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re: The race for 8th.... where we stand (Updated 3/11)

Posted on 3/8/20 at 7:53 pm to
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
38699 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 7:53 pm to
My mother in law is pretty infamous for dying on the hill that if a weatherman says there's a 50% chance of rain, and it doesn't rain, that he was wrong. She says it didn't rain so in actuality there was a 0% chance.

We've given up on her.
Posted by Kennerkarl
Kenner
Member since Jan 2014
704 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 7:53 pm to
quote:

people on this board WILL tell us that 538's model was wrong


538s “predictions” are the same thing as Vegas futures odds. Just a different formatted number presented as “analytics”.
I fully support any negative comments about 538.
Posted by Soggymoss
Member since Aug 2018
16578 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 8:07 pm to
538 has us winning and their predictions have us going 0-3 in the next 3
Posted by Soggymoss
Member since Aug 2018
16578 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 8:30 pm to
And Cleveland blew it
Posted by Jester
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
34710 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 8:44 pm to
quote:

Yep, just like 538 was wrong when they said in 2016 that Donald Trump only had a 25% chance of winning. The fools! /sarc


Don't tardify this board with politics.
This post was edited on 3/8/20 at 8:45 pm
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 8:46 pm to
sacto up on raptors 33 28 mid 2nd.
This post was edited on 3/8/20 at 8:47 pm
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
22531 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 8:48 pm to
quote:

538 has us winning and their predictions have us going 0-3 in the next 3



Let’s beat Sacramento on Wednesday and I won’t bitch if we lose the next 2 after. Competing against the Kings for the 8 seed and we’ll have a few days rest so we should expect to win that one.

ETA spurs down 1 with a minute left to cavs
This post was edited on 3/8/20 at 8:51 pm
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 8:56 pm to
quote:

we’ll have a few days rest so we should expect to win that one.




just showing up rested isnt near enough.

do you really think pels can just roll the ball out?

sacto playing raptors even up right now.

like most teams they have a few solid pros.

fox, bogdanovic. barnes.
nearly forgot buddy.

holmes back after 25 games injured.

alex len is bigger than zion.

kings on 3rd game in 4 nights.
should droop late.
not now.

This post was edited on 3/8/20 at 8:58 pm
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
19967 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 8:58 pm to
quote:

538 has us winning and their predictions have us going 0-3 in the next 3



Not really. Yes, they have us as dogs in each game, but .47 + .37 + .22 adds up to 1.06 expected wins from our next three games.

The Grizzlies' percentages would add up to 1.14 expected wins in their next three.

That's why I said that the chalk is that both teams would go 1-2 in their next three games.
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
38321 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 9:02 pm to
Spurs tie it up with 1 second
Posted by jprdbulldog20
Member since Feb 2013
19804 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 9:02 pm to
it's pretty amazing just how bad the cavs are at basketball

but the spurs are worse
This post was edited on 3/8/20 at 9:24 pm
Posted by Soggymoss
Member since Aug 2018
16578 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 9:19 pm to
Cavs gonna pull it out

Up 6 with 15 seconds left in OT
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
38321 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 9:19 pm to
CLE is going to get the W
Posted by Soggymoss
Member since Aug 2018
16578 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 9:20 pm to
Not so fast

Love like a fricking idiot fouled on a 3point play

SA missed the last free throw and got the rebound, Cleveland only up by 4 now with 7 seconds
Posted by purplepylon
NOLA & Laffy
Member since Nov 2005
8027 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 9:21 pm to
I'd be really surprised if the Spurs can hang with these other teams in this fight for the 8th seed. They're not completely out but they just don't have the talent to consistently win games at the pace needed. It's really a fight between the Pels, Blazers, Kings and Grizzlies. And if the Pelicans don't lay eggs they are an easy favorite to get the 8
Posted by Soggymoss
Member since Aug 2018
16578 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 9:22 pm to
Ahhh ok, I'm not to familiar with their system, just seen that we were dogs so assumed that meant they had us losing those 3
Posted by Macintosh
Leveraging Salaries University
Member since Sep 2011
54216 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 9:23 pm to
Love deserves his anxietal pussy brain if they lose this
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
38321 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 9:23 pm to
Just need Sacramento to lose and it will be a good day for the Pels
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
22531 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 9:24 pm to
Raptors can make it another good day. Pels win, Spurs lose, Kings trail at half to raptors.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
19967 posts
Posted on 3/8/20 at 9:25 pm to
Spurs are officially done now. That's it. No point in even tracking them anymore.
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