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Message
re: Zach Lowe splashes a little cold water on Pels
Posted on 12/8/20 at 1:14 pm to NOFOX
Posted on 12/8/20 at 1:14 pm to NOFOX
It’s not just Moore and Jrue though that is the difference. Our spacing was generated in part because Gentry was prioritizing it and fast break points in his lineups/rotations/team strategy. Even at the expense of other things. Even if he was too hardheaded to see/admit it. So when it comes to what type of shooting team we will be, we are inarguably taking a step back on paper barring internal improvements from last season, and because we have a coach that has made it clear we aren’t going to make those sorts of trade offs this season.
I agree about it being a mini transition that is bridging our team toward(hopefully) a more complete and balanced future unit. It just feels like a lot of people are wanting it both ways on this point. Claiming to stop worrying because it’s a transition year than downplaying or getting reflexively defensive when people start pointing out the ways that is true and what could need to be improved upon.
I agree about it being a mini transition that is bridging our team toward(hopefully) a more complete and balanced future unit. It just feels like a lot of people are wanting it both ways on this point. Claiming to stop worrying because it’s a transition year than downplaying or getting reflexively defensive when people start pointing out the ways that is true and what could need to be improved upon.
This post was edited on 12/8/20 at 1:15 pm
Posted on 12/8/20 at 1:24 pm to bonethug0180
Sounds like he doesn't have hall of fame Deadeye
Posted on 12/8/20 at 1:28 pm to Dantheman504
quote:
No one can argue with you because you are kinda saying that Bledsoe and Adams aren't the best guys we can get for spacing, shooting, etc. But they are actually pretty good at those things and your argument then is that even if they are good at those things Lonzo, Zion, etc will still struggle.
They aren’t good at those things though.
Again, Bledsoe is a 26% catch and shoot three point player compared to Jrue’s 36%(on greater volume). Bledsoe is a 38% pull up shooter but takes them infrequently(less than one made pull up three a game), Jrue was 35% but took them frequently and connected on nearly two a game.
Adams hits around 42% of his shots from 3 feet to 16 feet. And while he took less, Favors hit 45% from the same space. I’d say Adams is the better shooter though and he is better around the rim, but I don’t think that difference makes us a well spaced team.
Beyond that I’m not sure you read what I wrote correctly. I said there is plenty of ways to have a more balanced team without a stretch five, and that balance may in fact be able to come internally with certain players improving(or demonstrating their ready for a bigger role).
But this response also gets to the point about having it both ways
People seem in agreement this is a mini transition year(which I agree) before we get more ideal pieces, but then many of you get incredibly defensive when people that agree with that point out the ways in which that is true. To which the response from some of you is to say nuh uh, it’s really not that way, things are fine as is, we don’t actually need x, y, or, z for this roster.
So either things are fine like this or this is a transition year. If things are fine as is than I guess we should be expecting this starting unit to anchor a championship run soon? If not, than I guess we need to discuss why that’s not the case and what may need to be upgraded/improve to get us there?
This post was edited on 12/8/20 at 1:33 pm
Posted on 12/8/20 at 1:29 pm to Bronc
See you saying we inarguably took a step back in shooting is bullshite. How can you know that? The only way you can say that is if you expect Zion, Lonzo, and BI to actually take a step backwards. Jrue wasn't raining 3's and Favors wasn't making highlights reels.
Posted on 12/8/20 at 1:30 pm to Dantheman504
I feel like this is quickly becoming yet another thread where people are rage posting before reading:
Read my actual words pal:
So when it comes to what type of shooting team we will be, we are inarguably taking a step back on paper barring internal improvements from last season, and because we have a coach that has made it clear we aren’t going to make those sorts of trade offs this season.
Read my actual words pal:
So when it comes to what type of shooting team we will be, we are inarguably taking a step back on paper barring internal improvements from last season, and because we have a coach that has made it clear we aren’t going to make those sorts of trade offs this season.
This post was edited on 12/8/20 at 1:32 pm
Posted on 12/8/20 at 1:33 pm to Bronc
You are basing how Adams and Bledsoe will perform from last season. Adams didn't have Zion next to him at PF. Both parties should gain from that connection. You are arguing that Adams and Bledsoe will not do enough to make us better. I'm trying to say that they already should do better with our roster makeup simply having Zion/ BI on the court with them. That's not taking into consideration that BI, Zion, and Lonzo will all play more efficiently/ better.
Posted on 12/8/20 at 1:38 pm to Bronc
I read it right the first time. What makes us worse on paper? You are acting like Jrue was our primary 3pt shooter? We still have Lonzo, JJ, Hart, and BI on the court. Also like I said Bledsoe was on a weird offense and should have a cleaner role on our team. Adams offense > Favors/ Jrue offense > Bledsoe. Both aren't even huge changes to begin with and at the very least its a tie or wash. Once again the only way we can "inarguably" shoot worse is your assumption that Lonzo, BI, and Zion simply shoot worse.
This post was edited on 12/8/20 at 1:40 pm
Posted on 12/8/20 at 1:40 pm to Dantheman504
quote:
You are arguing that Adams and Bledsoe will not do enough to make us better.
Didn’t say that once, this is you again putting words into my mouth.
The conversation is about spacing and whether this will be an issue and where we stand relative to last season.
Bledsoe played next to Giannis buddy, I’m high on Zion as well, but Zion is not a reigning MVP two years running. Adams is an improvement over Favors, if you would stop to read what I actually write you would see how I have said that multiple times.
And while you want to assume everyone takes a step forward in efficiency, that is not a guarantee. Which is why I said on paper, taking into account our new coaches shifting priorities, barring internal improvements, we are likely to be taking a step back in three point rankings and efficiency.
Posted on 12/8/20 at 1:45 pm to Bronc
quote:
It’s like some of you all are actually trying to talk yourself into the idea that this team would be no better off if we replaced Bledsoe’s abysmal 26% catch and shooting with a guard like Chris Paul or replaced Lonzo with a more dynamic scorer/facilitator like Brogdon
who is against brogdon over lonzo for this year?
quote:
or instead of Adams we had a big with the spacing capability of Kat or Al Horford.
we can't get KAT and Horford would be bad
Posted on 12/8/20 at 1:49 pm to Bronc
I agree it is not a guarantee everyone takes a step forward. I acknowledge that you believe Adams is an upgrade from Favors. You also believe Bledsoe is decent downgrade from Jrue. I'm just trying to say that Bledsoe/ Adams combined shouldnt have less of an impact than Jrue/ Favors combined. At the end of games it should be about a wash. Jrue would probably score more than Bledsoe and Adams would score more than Favors. So "shooting" or scoring points shouldn't change much from that aspect. Your argument is based off Jrue being this amazing 3pt shot maker. He was like 3rd or 4th on the team for 3pt%... Why does that 1 specific stat make you think our overall shooting is worse? What makes you think Bledsoe will take those same shots? If anything our shooting should get better because Bledsoe can drive to the basket like Jrue and may be more likely to kick it out to a higher % 3pt shooter > Jrue taking that 3.
Posted on 12/8/20 at 1:49 pm to Bronc
quote:
It’s not just Moore and Jrue though that is the difference. Our spacing was generated in part because Gentry was prioritizing it and fast break points in his lineups/rotations/team strategy. Even at the expense of other things. Even if he was too hardheaded to see/admit it. So when it comes to what type of shooting team we will be, we are inarguably taking a step back on paper barring internal improvements from last season, and because we have a coach that has made it clear we aren’t going to make those sorts of trade offs this season.
There is absolutely no doubt our offensive rating will take a decent step back, but our defensive efficiency should take a significant step forward. Our pace will be slower, but part of that is going to be attributed to a different defensive scheme and identity that will hopefully have a net benefit.
Forcing the opposing team to take up more of the shot clock and preventing penetration will reduce overall possessions/pace. Teaching players (looking at you Zo) not to hunt steals at the risk of a wide open lane is going to reduce transition opportunities.
Hopefully improvements in defensive rebounding with Adams juicing our guard rebounds will help offset the reduction in transition opportunities. Reducing turnovers can help offset the reduction in possessions. Half-court offense is obviously going to be our weakest point even if increased second chance opportunities and a more structured offense should help.
I view this year as mostly data gathering and mindset re-adjustment. It is BI's and Zion's team. Let's teach them how to assert themselves and see what works around them and what doesn't. We need to add multi-dimensional shooter/defenders on the wing, but those players do not grow on trees. We have the assets to go after that type of player when we need to, but that seems to be a plan for 2-3 years from now.
Posted on 12/8/20 at 1:53 pm to Dantheman504
Ok Buddy, let’s break it down this way.
Last seasons 10 man rotation vs our expected rotation this year:
19-20
Jrue
Lonzo
Ingram
Zion
Favors
Reddick
Hayes
Hart
Melli
Moore
20-21
Bledsoe
Ball
Ingram
Zion
Adams
Reddick
Hart
Melli
Hayes
Naw
So you are replacing 2000 minutes of a more efficient Jrue for a less efficient Bledsoe. You are losing Moore and redistributing those minutes amongst guys that so far have not been more efficient spacers, you are adding Adams, who was only a moderately more voluminous jump shooter than Favors(but less efficient).
And you have a coach that by all indications will not be making the sort of reckless sacrifices to chase pace and space that Gentry was making.
So again, where is my statement false:
On paper, in the context of the above, barring internal improvements, we are unlikely to be a top 5 three shooting team like last season. We will be taking a step back in that department.
This doesn’t mean we will be a worse team, like NOFOX above I very much agree the philosophical shifts and player growth will make us an overall better team....I just don’t think we should be getting our hopes up about a top 5 three point shooting team, or that spacing won’t be an issue at times, given the context. Or that we don’t have some obvious upgrade needs or potential upgrade needs we will have to make in the coming seasons to address some of this stuff
Last seasons 10 man rotation vs our expected rotation this year:
19-20
Jrue
Lonzo
Ingram
Zion
Favors
Reddick
Hayes
Hart
Melli
Moore
20-21
Bledsoe
Ball
Ingram
Zion
Adams
Reddick
Hart
Melli
Hayes
Naw
So you are replacing 2000 minutes of a more efficient Jrue for a less efficient Bledsoe. You are losing Moore and redistributing those minutes amongst guys that so far have not been more efficient spacers, you are adding Adams, who was only a moderately more voluminous jump shooter than Favors(but less efficient).
And you have a coach that by all indications will not be making the sort of reckless sacrifices to chase pace and space that Gentry was making.
So again, where is my statement false:
On paper, in the context of the above, barring internal improvements, we are unlikely to be a top 5 three shooting team like last season. We will be taking a step back in that department.
This doesn’t mean we will be a worse team, like NOFOX above I very much agree the philosophical shifts and player growth will make us an overall better team....I just don’t think we should be getting our hopes up about a top 5 three point shooting team, or that spacing won’t be an issue at times, given the context. Or that we don’t have some obvious upgrade needs or potential upgrade needs we will have to make in the coming seasons to address some of this stuff
This post was edited on 12/8/20 at 2:00 pm
Posted on 12/8/20 at 1:57 pm to Bronc
I am really shocked that a patently obvious supposition like shooting may be one of our weaknesses this year is this controversial.
I mean...that doesn't mean we will be a worse team. We can score in other ways and win in other ways, like defense and interior dominance.
I mean...that doesn't mean we will be a worse team. We can score in other ways and win in other ways, like defense and interior dominance.
This post was edited on 12/8/20 at 1:58 pm
Posted on 12/8/20 at 2:01 pm to Bronc
So are you telling me a better player will take Moore's minutes? Sign me up! Look I love E'twuan but he took some bad shots and if that means that BI, Zion, etc have the ball an extra 5 minutes that's a good thing. I don't think we are thinking the same way here. It seems like you think Bledsoe will take the same shots Jrue will or have the ball as much. I think Bledsoe takes less shots at a more efficient clip and let's our stars take the extra shots. Its not an argument of Bledsoe vs Jrue if the team plays well. I'd rather BI and JJ taking 3's > Jrue. What makes you think Blessed won't pass it to them and shoot all the shots Jrue did?
Posted on 12/8/20 at 2:04 pm to Bronc
I'm really not trying to say our shooting is going to be lights out but your opinion that Bledsoe is gonna get the same minutes as Jrue and that if Jrue went 2-5 from 3 that Blesoe automatically means he is 1-6. Why can't Bledsoe take 1 3pt and get the ball to our more efficient players? We didn't get Adams and Bledsoe to be Jrue 2.0 or Favors 2.0 shite SVG has already been trying all new schemes.
Posted on 12/8/20 at 2:10 pm to Dantheman504
quote:
So are you telling me a better player will take Moore's minutes? Sign me up! Look I love E'twuan but he took some bad shots

Posted on 12/8/20 at 2:12 pm to Bronc
quote:
adding Adams, who was only a moderately more voluminous jump shooter than Favors(but less efficient).
You keep saying this like this is important.
No defense will ever care about any 5 in the league taking 10-15' jump shots.
Adams has a scoring rate of 66% in the PNR, and shoots 69% in those situations, turning it over 7.3% of the time. He has a 1.29 PPP in the PNR. Adams is in the 75th percentile in the league at the PNR.
Favors has a scoring rate of 59% in the PNR, shoots 62% in those situations, and turns it over 9.4% of the time. He has a 1.15 PPP in the PRN. Favors is in the 61st percentile in the league at the PNR.
One is clearly better than the other.
Seems like a Bledsoe/Adams PNR should work well considering Bledsoe can only shoot off the dribble.
and just an fyi, Brandon Ingram led the entire NBA in PPP as the pick setter in PNR situations at 2.0PPP, and Redick was 4th. Zion's PPP was 1.16 in the PNR.
Posted on 12/8/20 at 2:12 pm to Dantheman504
I mean statistically he took better shots than the guys that will be replacing him, there aren’t enough minutes to give all 1000 minutes and 437 shots to just Zion, Ingram, and Reddick. It doesn’t work like that. Keeping in mind also that he played in a system that was routinely willing to sacrifice basically any and everything to get fast break points and hit threes. That’s just the hard truth of it.
I mean do you really think this new SVG team, one that has already been communicated will not be chasing offense all game and trying to lead the league in pace, without any magical applications of improvement we can’t assume, will be top 5 in threes made AND 7th in efficiency?
And honest question, do you think this is our ideal championship caliber 8-10 man rotation as is? Or maybe, just maybe, this is a transition year and their are starting and back up roles we are going to want to find upgrades with.
I mean do you really think this new SVG team, one that has already been communicated will not be chasing offense all game and trying to lead the league in pace, without any magical applications of improvement we can’t assume, will be top 5 in threes made AND 7th in efficiency?
And honest question, do you think this is our ideal championship caliber 8-10 man rotation as is? Or maybe, just maybe, this is a transition year and their are starting and back up roles we are going to want to find upgrades with.
Posted on 12/8/20 at 2:17 pm to TeddyPadillac
Not all points are scored in the pick and roll, but like the other poster you all seem to either be missing or intentionally ignoring that I have continually said Adams is a net improvement over Favors offensively. This is not in dispute. But if you want to make the case that a relatively low usage center will make up the difference between a Gentry vs a Gundy system and replacing Jrue better volume and efficiency with Bledsoe and giving Moore’s minutes and 400 shots to less efficient shooters will actually make us an equal or improved three point shooting(in makes and efficiency) and spacing team, without assuming zero regression and gifting internal improvement without proof, go right ahead and try.
I just personally don’t see it unless guys like Zion, Naw, Hart, Lonzo take some solid steps forward(which I think is not impossible, but I can’t just assume that and assume players like Reddick might not take a step back either).
I just personally don’t see it unless guys like Zion, Naw, Hart, Lonzo take some solid steps forward(which I think is not impossible, but I can’t just assume that and assume players like Reddick might not take a step back either).
This post was edited on 12/8/20 at 2:24 pm
Posted on 12/8/20 at 2:22 pm to Bronc
#1. I think our pace slows down a little bit and we focus more on defense. In doing so yes I trust SVG will have some good plays and we should be pretty high in 3's and efficiency.
#2. Hell no, of course we need a few more pieces. Transition year is a weird saying because we should technically be transitioning for the playoffs and to continue to get better. I don't think its exactly the same as last year. Lonzo, JJ, and Hart are all free agents next season. That + the 12 mil we save from Adams should give us a lot of freedom to figure out the next step.
This year is going to be about feeding our star players and finding which players fit best next to them. That is why I think you are going about your Jrue/ Bledsoe comparison a little wrong. I think Bledsoe is here to do the 2 main things Jrue did which is play defense and be physical to the basket. Other than that he will also be auditioning to feed our star players. That is why I don't think we shoot worse. I don't think he takes those shots, SVG wants Lonzo, BI, etc to take those shots and he will have plays to make sure of it.
#2. Hell no, of course we need a few more pieces. Transition year is a weird saying because we should technically be transitioning for the playoffs and to continue to get better. I don't think its exactly the same as last year. Lonzo, JJ, and Hart are all free agents next season. That + the 12 mil we save from Adams should give us a lot of freedom to figure out the next step.
This year is going to be about feeding our star players and finding which players fit best next to them. That is why I think you are going about your Jrue/ Bledsoe comparison a little wrong. I think Bledsoe is here to do the 2 main things Jrue did which is play defense and be physical to the basket. Other than that he will also be auditioning to feed our star players. That is why I don't think we shoot worse. I don't think he takes those shots, SVG wants Lonzo, BI, etc to take those shots and he will have plays to make sure of it.
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