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Started By
Message
re: 1795 covid-19 cases in LA (+407), 19 new deaths
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:24 pm to The Boat
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:24 pm to The Boat
quote:
65 deaths. At this point Italy had 52.
Testing in both places was sporadic at best but if we are truly trailing Italy's timeline of new cases by over 200 then that would be a good sign.
Italy - 2036 compared to LA - 1795
1
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:26 pm to The Boat
(no message)
This post was edited on 3/25/20 at 12:28 pm
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:27 pm to The Boat
The numbers aren't lying and people can literally see what is coming and they just can't come to terms with it.. next week and the following week are going to be a horror show
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:29 pm to The Pirate King
quote:
Today, Louisiana is reporting 407 new positive #COVID19 cases and 19 new deaths. We now have 1,795 positive cases in Louisiana. We have completed 11,451 tests."
So we added almost 3K tests/a fourth of total tests in one day? Of course the numbers are going to go up when you dump that many tests in a day.
This post was edited on 3/25/20 at 12:32 pm
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:31 pm to wm72
How accurate are these tests? I asked before but can't find much. What I did find was they were created to not give false positives, but they would give false negatives. Read somewhere that the Chinese tests were even worse and would give both false negatives and false positives.
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:31 pm to Antonio Moss
Would you think the best metric to track this is the # of hospitalizations? Last Friday, 3/20 I believe that # was 350.
Yesterday, 3/24 according to the LDH, 271 COVID-19 patients were hospitalized. Of those, 94 patients required ventilation.
Yesterday, 3/24 according to the LDH, 271 COVID-19 patients were hospitalized. Of those, 94 patients required ventilation.
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:32 pm to Hydrilla Gorilla
quote:
The numbers aren't lying and people can literally see what is coming and they just can't come to terms with it.. next week and the following week are going to be a horror show
It will be bad but we did take protective measures before Italy on the timeline and, if I had to guess, our per capita testing is higher.
That may stave off an Italy like outcome
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:32 pm to JJ27
quote:
So we added almost 3K tests/a third of total tests in one day? Of course the numbers are going to go up when you dump that many tests in a day.
According to Dr. Birx yesterday afternoon, they're still working through a backlog of tests as they get more capacity from private labs, so the day-over-day change could be misleading. Not trying to downplay the ongoing risk, but it's possible that we're closer to flattening out than it may otherwise seem.
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:35 pm to Hydrilla Gorilla
quote:
The numbers aren't lying and people can literally see what is coming and they just can't come to terms with it.. next week and the following week are going to be a horror show
GTFO
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:36 pm to cbdman
The number hospitalized has dropped?
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:37 pm to cbdman
quote:
Of those, 94 patients required ventilation.
This is the main concern, patients requiring ventilation. Total positive isn't as important as the ones needing a vent.
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:38 pm to Hydrilla Gorilla
quote:
The numbers aren't lying and people can literally see what is coming and they just can't come to terms with it.. next week and the following week are going to be a horror show
you think we will be having 600 deaths per day in 2 weeks?
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:39 pm to cbdman
quote:
Would you think the best metric to track this is the # of hospitalizations? Last Friday, 3/20 I believe that # was 350.
No, the best method would undoubtedly be total infections but we aren't going to get close to an accurate number.
The reason total cases is a better macro metric than total deaths is because deaths have a 10-28 day delay built in. When you look at total new deaths, you are looking at infections that took hold 2-4 weeks ago.
Of course, when testing is a mess, deaths gives us a much better idea of the total spread because a lot of people aren't being tested but every death is counted.
This post was edited on 3/25/20 at 12:40 pm
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:41 pm to Salmon
quote:
you think we will be having 600 deaths per day in 2 weeks?
why wouldn't we? serious question
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:42 pm to Hydrilla Gorilla
fear mongering. get this shite out of here.
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:42 pm to Salmon
quote:no, we will be at roughly 200 dead each day at that point
you think we will be having 600 deaths per day in 2 weeks?
This post was edited on 3/25/20 at 12:44 pm
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:43 pm to rocket31
Why would we? Simply because that’s what happened to Italy?
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:44 pm to The Boat
Are all the test in this report finalized or are there some still waiting on results?
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:44 pm to rocket31
wut
Posted on 3/25/20 at 12:45 pm to tgrbaitn08
Has anyone read/ seen any information regarding the two deaths that fell into the under 40 age category?
The health worker that passed away that was suspected of having it tested negative, apparently.
Thanks in advance for information shared.
The health worker that passed away that was suspected of having it tested negative, apparently.
Thanks in advance for information shared.
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