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re: Jared Cook visiting Saints tomorrow

Posted on 3/13/19 at 8:17 pm to
Posted by LooseCannon22282
Mobile
Member since May 2008
33745 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 8:17 pm to
quote:

Cook set career highs with 68 catches, 896 yards and six touchdowns as the top target for Raiders quarterback Derek Carr last season. He has 425 catches over 10 seasons."


absolutely went off on the Rams in Week 1 as well.

9 catches for 180 yards
Posted by jamal
Places Unknown
Member since Jan 2013
11068 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 8:17 pm to
Agreed CocoLoco
Posted by Rand AlThor
Member since Jan 2014
9440 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 8:25 pm to
Yes I suppose that’s true. I agree without Watson we’re in a bad spot. I guess I just was thinking more about moving the needle over last year’s squad, which it won’t, but should replace Watson well. Slightly younger.
Posted by Melvin
Member since Apr 2011
23535 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 8:27 pm to
Cook> Watson from last year. That’s not even close
Posted by THRILLHO
Metry, LA
Member since Apr 2006
49517 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 8:29 pm to
quote:

3yrs/28mil range



I strongly disagree. If he could have gotten that kind of money, he would have already signed by now.

quote:

Jimmy graham got 3/30 last year, same age.



First of all, Graham had a MASSIVELY better career than Cook before he signed. I get that Graham had more injury issues, but come on.

Second, you have to look at contending teams that have a need at TE. The Packers needed a TE and were contenders. They generally have solid cap space since they rarely are big FA spenders (until this year when they went nuts). What other teams fit the bill this season?

Let's look at SB odds:
KC 6/1
LAR, NO, NE 8/1
LAC, Chi, Pit 14/1
Min, GB, Dal 16/1
Phi, Bal, Ind, Cle, Hou 20/1

KC, Philly: frick no.

Vikes, Balt, Indy, Cleveland, Chargers: No.

Rams: Need a TE, but with Kupp as an elite slot guy and good outside WR options, it's not a priority.

NE: Who knows. They may not know until week 1, when a PI finds Gronk either working out nearby, or fricking 20 year old Columbian triplets on some island.

Chicago: Burton is pretty legit.

That leaves Pit and Dallas as iffy. I think the Steelers are clearly transitioning (despite Ben sticking around) and have little use for an older TE that will help them win in 2019/20, but not much beyond. Dallas are a legit semi-contender that needs one. That's all I've got.

What I'm getting at, is that first of all, most contenders are set at the TE position. Second, most non-contenders (even those with a ton of money) have little reason to sign a 32 year old TE that will fall off by the time it matters.

ETA: My prediction = 3/$17m
This post was edited on 3/13/19 at 8:37 pm
Posted by Rand AlThor
Member since Jan 2014
9440 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 8:33 pm to
I’m not sure I agree. He’s good but not great.
Posted by SATNIGHTS
Red Stick
Member since Jan 2008
2239 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 8:34 pm to
Dear Cook and Tate - Come win a ship next year, we just ask for a reasonable salary request in exchange for a ring.
Posted by LooseCannon22282
Mobile
Member since May 2008
33745 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 8:35 pm to
quote:

have little reason to sign a 32 year old TE that will fall off by the time it matters.


ah shite he is almost about turn 32?

crap.

but at least he's stayed healthy for the most part.

says in his season log on profootball reference the number of games he's played in is pretty high.

the fewest amount of games in a season for him was 10 for the Packers in 2016.
Posted by Chalkywhite84
New orleans
Member since Dec 2016
27256 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 8:41 pm to
Yeah I see 2 for 12 range
Posted by Chalkywhite84
New orleans
Member since Dec 2016
27256 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 8:43 pm to
But he will get most of that guaranteed
Posted by Melvin
Member since Apr 2011
23535 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 8:46 pm to
quote:

I’m not sure I agree. He’s good but not great.
He was right below 1,000 yards receiving for the fricking Raiders last year. I like Watson a lot but he was extremely inconsistent last season and had multiple big drops. I don’t think you can really argue that Cook would be a significant upgrade for the TE position.
Posted by LSU_30A
Member since Jan 2019
2921 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 8:46 pm to
Way too expensive.
Posted by LSU_30A
Member since Jan 2019
2921 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 8:48 pm to
Cook will get at least 2 years $16 million with most guaranteed. That’s a lot of scratch.
Posted by Chalkywhite84
New orleans
Member since Dec 2016
27256 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 8:50 pm to
Brees is going to hit cook on that seam route like it's going out of style.

Cook is 32 but runs like a gazelle.

We need to sign him and also double up in the draft.
Cleaner set them years back at the tight end position.

Should have never let Ben Watson leave the first time and drafted someone then
Posted by THRILLHO
Metry, LA
Member since Apr 2006
49517 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 8:51 pm to
quote:

ah shite he is almost about turn 32?

crap.


It's rare for TEs to blossom this late, but it's not uncommon for TEs to perform well between 32-35.

At 32y/o & 35y/o:
Gonzo: 1050/10 & 870/7
Gates: 540/7 (15 games) & 630/5 (11 games)
Watson: 500/3 (14 games) & 830/6

I know that those are all-time great TEs, but there aren't many players at the position that kill it at 32 years old. If they play well at that age, they don't really fall off. Cook doesn't really have a comparable player that I can think of, but odds are that aging won't affect him too much over the next 3 seasons. I can see him putting up 700/5 over that 3 or 4 season stretch.
This post was edited on 3/13/19 at 8:56 pm
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278480 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 8:55 pm to
quote:

ETA: My prediction = 3/$17m



CJ Uzomah and Tyler Kraft both just got 3/18 each.

They average 13 & 17 yards per game respectively on their careers.




quote:

First of all, Graham had a MASSIVELY better career than Cook before he signed. I get that Graham had more injury issues, but come on.




Jimmy Graham post-Saints has basically been Jared Cook.

Tight ends age well. More than just "contenders" will bid. Not sure where that narrative comes from. The Raiders want him back, for instance.
Posted by THRILLHO
Metry, LA
Member since Apr 2006
49517 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 9:07 pm to
quote:

CJ Uzomah and Tyler Kraft both just got 3/18 each.



At the start of FA, from two of the worst teams in the league. The cost of any player almost always drops significantly after the first few days of FA. And that's not necessarily because teams run out of money, but because front offices are better gauges of value than us layfolk and critics are.

quote:

More than just "contenders" will bid. Not sure where that narrative comes from.


Maybe a team with a shite-ton of money will just say "frick it, why not". But if you ran a team that wasn't competing anytime soon, why would you spend big bucks for a guy that will probably suck in ~3 years?


quote:

The Raiders want him back, for instance.


I ignored them due to the odds. With their FA additions, it would make sense for both the Raiders and for Cook. The Raiders aren't "contenders", but they probably won't be a shitshow. Personally, I would never play in California with their taxes, and I would never play for Davis with his haircut. I'm petty though.

**ETA: And I just looked up Uzomah (who sucks) and Kroft (who sucks). As I said, both were signed by shitted teams/front offices. On top of that, both are 26. Those contracts are both straight up "We suck and have a ton of cap space, let's sign a younger guy with potential" deals.
This post was edited on 3/13/19 at 9:48 pm
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278480 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 9:19 pm to
I just don’t see a world where he’s only worth 5.6 annually.

3 years is gonna cost you $7mil per at least. I hope I’m wrong but I don’t think I will be
Posted by HollierThanThou
Member since Jan 2012
6209 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 9:20 pm to
Idk, there have been many TEs already signed.

Those remaining might face a cooled market like Ingram did.
Posted by THRILLHO
Metry, LA
Member since Apr 2006
49517 posts
Posted on 3/13/19 at 9:32 pm to
quote:

3 years is gonna cost you $7mil per at least.


I could see him signing for something like 3/$21m, playing for 2 seasons and getting cut, and ending up making 2/$12m in actual money.

That can be my final prediction that won't be verifiable for another 2.5 years: 2 years, $12m. He won't sign a 2/12 contract, but that's what he'll make. Saints will probably be paying him $5m in 2021 #LOOMISING
This post was edited on 3/13/19 at 9:34 pm
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