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Avatar Discussion Thread: Spoilers! Box office. 2 billion & counting
Posted on 12/8/22 at 9:20 am
Posted on 12/8/22 at 9:20 am
ETA: per Deadline
International presales are off to a great start
NoBoDy CaReS, ItS going to FlOp!!!
From a respected China box office analyst
LINK
(Updated) Per boxoffice Pro
Domestic is currently trending $167,000,000 – $192,000,000 OW
Domestic total
$662,000,000 – $861,000,000
quote:
#AvatarTheWayOfWater??? budget is reportedly around $460M
The most expensive film ever
(via @DEADLINE)
International presales are off to a great start
quote:
#AvatarTheWayOfWater starts its international roll-out tomorrow. Expecting $450M weekend.
quote:
84% after 122 reviews
7.30 out of 10 average rating
NoBoDy CaReS, ItS going to FlOp!!!
From a respected China box office analyst
quote:
Avatar: The Way of Water already make $7M from Chinese advance ticket sale and is about to outperformance The Battle at Lake Changjin II at the same point. Best pre-sale number of 2022. I guess $600M lifetime can be expected if WOM is good. #AvatarTheWayOfWater???
LINK
(Updated) Per boxoffice Pro
Domestic is currently trending $167,000,000 – $192,000,000 OW
Domestic total
$662,000,000 – $861,000,000
This post was edited on 1/23/23 at 12:39 pm
40
Posted on 12/8/22 at 9:28 am to RLDSC FAN
quote:
NoBoDy CaReS, ItS going to FlOp!!!
It's definitely not going to flop...are people saying this?
It's gonna be gigantic. It may not surpass the original box office, but this movie will be huge. It will definitely be a theater experience that lots of people will want to see.
Posted on 12/8/22 at 9:32 am to CocomoLSU
quote:this
It's definitely not going to flop...are people saying this?
The first movie was a shitty, plagiarized story with fantastic visuals
and it set records at the box office
From what I am hearing, this is more of the same
Posted on 12/8/22 at 9:33 am to CocomoLSU
quote:
It's definitely not going to flop...are people saying this?
There's a lot of people convinced it's going to fail. Many on this board
Posted on 12/8/22 at 9:36 am to RLDSC FAN
Overseas markets are more forgiving to movies with more spectacle, less plot, because the translations can lose some of it anyway. It's better now than it used to be, but at the end of the day doing well in China isn't an assurance the movie will pan out.
Just see the World of Warcraft movie. Did well in China, but failed in most markets and never got a sequel.
Just see the World of Warcraft movie. Did well in China, but failed in most markets and never got a sequel.
Posted on 12/8/22 at 9:44 am to RLDSC FAN
I don't get the hatred for it.
It's not like they're ruining an established IP with political nonsense
It's not like they're ruining an established IP with political nonsense
Posted on 12/8/22 at 9:59 am to RLDSC FAN
It will hit $1 billion easily WW, easily. Quite possibly much more. That’s far from a flop
Posted on 12/8/22 at 10:34 am to RLDSC FAN
Avatar made $250 Million on a re-release of Avatar awhile back.
It was always going to be a big sell in China, they like stupid shite. Especially if it shows Westerners as evil.
It was always going to be a big sell in China, they like stupid shite. Especially if it shows Westerners as evil.
Posted on 12/8/22 at 11:18 am to RLDSC FAN
quote:
I guess $600M
China going to make bank. You understand that Disney only gets to keep somewhere in 25-40% range for box office returns in China?
Posted on 12/8/22 at 11:20 am to RLDSC FAN
Never will get this. It looks like a boring video game. It did then, it still does now.
Millennials. What a bunch of weirdos.
Millennials. What a bunch of weirdos.
Posted on 12/8/22 at 11:23 am to RLDSC FAN
Have a group planning on taking some edibles and going to see it 
Posted on 12/8/22 at 11:42 am to RLDSC FAN
Why do people on here want Avatar to fail again? Is it “woke” or something?
Posted on 12/8/22 at 11:45 am to RLDSC FAN
quote:
There's a lot of people convinced it's going to fail. Many on this board
I think you're full of shite. What I think you're doing is counting people saying they hope it flops as people saying it will flop.
There are at best maybe a handful of people that have said it will flop, and I think I'm being generous with that estimation.
Posted on 12/8/22 at 11:51 am to Roaad
quote:
From what I am hearing, this is more of the same
It's going to be so much "more of the same" that they're inexplicably bringing back Sigourney Weaver and Stephen Lang even though their characters died.
Posted on 12/8/22 at 11:52 am to Starchild
quote:
It will hit $1 billion easily WW, easily. Quite possibly much more. That’s far from a flop
What's the break-even point?
Posted on 12/8/22 at 11:58 am to UndercoverBryologist
No one knows. Never trust Hollywood accounting. The budget is supposedly between 350-400 mil
Posted on 12/8/22 at 12:00 pm to RLDSC FAN
I'm not convinced it will "flop" in the technical sense (be a financial loss).
But I do have my suspicions that the break-even point for all of these movies will be so high, and audience fatigue* will set it soon enough, that by Avatar 4 (if not by Avatar 3), profits will be marginal at best.
Edit: *I mean, who cannot get fatigued with repetitive sequels about these goody-two-shoes blue aliens that have no moral faults because they're "at one" with nature?
Like I said earlier, Cameron should flip the script and make it about the human Marines heroically slaughtering these hippies.
But I do have my suspicions that the break-even point for all of these movies will be so high, and audience fatigue* will set it soon enough, that by Avatar 4 (if not by Avatar 3), profits will be marginal at best.
Edit: *I mean, who cannot get fatigued with repetitive sequels about these goody-two-shoes blue aliens that have no moral faults because they're "at one" with nature?
Like I said earlier, Cameron should flip the script and make it about the human Marines heroically slaughtering these hippies.
This post was edited on 12/8/22 at 12:03 pm
Posted on 12/8/22 at 12:14 pm to RLDSC FAN
quote:
No one knows. Never trust Hollywood accounting. The budget is supposedly between 350-400 mil
That's the projected cost for the next 2/3 movies total though, right...not just Avatar 2?
Posted on 12/8/22 at 12:14 pm to RLDSC FAN
quote:
Avatar Boxoffice: China presales off to a great start
the entire country is in lock down so they cant leave the house under threat of being shot.
that tends to put a dent in the number of people going out to theaters
Posted on 12/8/22 at 12:19 pm to CocomoLSU
quote:
That's the projected cost for the next 2/3 movies total though, right...not just Avatar 2?
Just this film, according to some outlets
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