm uneasy about this one, but have nothing to justify that unease
I'm uneasy about this one, but have nothing to justify that unease
Posted on 6/30/24 at 7:49 am to LSUfanNkaty
That swing north at the end of the models isn’t ideal.
Posted on 6/30/24 at 7:50 am to rds dc
Bastard Beryl
Posted on 6/30/24 at 7:50 am to SlowFlowPro
Posted on 6/30/24 at 7:58 am to Obtuse1
quote:
how the frick does someone that lives on the Gulf Coast
I moved from DFW to Hattiesburg a couple of years ago. Hattiesburg sucks (only here temporarily) but I'm not taking a direct hit from a hurricane. We purposely chose it for this reason. I have family in Baton Rouge (where I'm from) and my wife has family in the Biloxi area. If a hurricane hits MS, I can go to Baton Rouge....or east to Florida where I have friends or to Texas where I still have my office and friends. I'm not stranded by any stretch of the imagination.
Posted on 6/30/24 at 7:58 am to lsuman25
Wasn't looking for a cat three when it is that far out.
Posted on 6/30/24 at 7:58 am to ApisMellifera
quote:
That swing north at the end of the models isn’t ideal.
Yeah no doubt and even more worrisome depending on where the contact with the Yucatán and how much it weakens…
Posted on 6/30/24 at 8:01 am to lsuman25
That's one mean motor scooter.... and a bad go-getter! There's that one red plot which has its sights straight on the Southeast Texas Coast... sheesh. Enough to sicken even the least squeamish
Posted on 6/30/24 at 8:03 am to lsuman25
ensemble members showing a spread all the way from LA to Mexico
Posted on 6/30/24 at 8:03 am to Hangit
That’s us a bad arse dude right there…. A perfect buzzsaw.
Posted on 6/30/24 at 8:14 am to loogaroo
quote:
This is crazy. I don’t know if we have ever had a cat 4 in June.
quote:
Major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger) in June are extremely rare in the Atlantic. The month has accounted for just 1% of all the Atlantic majors since 1851, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
LINK
Looks like Audrey (1957) is the only cat 4 to ever make a June landfall that we know of.
Of course Beryl won’t reach the US until July.
Posted on 6/30/24 at 8:19 am to tarzana
quote:
That's one mean motor scooter.... and a bad go-getter! There's that one red plot which has its sights straight on the Southeast Texas Coast... sheesh. Enough to sicken even the least squeamish
Don’t fret, those 150° temperatures you predicted this week will keep this mean motor scooter away from us!
Posted on 6/30/24 at 8:24 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:
I'm uneasy about this one, but have nothing to justify that unease
Slow, I got good news for ya. While yes, I cant take Lake Charles off the table, it is far from the scenario Im expecting currently.
Modeling has a little high pressure over the Northern Gulf has Baryl makes the approach toward Cuba and the Yucatan. This should force Baryl inland for the first time before a gulf entrance.
In addition, as long as that little high pressure is positioned over the northern gulf, its gonna drive Baryl to the west.
Some of the members you see with a north turn in the Gulf are seeing this high pressure get moved a little east and opening a door. Thats why i cant take LC off the board but dude, that high would need be eroded or shift more east than models are showing to get a potential trajectory toward LC.
Not impossible, but as things look this am, it would take a lot of bad luck to put LC under the gun.
Posted on 6/30/24 at 8:25 am to Duke
Side question: why’d the other thread get locked??
This post was edited on 6/30/24 at 8:26 am
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