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re: 2 years ago a 30-yr mortgage rate was 2.87% & average new home price in the US was $405k

Posted on 9/15/22 at 7:27 pm to
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75185 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 7:27 pm to
quote:

50-100k over asking


And in some cases, that number would have been the 3rd or 4th best offer.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 7:35 pm to
quote:

We’re still several years away from adequate inventory. Home prices/values more than likely won’t be rising exponentially like they have been doing the past couple of years. More than likely we are going to see a stabilization, if you will, and somewhere around 2-4% appreciation rates, maybe 4-7% in hotter markets.


if you say so

All you ever talk about is inventory like that’s the only variable in the equation.

There is going to be plenty of inventory when people start defaulting when they get laid off. You clearly don’t grasp what we are on the precipice of.
This post was edited on 9/15/22 at 7:35 pm
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75185 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 7:37 pm to
Fascinating take, but I think you’re wrong.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 7:39 pm to
We will find out soon enough
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 7:42 pm to
Fed funds target rate for the end of the year is around 4-4.5%. That’s almost double where we are now.

Mortgage rates could be close to 10% by that time.

Equity is going to be expensive as shite and this countries growth was predicated on cheap cash. The entire economy is about to grind to a halt which is going to lead to massive unemployment.

Like Obama said, don’t underestimate Joe’s ability to frick things up.

Posted by Metrybaw
Member since Apr 2022
179 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 7:42 pm to
Refinanced during COVID at 2.875 for 15 years. That was the best available rate at the time from my bank. They said they'd rather not loan out money than go lower.

In retrospect they were right and I got a deal
This post was edited on 9/15/22 at 7:49 pm
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167230 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 7:43 pm to
quote:

All you ever talk about is inventory like that’s the only variable in the equation.




He's like a broken record with that one hot take
Posted by QuothTheRaven
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2019
183 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 8:21 pm to
Purchased my first home in July this year with a FHA loan at 3.8%. Conventional was around 4.5% at that time. The housing market in Madison, AL is still going crazy, even with the higher rates. A house a block over from me that was smaller and on a lot smaller lot just sold for $30k more than my house did. There is a lot of money flowing in the Huntsville area, I don't know when the market here will crash.
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
34718 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 8:22 pm to
Average home price is $550?

I find that extremely hard to believe that's absurd. People about to be house poor as frick if they are dumb enough to pay that
This post was edited on 9/15/22 at 8:24 pm
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75185 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 8:23 pm to
quote:

I don't know when the market here will crash.


More than likely it won’t and if it does it will be minimal compared to areas that aren’t as hot as greater Huntsville is at the moment.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56472 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 8:36 pm to
quote:

Thanks to a bunch of cowardly assholes, including 90+% of this board, who supported shutting down the world.



While true, there has been TONS of continued govt spending since then.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56472 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 8:53 pm to
quote:

You guys acting like the crash has happened already. This is just the appetizer


this
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 9:16 pm to
quote:

Average home price is $550?


When mortgage rates are 10% in the next year the interest on the average home will be equal to the average US salary.

Their entire salary.
Before taxes.
Just for the interest.



But prices are going to keep going up
Posted by SuperSaint
Sorting Out OT BS Since '2007'
Member since Sep 2007
140462 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 9:24 pm to
quote:

There is going to be plenty of inventory when people start defaulting when they get laid off. You clearly don’t grasp what we are on the precipice of.
put your prediction down on paper then mister doomsdayer

I bought a new home back in March. Paid over asking. It appraised for $50k more than that. I’m not expecting to see a bottom fall out on it but I’m willing to hear your prediction on when it will.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 9:32 pm to
My prediction is here for as long as the hamsters keep the servers running

quote:

Paid over asking. It appraised for $50k more than that.


Is this your evidence to support the idea that prices aren’t going down?
Posted by Armymann50
Playing with my
Member since Sep 2011
17047 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 9:41 pm to
quote:

This is fricking unbelievable to me


i remeber when 7% was the lowest you could get
Posted by TutHillTiger
Mississippi Alabama
Member since Sep 2010
43700 posts
Posted on 9/15/22 at 9:51 pm to
And your point is? Lol
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