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re: If Brock Bowers or Rome Odunze are still on the board at 14, do you take one of them?

Posted on 3/31/24 at 11:36 am to
Posted by Pels_Yaz
Member since Apr 2023
9426 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 11:36 am to
quote:

You haven’t mentioned the historical data of offensive lineman taken in the first round of the NFL draft? (You did). My whole point was you wanted to dismiss your own team’s historical draft success but were willing to accept the picks from all the other teams. Doesn’t make sense


I will state this again the discussion is about HOW the Saints should draft by need vs BPA especially at pick 14. Because the discussion isnt based on what Saints have done (previous Saints historical picks data doesn’t matter); its what they SHOULD do.

It makes sense because im not assessing other teams picks- I’m assessing how certain players performed at their positions in their rookie year in the first round. Im looking at historical data in a general sense not narrowing down to what Saints did in say specifically 2013 because that has no bearing in the Need draft vs BPA draft argument.
Posted by Chalkywhite84
New orleans
Member since Dec 2016
27463 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 11:44 am to
quote:

All this said was about Kyle Pitts and you’re admitting the best TE prospect is not even a good blocker. And thats the best TE prospect ever?



Bowers is actually a pretty good blocker. I don't know where that's coming from.

On top of his elite receiving skills, Bowers is capable of holding his own as a blocker. He has allowed just one quarterback pressure on 52 pass-blocking snaps in his first two seasons, and his 73.8 run-blocking grade in 2022 ranked seventh among all Power Five tight ends. The two-time All-American is one of only eight Power Five tight ends to earn a 70.0-plus grade in both pass protection and run blocking over the past two campaigns.



Posted by Pels_Yaz
Member since Apr 2023
9426 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 11:49 am to
quote:

Bowers is actually a pretty good blocker. I don't know where that's coming from.


I actually heard he was as well- solid blocker- which makes more sense of him being a top prospect at TE but I went along with posters argument where he felt Bowers was more of a slot TE. Just curious how was Pitts regarded as a blocker?
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
72112 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 11:55 am to
quote:

(previous Saints historical picks data doesn’t matter)


Im looking at historical data in a general sense not narrowing down to what Saints did in say specifically 2013 because that has no bearing in the Need draft vs BPA draft argument.


Why don’t we just forget anything that happened is past drafts then? It has no bearing on this year’s crop of players. There is a bust and a hit for any position

Past first round TEs are irrelevant, statistically none are Brock Bowers. To have his production and to then account for the fact that he lined up inline, wide, in the slot, that 31% of his receptions came from passes he received behind the LOS (remember he is 6’3” 245 and has the most YAC of any TE, the most broken tackles). He’s a more than adequate blocker.

Our top two TEs are converted from different positions and the third guy is merely depth. Your WRs are all sub 200 lbs, so not generate any YAC of substance, cannot make contested catches and fight off defenders.
You cannot be satisfied with that production coming from our pass catchers.

Which OL do you want at 1.14 anyway? You could seemingly go Bowers at 14 and Jordan Morgan at 45 and accomplish everything you want
This post was edited on 3/31/24 at 11:57 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
425838 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

but I went along with posters argument where he felt Bowers was more of a slot TE

HOLY straw man.

Posted by Pels_Yaz
Member since Apr 2023
9426 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

Why don’t we just forget anything that happened is past drafts then? It has no bearing on this year’s crop of players. There is a bust and a hit for any position Past first round TEs are irrelevant, statistically none are Brock Bowers. To have his production and to then account for the fact that he lined up inline, wide, in the slot, that 31% of his receptions came from passes he received behind the LOS (remember he is 6’3” 245 and has the most YAC of any TE, the most broken tackles). He’s a more than adequate blocker. Our top two TEs are converted from different positions and the third guy is merely depth. Your WRs are all sub 200 lbs, so not generate any YAC of substance, cannot make contested catches and fight off defenders. You cannot be satisfied with that production coming from our pass catchers.


First of all I don’t think past first round talent at TE in the past 20 years is irrelevant. You’re making Bowers to be an anomaly- the thing is I heard the same thing about Pitts and Vernon Davis. Its a why I think historical data on rookie TEs matter- not the first time we have heard about a can’t miss TE prospect.

I’m not saying our TEs couldn’t be better. I just don’t believe that need is higher than improving an oline which is abysmal. To me improving the oline with one of the better OTs in the draft is better than getting a high prospect at TE.

Getting Bowers and Morgan would NOT accomplish everything I want. Morgan is more of a top 50 guy and honestly I think hes more of a guard plus its a gamble to see if he lasts that long.

Obviously you want Alt but he wont drop to 14. I would prefer Fashanu or Fuaga.
Posted by Pels_Yaz
Member since Apr 2023
9426 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

HOLY straw man.


Would it have mattered in the argument if I stated but I thought he was a solid blocker?

You had your mind made up that he was slot TE who was a poor blocker but somehow he should be drafted over an OL prospect need for the Saints. Not really my fault if your own assessment of a player is inaccurate.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
425838 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

You had your mind made up that he was slot TE

Incredibly dishonest straw man


Actual words:

quote:

As I said, "Bowers will only not produce in year 1 if our coaches don't want him to."

If our coaches want him as an in-line blocker, he probably won't even see the field. That would be retarded, however.

The reason I have so much faith in Bowers producing early is that he's not a particularly good blocker. This means any smart coach will use him as a receiver primarily, which is where he's dominant.




Then you said later:

quote:

I mean in your own words hes the best TE prospect ever but not a great blocker. Thats a pretty big deficiency.


So I replied:

quote:

Not really, especially with the power slot position


If you can't tell the difference and admit your errors, then you're either doubling down on dishonesty or your IQ is not triple digits.
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
72112 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

You’re making Bowers to be an anomaly- the thing is I heard the same thing about Pitts and Vernon Davis


He is an anomaly as he stands alone atop every college TE stat that matters.

As for Kyle Pitts, he is only 23, he had the third most TE receiving yards in the NFL as a rookie. He got muddied down in a shite system that inevitably got everyone fired.

And Vernon Davis was a stud, he just came before the TE movement. The jury is still out on Pitts but Vernon Davis would still be a top 10 pick today. He only saw 100+ targets once in his career whereas now we see guys like Jake Ferguson and Evan Engram eating 100+ targets

quote:

Obviously you want Alt but he wont drop to 14. I would prefer Fashanu or Fuaga.


And look, at the end of the day, bowers and odunze aren’t going to be options for us. I am fine with the OL guys, I don’t deny we need help there. Ultimately if it were ip to me I’d trade down, as there are too many needs. Everyone can agree to that I reckon

Posted by Mpd31
Member since Nov 2019
2912 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 2:33 pm to
quote:

Ultimately if it were ip to me I’d trade down, as there are too many needs. Everyone can agree to that I reckon


I disagree
Posted by Chalkywhite84
New orleans
Member since Dec 2016
27463 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 2:40 pm to
quote:

actually heard he was as well- solid blocker- which makes more sense

of him being a top prospect at TE but I went along with posters argument where he felt Bowers was more of a slot TE. Just curious how was Pitts regarded as a blocker?








You keep bringing Pitts up. Him and bowers are nothing alike.
Posted by Pels_Yaz
Member since Apr 2023
9426 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

f you can't tell the difference and admit your errors, then you're either doubling down on dishonesty or your IQ is not triple digits.


You went from a discussion to name calling. That basically defines your intelligence level. I’ll wait until you get out of your feelings.
Posted by Pels_Yaz
Member since Apr 2023
9426 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 3:06 pm to
quote:

You keep bringing Pitts up. Him and bowers are nothing alike.


They were both touted as the best TE prospects to come along. Unless Pitts wasn’t a TE?
Posted by Pels_Yaz
Member since Apr 2023
9426 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

Ultimately if it were ip to me I’d trade down, as there are too many needs. Everyone can agree to that I reckon


Yup.
Posted by Chalkywhite84
New orleans
Member since Dec 2016
27463 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 7:16 pm to
quote:

They were both touted as the best TE prospects to come along. Unless Pitts wasn’t a TE?


Problem is Pitts is nothing like bowers. That's the point. No one is like bowers. A tight end isn't taking screens and reverses behind the line and taking it to the house.

That is the point some of us are trying to make. Like I have been saying the last few years, the saints keep backing themselves into a corner. Loomis made it worse when he traded for that extra first.

They almost have to go line with one of the first 2 picks. Just like last year.
Posted by Pels_Yaz
Member since Apr 2023
9426 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 7:34 pm to
quote:

Like I have been saying the last few years, the saints keep backing themselves into a corner. Loomis made it worse when he traded for that extra first. They almost have to go line with one of the first 2 picks. Just like last year.


Yes I agree and whether people like it or not because of that the luxury of BPA such as Bowers in the first will likely be passed up to draft OL or trade down to get the OL they want. Again as bad as the line was last year and since we’ve done nothing in free agency- I feel its almost required they add a first round OL.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
425838 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 7:53 pm to
Pitts was the most physical freak with some college production/tape (one elite year). He has the potential to be better than Bowers but that's only theoretical/ceiling.

Bowers had the best college career at TE ever. Came in as a true freshman and had one of the GOAT TE seasons in CFB history, and then had 2 more elite ones.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
425838 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 7:53 pm to
quote:

You went from a discussion to name calling

You used a very bad straw man.

Posted by Pels_Yaz
Member since Apr 2023
9426 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 7:59 pm to
quote:

You used a very bad straw man.


I’ll own up to that my bad on that.
Posted by Chalkywhite84
New orleans
Member since Dec 2016
27463 posts
Posted on 3/31/24 at 8:31 pm to
quote:

Pitts was the most physical freak with some college production/tape (one elite year). He has the potential to be better than Bowers but that's only theoretical/ceiling.



How do you figure?
This post was edited on 3/31/24 at 8:33 pm
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