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My fear is that the Carr signing puts us in NFL purgatory

Posted on 3/8/23 at 12:11 pm
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
34897 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 12:11 pm
Just good enough to keep from bottoming out and firing people

Not good enough to win anything real

Hamstrings our ability to improve the team in the future

It’s a 1-way ticket to 10-7 ceilings and first round arse eliminations.

Yes, Carr is the best short term option we had, and I’m not even anti-Carr - I just think we are making moves as if we are close to a title when we just aren’t.
This post was edited on 3/8/23 at 12:14 pm
Posted by saints5021
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2010
17472 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 12:17 pm to
What is bad about winning the division and making the playoffs? The same was said about Stafford two years ago. Would you have rathered us have traded for him?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422393 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

Not good enough to win anything real

Saints Talk is all about this.

They don't want titles. They want to make the playoffs in the shittiest division in the NFL.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422393 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 12:20 pm to
quote:

What is bad about winning the division and making the playoffs?

It likely eliminates your future ability to win a title for possibly 10 years.

Signing Carr doesn't just cap our short-term ceiling, it caps our long-term ceiling, too.

quote:

The same was said about Stafford two years ago.

The Rams were on the brink of a super bowl without Stafford, including 1 SB appearance

We haven't made the playoffs 2 years in a row
Posted by High Life
Member since Dec 2014
1291 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 12:22 pm to
100%

Fire DA at the first sign of trouble and start a rebuild
Posted by EmperorGout
I hate all of you.
Member since Feb 2008
11267 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 1:35 pm to
On paper he’s already the second best QB the franchise has ever had.

Let’s see it play out first at least.
Posted by Ancient Astronaut
Member since May 2015
33065 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 1:46 pm to
Not signing Carr def would
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59104 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

What is bad about winning the division and making the playoffs? It likely eliminates your future ability to win a title for possibly 10 years.


It doesn’t have to but it does requires a very good/elite organization management team. The Chiefs for example. They had 1 winning season in 7 years, hired Reid and got Alex Smith. Then 4 straight winning season and 3 playoff appearances but not past the division round. The next draft they draft Mahomes, made a move up to get him, develop him for a year and since then dynasty. Now that’s the best case scenario, can’t expect dynasty but if you have a good enough front office you can break out of the purgatory of good but not great
Posted by saints5021
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2010
17472 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 2:07 pm to
The Chiefs had the 27th pick when they drafted Mahomes. They didn't bottom out and tank. Good organizations don't bottom out and tank.

The Bucs are bottoming out now and will return to another decade of nothingness.
Posted by oldskule
Down South
Member since Mar 2016
15476 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 2:12 pm to
When you have had one of the best, it is hard to accept anything else....
Posted by PoppaD
Texas
Member since Feb 2008
4909 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 2:20 pm to
Seems like Saints management feels they have to much invested in a pretty good roster to give up and tank. I can understand that sentiment. And nobody in Management worries about the salary cap as much as this board does.

Tanking gives you no guarantee you actually draft a future franchise QB. Many have flamed out in the past.

With a top 10 defense and the 2nd or 3rd best QB in franchise history signed, maybe the Saints can make another run. It needs to happen soon or this pretty good roster will be getting to old.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59104 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

The Chiefs had the 27th pick when they drafted Mahomes. They didn't bottom out and tank. Good organizations don't bottom out and tank.


I agree but “tanking” is becoming an overused cliche. You don’t have to bottom out for years on end to rebuild.
Good organizations can have bad years but they will bounce back quickly. KC went 2-14 the year they hired Reid. And it wasn’t a draft with an elite prospect at really any position. They took Fisher a LT from a MAC school and he was just ok. But they haven’t had a losing season since.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422393 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

They didn't bottom out and tank. Good organizations don't bottom out and tank.

Very few people are advocating for tanking

Most who are critical of the signing want the team to become responsible with the cap so that when we have another epic draft we can re-sign all that talent. That doesn't require a teardown/rebuild/tank (whatever you want to call it).

quote:

The Bucs are bottoming out now and will return to another decade of nothingness.

The Bucs are probably eating shite for 1 year and then coming back once the Brady dead cap hit passes.

They shouldn't be a terrible team next year if they have injury luck. Not good, but not terrible.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422393 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 2:37 pm to
quote:

With a top 10 defense

Will this still be a top 10 D without Davenport and Onyamata? Likely without Ellis? And an aging Cam/Mathieu?
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
72008 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 2:39 pm to
quote:

Hamstrings our ability to improve the team in the future


Why?
We’ve proven year after year that we can manipulate the cap to sign valued FAs.

Teams are built through the draft

We have four draft picks in the top 70 and another four after that this year. Picks remain in tact going forward save for next year’s 3rd, which could still be recouped

Carr isn’t here past a few years. The name of the game is finding a QB in the draft. And picking at the top does not guarantee you a franchise QB. You could have your young, too 3 picked QB for peanuts right now if you want - Winston (1.1), Baker (1.1), Mariota (1.2), Wentz (1.2), Darnold (1.3)
Posted by Suntiger
BR or somewhere else
Member since Feb 2007
32953 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 2:40 pm to
quote:

They don't want titles. They want to make the playoffs in the shittiest division in the NFL.


Great line of thinking. Let’s blow the next two seasons so we can get tons of cap space. I’m sure really good free agents will want to come to a team that has no chance of winning the division or conference. Oh, you know what will excite them? That top 5 draft pick. Because good free agents love potential players. Especially young immature guys.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422393 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

We’ve proven year after year that we can manipulate the cap to sign valued FAs.

By creating bigger time bombs down the road.

Every year we create more Taysom Hill contracts that we cannot do anything with except kick the can down the road.

quote:

Teams are built through the draft

And we just lost one of our "hits" in the draft b/c we couldn't afford him due to our cap manipulation.

We're likely going to lose another former 1st rounder this year that we can't fit into our cap.

quote:

We have four draft picks in the top 70 and another four after that this year.

We're missing a top-10 pick this year and a 2nd next year

quote:

Carr isn’t here past a few years.

Once we restructure his $30M base next year, his cap hits will be.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422393 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

Let’s blow the next two seasons so we can get tons of cap space. I

I don't want "tons of cap space". I want to be able to re-sign our good draft picks

quote:

Oh, you know what will excite them? That top 5 draft pick.

Who said anything about a top-5 pick? Nobody is advocating for tanking in this thread.

We're going to be mediocre-good next year with Carr and most people are saying we should be mediocre and possibly good while fixing our cap the next 2 years.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59104 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

Great line of thinking. Let’s blow the next two seasons so we can get tons of cap space. I’m sure really good free agents will want to come to a team that has no chance of winning the division or conference.


Excellent point no team has never had multiple bad seasons in a row and been able to build a contender

ETA please note I’m not advocating completely blowing the he team up, but I would rather have just stuck with Dalton on the cheap a while you straighten out the cap and build through the draft. Even if you aren’t able to get a franchise QB, when you are in a better cap position then get a guy like Carr
This post was edited on 3/9/23 at 1:59 pm
Posted by ghost2most
Member since Mar 2012
6579 posts
Posted on 3/8/23 at 2:54 pm to
If you don't have a top 5-10 QB, you have nothing.

Carr is certainly not in that league.

Purgatory is exactly right.

Does anyone really think that an NFL team led by Dennis Allen and David Carr can compete for a title?

hell no.

The Saints are now last season's Bucs. They may limp to the playoffs in the worst division in football where they'll promptly get annihilated by a competent team.

The window slammed shut the minute we choked against Minnesota in the playoffs. Every offseason since then we just dig in further and move further away from actually competing.
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