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Posted on 3/17/22 at 2:49 pm to Babble
quote:
They’re dropping their odds because they’re risk adverse and a lot of people are hammering the falcons at super high odds.
You’re agreeing with what I’m saying.
No, I'm saying there's no penalty for dropping the price since someone can't hurt them the other way. Not that they know or anyone with knowledge of the situation is betting the line.
Posted on 3/17/22 at 2:49 pm to BilJ
quote:
look at their coaching change odds frequently.
exactly.
Posted on 3/17/22 at 2:49 pm to Babble
quote:
Look my point is that vegas does not know shite because if they did they would not be giving +2500 odds lol
Dude please stop talking.
Posted on 3/17/22 at 2:50 pm to BilJ
He’s just butchering it trying to compare futures bets with every day line changes
Posted on 3/17/22 at 2:50 pm to Babble
What do you think the odds would be for the falcons to win the title if they get deshaun
This post was edited on 3/17/22 at 2:53 pm
Posted on 3/17/22 at 2:51 pm to BilJ
quote:
babble sort of has a point. public sentiment seems to believe Falcons are the favorite and likely betting accordingly. Adjusting the line limits their exposure if he does go to Atlanta, Vegas "knows" when it comes to shite like this is usually a nothing burger
I get that, but the jump wouldnt be this big, it would be something like 70-1 to 55-1
Posted on 3/17/22 at 2:52 pm to dj30
quote:
Dude please stop talking.
I dont understand how you could disagree with my statement that if vegas had inside information that the public doesnt they wouldnt be offering 25 to 1 odds knowing they’d have to eventually pay it out.
Posted on 3/17/22 at 2:54 pm to Ed Osteen
Bookie operates the same way regardless if its a line or a future.
They dont want one portion/side having the high percentage of bets.
They dont want one portion/side having the high percentage of bets.
This post was edited on 3/17/22 at 2:55 pm
Posted on 3/17/22 at 2:55 pm to Babble
quote:
dont understand how you could disagree with my statement that if vegas had inside information that the public doesnt they wouldnt be offering 25 to 1 odds knowing they’d have to eventually pay it out.
They would drop the odds just in case and once again, this thread is about superbowl odds not Deshaun signing with a certain team odds.
Posted on 3/17/22 at 2:56 pm to Babble
No shite, half the people in here are still trying to figure out what the hell this means with futures bets
quote:
If the bookie knew the falcons were getting Watson, the line would be -15000 or some bullshite.
Posted on 3/17/22 at 3:02 pm to josh336
They are just protecting themselves. They don’t care about generating action right now. This is just short of pulling the team off the board completely.
I got the saints at 40-1 at bovada. If we get Watson, I’ll probably be able to sell the bet back for a decent gain immediately. If we don’t, 40-1 is still a decent bet
I got the saints at 40-1 at bovada. If we get Watson, I’ll probably be able to sell the bet back for a decent gain immediately. If we don’t, 40-1 is still a decent bet
Posted on 3/17/22 at 3:02 pm to Babble
quote:
Bookie operates the same way regardless if its a line or a future.
They dont want one portion/side having the high percentage of bets.
Just not true about the similarity between a future and line.
Also, you are overly simplifying the books business model. Theoretically, yes they would like even action on both sides. In practice, however, that's rarely the case. Generally it's more about hanging good numbers.
Posted on 3/17/22 at 3:14 pm to saints5021
Or they are covering themselves just in case so they don't get a huge bet right before the news hits like the Brady unretire situation. Worst case is they get a bunch of people putting money on the Falcons now, Watson goes to Saints, and the reset the line and just collect those people's money
Posted on 3/17/22 at 3:16 pm to josh336
What are the Saints odds? Could just be trying to avoid getting scooped like they did with Tampa and Brady
Posted on 3/17/22 at 3:19 pm to josh336
Damn, they must be getting Tre’Quan…
Posted on 3/17/22 at 3:20 pm to Tigerbait1991
Watson gonna throw a curve ball and go to Carolina.
Posted on 3/17/22 at 3:20 pm to josh336
quote:
To win the super bowl.
I think thats very telling
Also betmgm just dropped them to 35-1 from 66 to 1
Sorry guys
Frankly I’m surprised a lot of places haven’t just dropped all 3 off the boards for today/tomorrow
Posted on 3/17/22 at 3:23 pm to dj30
quote:This seems to be seriously overlooked as I’m reading through this thread.
once again, this thread is about superbowl odds not Deshaun signing with a certain team odds.
Posted on 3/17/22 at 3:25 pm to NoSaint
quote:
Frankly I’m surprised a lot of places haven’t just dropped all 3 off the boards for today/tomorrow
They want morons to bet on the Falcons winning the superbowl next year.
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