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re: Agung Volcano - Alert Level IV - World Wide Climate Altering Potential

Posted on 9/29/17 at 11:12 pm to
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
67022 posts
Posted on 9/29/17 at 11:12 pm to
Posted by stuntman
Florida
Member since Jan 2013
11168 posts
Posted on 9/30/17 at 12:22 am to
quote:

It's about to cropdust the frick out of Indonesia too


Posted by GeorgeTheGreek
Sparta, Greece
Member since Mar 2008
69593 posts
Posted on 9/30/17 at 12:31 am to
Will this volcano affect Punta Cana?
Posted by TheArrogantCorndog
Highland Rd
Member since Sep 2009
16043 posts
Posted on 9/30/17 at 12:41 am to

Ground she's movin' under me
Tidal waves out on the sea
Sulfur smoke up in the sky
Pretty soon we learn to fly

Let me hear ya now I don't know
I don't know 
I don't know where imma gonna go 
When the volcano blow

Now my girl quickly say to me 
Mon you better watch your feet 
Lava come down soft and hot 
You better lava me now or lava me not


Posted by vengeanceofrain
depends
Member since Jun 2013
12465 posts
Posted on 9/30/17 at 2:04 am to
quote:

Yellowstone typically blows every 600,000 years.
like a wife basically
Posted by Konkey Dong
Member since Aug 2013
2388 posts
Posted on 9/30/17 at 2:10 am to
Has Peej made his prediction?
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
184692 posts
Posted on 9/30/17 at 2:19 am to
quote:

Will this volcano affect Punta Cana?




Is this your way of trying to subtle brag you're going to Punta Cana?
Posted by cave canem
pullarius dominus
Member since Oct 2012
12186 posts
Posted on 9/30/17 at 2:25 am to
quote:

Based on the analysis of current monitoring data, at this moment, the probability of an eruption is higher than the probability of no eruption; however, the probability may change at any time depending on current monitoring data.
If an eruption does occur, it is most likely to be small at first; however, a large eruption may follow. The size of future eruptions cannot be determined with certainty.
The exact date and time of future eruptions cannot be predicted,



holy mother of we don't know shite.

may or may not blow up
could be big or small
if it does happen we don't know when

But trust us, we are scientist
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
103935 posts
Posted on 9/30/17 at 7:46 am to
Volcanoes are unpredictable. All they know is activity shows it's likely about to blow due to increased steam, seismic activity, and mountain swelling. Lot of dead wildlife such as birds being seen in the area which is usually a good sign of an eruption coming.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21711 posts
Posted on 9/30/17 at 10:43 am to
Live Cam but nothing going on right now.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
103935 posts
Posted on 9/30/17 at 10:52 am to
yea it could take up to 2 weeks for it to blow, if it does at all.

Makes a live cam quite boring until it actually happens. You either have to have no life to sit and stare for days or just get really lucky to catch the initial explosion.
Posted by biggsc
Member since Mar 2009
34777 posts
Posted on 9/30/17 at 10:53 am to
Yellowstone could happen before then
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
103935 posts
Posted on 9/30/17 at 11:35 am to
I'm wondering if we will start to see increased activity around the pacific ring of fire. Apparently the tectonic plate has been moving unusually fast at 4 inches per year and is under a ton of pressure currently. 2 major earthquakes in Mexico City and now agung about to blow...all lies on the same plate border that makes up the ring of fire
Posted by DustyDinkleman
Here
Member since Feb 2012
20391 posts
Posted on 9/30/17 at 11:37 am to
quote:

if things don't change, we very well could see another hyper active hurricane season next year.



That's the thing with teleconnections. They DO change
Posted by MBclass83
Member since Oct 2010
10397 posts
Posted on 9/30/17 at 1:02 pm to
Well, I don't want to land in New York City.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 9/30/17 at 1:47 pm to
quote:


Oh good, we must have fixed it.


Pressure valve.
Posted by bamafan1001
Member since Jun 2011
15783 posts
Posted on 9/30/17 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

Yellowstone typically blows every 600,000 years.


We absolutely dont know this
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 9/30/17 at 2:53 pm to
There is a volcano near me. The magma chamber is live. The most recent kablooie was 10,000 years ago. Usga website says this one and 5 others in the region from santa cruz to here are all due. Not a peep from any of them except for incessant small earthquakes. small earthquakes (2.0 to 4.0). I guess thats "peeps" but nothing unusual, no swarms.
I hate living near a volcano. Frigging property values go south if it swarms. I remember when the feds would not let people sell at all when there were swarms in the sierra.
This post was edited on 9/30/17 at 2:56 pm
Posted by yurintroubl
Dallas, Tx.
Member since Apr 2008
30192 posts
Posted on 9/30/17 at 4:30 pm to
quote:

What does the Euro model have on this volcano? Does the GFS overestimate volcanic intensity as well?

Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
103935 posts
Posted on 9/30/17 at 4:40 pm to
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