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re: The race for 8th.... where we stand (Updated 3/11)
Posted on 3/8/20 at 10:47 am to Soggymoss
Posted on 3/8/20 at 10:47 am to Soggymoss
The way Griff has staffed the FO bringing in high quality people and figuring out roles later I could see them hiring Atkinson as Vice President of Coaching Decisions.
1
Posted on 3/8/20 at 10:57 am to CelticDog
Zo has been pretty clutch lately
Posted on 3/8/20 at 12:04 pm to GOP_Tiger
Anybody know what the futures line is? Headed to Vegas and want to make a bet on the Pelicans...
Posted on 3/8/20 at 1:21 pm to TigerinATL
quote:
The way Griff has staffed the FO bringing in high quality people and figuring out roles later I could see them hiring Atkinson as Vice President of Coaching Decisions.
I think everyone feels really kum-bay-ya about our organization right now in that we've brought in all these people but does anyone worry that its a jenga stack and the minute that Griff has to start firing or trading people it will fall apart. I hope he can still come across as genuine in his sales pitches once the dirty shite has to start.
Posted on 3/8/20 at 1:53 pm to Hester Carries
quote:
I think everyone feels really kum-bay-ya about our organization right now in that we've brought in all these people but does anyone worry that its a jenga stack and the minute that Griff has to start firing or trading people it will fall apart. I hope he can still come across as genuine in his sales pitches once the dirty shite has to start
We’ve had our Jenga sticks scattered on the floor the past 10 years. At least. I suppose you could look at progress and a solid foundation and see the potential for it to fall apart, but that’s a pretty bleak perspective.
Posted on 3/8/20 at 2:48 pm to MarcusQuinn
quote:
but that’s a pretty bleak perspective.
to clarify, thats not my perspective.
Posted on 3/8/20 at 4:50 pm to Soggymoss
quote:
Zo has been pretty clutch lately
i didnt want to diss zion or jrue. i started with zion, self-edited to jrue and settled on lonzo for the win and taking 8th.
i can see it now...
Posted on 3/8/20 at 5:23 pm to CelticDog
Bucks shitting the bed early against the Suns. I know Giannis is out but damn.
Posted on 3/8/20 at 5:40 pm to WaterLink
Jesus christ, that team is garbage without Giannis huh?
Posted on 3/8/20 at 5:44 pm to WaterLink
I don't we have to worry about the Suns anymore. I'm not even paying attention to them. They are 2.5 games behind us, not as good as us, and have a much tougher remaining schedule.
Posted on 3/8/20 at 5:54 pm to GOP_Tiger
After our win, here's 538's odds for the #8 seed and teams' projected finishes:
Pelicans 62%, 40-42
Grizzlies 16%, 38-44
Kings 11%, 37-45
Blazers 9% 37-45
Spurs 2%, 34-48
Pelicans 62%, 40-42
Grizzlies 16%, 38-44
Kings 11%, 37-45
Blazers 9% 37-45
Spurs 2%, 34-48
Posted on 3/8/20 at 5:59 pm to GOP_Tiger
Toronto @ Sacramento 8pm NBA TV tonight. Sacramento is a .5 game ahead of us.
Posted on 3/8/20 at 6:12 pm to thibodauxtiger
should be a good one.
both teams with a lot to play for.
i get sacto as my local team.
Fox sports says
both teams with a lot to play for.
i get sacto as my local team.
Fox sports says
quote:
D.Fox continues to battle his way through an abdominal injury, something that has plagued him for the better part of a week. Despite the apparent discomfort, Fox led the Kings in scoring and assists. The Kings are now four games adrift of the Grizzlies in the battle for the eighth seed;
Posted on 3/8/20 at 6:50 pm to CelticDog
Cleveland up 17-6 on San Antonio
Posted on 3/8/20 at 7:21 pm to Soggymoss
quote:
Cleveland up 17-6 on San Antonio
CLE now up 41-27. Wow. Spurs just giving up?
Posted on 3/8/20 at 7:21 pm to Soggymoss
CLE up 41-27 early 2nd
Posted on 3/8/20 at 7:31 pm to GOP_Tiger
Not noteworthy to the 8th seed unless they keep losing, but seems like everyone has figured out Houston's small ball bullshite
Posted on 3/8/20 at 7:45 pm to GOP_Tiger
Here's the state of things:
We now have road games at the Kings, Jazz, and Clippers. We likely need to win at least one of those three to keep pace with the Grizzlies, as they will likely beat the Magic at home before road losses to the Blazers and Jazz.
If the chalk holds and we and Memphis both go 1-3 in that stretch, we'll come to our last 15 games down by 4 games to the Grizzlies, but we'll only have one of those last 15 games against an opponent with a winning record. Memphis will have nine of their last 15 against teams with a winning record, plus they'll likely be underdogs in road games at San Antonio and at Portland. Oh, and they'll also be underdogs in their two remaining games against us.
So, Memphis will be dogs in 13 of their final 15, while we will be favored in at least 14 of our final 15 games (I think that the betting line in our home game against the 76ers will be about a pick-em).
That's why 538 projects us to finish two games ahead of the Grizzlies in the final standings (and we'll also likely have the tiebreaker).
We now have road games at the Kings, Jazz, and Clippers. We likely need to win at least one of those three to keep pace with the Grizzlies, as they will likely beat the Magic at home before road losses to the Blazers and Jazz.
If the chalk holds and we and Memphis both go 1-3 in that stretch, we'll come to our last 15 games down by 4 games to the Grizzlies, but we'll only have one of those last 15 games against an opponent with a winning record. Memphis will have nine of their last 15 against teams with a winning record, plus they'll likely be underdogs in road games at San Antonio and at Portland. Oh, and they'll also be underdogs in their two remaining games against us.
So, Memphis will be dogs in 13 of their final 15, while we will be favored in at least 14 of our final 15 games (I think that the betting line in our home game against the 76ers will be about a pick-em).
That's why 538 projects us to finish two games ahead of the Grizzlies in the final standings (and we'll also likely have the tiebreaker).
Posted on 3/8/20 at 7:46 pm to GOP_Tiger
quote:
Pelicans 62%, 40-42
Grizzlies 16%, 38-44
Kings 11%, 37-45
Blazers 9% 37-45
Spurs 2%, 34-48
One thing I will look forward to IF we happen to miss the playoffs is the gnashing of teeth and fundamental misunderstanding of percentages.
Like if the Spurs end up making it, people on this board WILL tell us that 538's model was wrong.
Posted on 3/8/20 at 7:50 pm to JohnnyKilroy
quote:
Like if the Spurs end up making it, people on this board WILL tell us that 538's model was wrong.
Yep, just like 538 was wrong when they said in 2016 that Donald Trump only had a 25% chance of winning. The fools! /sarc
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