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Message

Cavs win the coin flip
Posted on 4/27/12 at 1:37 pm
Posted on 4/27/12 at 1:37 pm
According to H24, anyway.
I'm thinking Stern just doesn't want to make this too obvious.
I'm thinking Stern just doesn't want to make this too obvious.
Posted on 4/27/12 at 1:39 pm to wope
NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!
Posted on 4/27/12 at 1:39 pm to THRILLHO
quote:
Stern just doesn't want to make this too obvious.
Posted on 4/27/12 at 1:40 pm to NorthshoreTiger76
it's only one extra ball, we got this
Posted on 4/27/12 at 1:41 pm to wope
That's really crummy news. Doesn't appreciably change our chance of landing in the top three, but means we pick later if we don't.
ETA: It's not an extra ball. It's 1 combination out of 1000.
ETA: It's not an extra ball. It's 1 combination out of 1000.
This post was edited on 4/27/12 at 1:42 pm
Posted on 4/27/12 at 1:41 pm to wope
quote:
I'm thinking Stern just doesn't want to make this too obvious.
Posted on 4/27/12 at 1:41 pm to RonFNSwanson
quote:TWSS
it's only one extra ball, we got this
Posted on 4/27/12 at 1:45 pm to wope
There's usually at least one middle team that jumps up so we either win the lottery or we'll probably be picking 5th. The perfect spot to feel compelled to take Andre Drummond
Posted on 4/27/12 at 1:47 pm to TigerinATL
I have a feeling Drummond goes before 5. I'm worried we get stuck with Barnes.
Posted on 4/27/12 at 1:50 pm to Tigerbait337
I'd rather not spend the #5 pick on a backup.
Posted on 4/27/12 at 1:54 pm to THRILLHO
We are #5, NOT number 4? WHAT THE FLYING frick. We can't even TANK GOOD.
Posted on 4/27/12 at 1:55 pm to TigerinATL
quote:
The perfect spot to feel compelled to take Andre Drummond![]()
Posted on 4/27/12 at 1:58 pm to Chad504boy
quote:
We are #5, NOT number 4?
No. We are #4, but 1, 2, and 3 never win the lottery together, so the odds are high that if we don't win a top 3 spot we will get bumped at least one spot lower because someone behind us jumps into the top 3. I haven't run the numbers but I'm pretty sure the most likely outcome if we don't win is picking 5th.
This post was edited on 4/27/12 at 1:59 pm
Posted on 4/27/12 at 2:03 pm to TigerinATL
42 over at 247 has run the numbers, LINK
Here are our odds for each slot:
1 - 13.7%
2 - 14.16%
3 - 14.47%
4 - 8.51%
5 - 32.31%
6 - 15.58%
7 - 1.27%
So the most likely outcome is 5th and the least likely outcome is going to 7 followed closely by staying at 4.
Here are our odds for each slot:
1 - 13.7%
2 - 14.16%
3 - 14.47%
4 - 8.51%
5 - 32.31%
6 - 15.58%
7 - 1.27%
So the most likely outcome is 5th and the least likely outcome is going to 7 followed closely by staying at 4.
This post was edited on 4/27/12 at 2:05 pm
Posted on 4/27/12 at 2:04 pm to TigerinATL
quote:
5 - 32.31%
That fricking sucks.
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