re: 11 day difference between Italy and the US

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Update today (Saturday 3-14): United States is over 2600 patients. Kinda crazy how close it tracks to Italy so far.

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What is best source for this?

WHO is showing 1678 cases today and graphs & new cases are based on report date.

CDC is showing 1629 and case graphs & dates are based on date of illness onset. Case page was also last updated yesterday & probably using numbers end of day Thursday. WHO may be adding the repatriated persons with virus from China and the cruise ship, so WHO is also using Thursday numbers (WHO' new case numbers & daily graphs show net change each day from CDC's total while CDC's graphs same data by illness onset).

CDC's testing page was actually updated today adding around 3000 tests to the daily testing totals over past 2 weeks. Dates and graphs on testing page are based on when they received specimen to reflect when specimens became available to them which seems more of an internal concern and should go back to date of collection from patient.

Not completely sure if illness onset and collection from patient are same dates, but daily testing dates by cdc are definitely different from both. If CDC is still updating testing numbers for dates back to Feb confirmed cases update on Monday using illness onset could show more in Feb than I was thinking making just showing net change in total like WHO a little off in time frames. Throw in presumptive results from states and time length to be confirmed by CDC and then input in confirmed numbers on CDC page the 2 big official agencies don't seem to best for current days updates for U.S.

At some point increasing daily testing numbers will level out and existing infected patients who couldn't be tested before will stop impacting daily numbers. Until then I still like looking at CDC's numbers to see illness onset dates and number of tests performed, but they are just delayed already and even days reported may not be final for awhile.

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you consider the difference in population, having the same numbers as Italy means we are dominating this thing.

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ssshhh

Wouldn’t a true comparison also include population density and geography?

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This is the real issue in my mind. Lots of ICU beds are great, but stacking patients has limits.

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It’s not just that... if we had 10 more beds, we could not even staff them. The nursing shortage is fairly acute in my area, and even moreso for highly skilled ICU nurses.

Just my curiosity, where is this graph taken from?