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re: Your current % odds that a NCAAF season happens this year

Posted on 7/16/20 at 10:04 am to
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
87347 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 10:04 am to
CFB trending more likely based on what we're hearing out of various programs. So maybe reason for optimism.

I think if MLB kicks off and gets into a routine it'll really help start to normalize things.
Posted by stapuffmarshy
lower 9
Member since Apr 2010
17507 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 10:06 am to
ZERO
E
R
O
Posted by DrEdgeLSU
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Dec 2006
8697 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 11:26 am to
???

I’m trying to understand why you would think that MLB getting into a groove for a season that is 1/3 the normal length is in any way a proxy for college football likelihood.

Hint: individual programs are not going to make these decisions. Governments and conferences will.
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
87347 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 11:30 am to
quote:

I’m trying to understand why you would think that MLB getting into a groove for a season that is 1/3 the normal length is in any way a proxy for college football likelihood.



???

Because the first big 3 domino to fall and show signs of sustainability will obviously give license for other sports/events to do likewise?

These decisions are driven by PR and liability concerns, not actual health considerations. They're counterbalanced by revenue/business interests.

They want to move forward, they're scared to do so. They need cover to make those choices. It's basically the inverse of the dominos falling when this began.
Posted by BRIllini07
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2015
3206 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 12:04 pm to
Except the whole “point” of college football is not as a revenue making business. The point (as advertised) is that college football is an extracurricular activity these students take on in addition to their studies. You, I, and the rest of the planet know this to a mostly a load of s**t but the NCAA cannot burst that bubble and enter realm of “yeah, this is really about revenue.”

At the end of the day, the NCAA (and its member institutions), in addition to any liability concerns, will be forced to grit their teeth to try and treat the football players as students who engage in the “hobby” of playing football, and are thus subject to the whims of the non-athletic sides of the university.
Posted by 62Tigerfan
Member since Sep 2015
5379 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 3:50 pm to
0.10% ... Dear old dad told me “never say never”.
Posted by DrEdgeLSU
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Dec 2006
8697 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 5:13 pm to
Pro sports will not provide air cover for amateur sports in this regard. It’s just not the same.

And football is a completely different animal from baseball. Did you see that the NCAA just released guidelines that state that players and coaches on sidelines have to wear a mask, even for personal interaction between player and coach.

This just isn’t going to work, so it makes more sense to shorten/delay than try to press on.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111402 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 5:37 pm to
The chance is now 0%

quote:

The NCAA on Thursday released a comprehensive new set of “return to play” guidelines, as the COVID-19 pandemic rages on with football season fast approaching.

In a memo entitled “Resocialization of Collegiate Sport: Developing Standards for Practice and Competition,” the NCAA’s Sport Science Institute outlined several guidelines for the safe return to competition. Those guidelines include:

• COVID-19 testing and results to be completed within 72 hours of competition in “high risk contact sports” such as football • Daily self-checks for athletes and staff • Masks to be worn on the sideline by all players, coaches and staff, including players who move from the playing field to the sideline to confer with coaches

• Outdoor training when possible, with indoor training only permissible with “good ventilation”

• Individuals with “high risk exposure” must be quarantined for 14 days. The NCAA is using the Centers for Disease Control definition of “high risk exposure,” which is as follows: “any situation in which there has been greater than 15 minutes of close contact, defined as being less than six feet apart, with an infectious individual,” regardless if that individual is “symptomatic, pre-symptomatic or asymptomatic.”

“Any recommendation on a pathway toward a safe return to sport will depend on the national trajectory of COVID-19 spread,” said Brian Hainline, NCAA chief medical officer. “The idea of sport resocialization is predicated on a scenario of reduced or flattened infection rates.”
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 5:47 pm to
yup tried to warn em
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
68361 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 5:52 pm to
Yep. Oh well, at least I don't have to watch OSU throttle Michigan. I really wanted go to Seattle to see Michigan at Washington, though.
This post was edited on 7/16/20 at 5:54 pm
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 6:45 pm to
quote:

85%

100% it’s modified in some sort


wrong again dude
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 6:51 pm to
quote:

0 for fall

they might start but once a few players or coaches get it, they'll shut it all down


got it 100% right didn't I lmao
Posted by Gatorbait2008
Member since Aug 2015
28574 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 8:33 pm to
65 percent.

With death rate lowering. Probably seeing the peak in most states soon. Other leagues opening up.

Now if the NFL or MLB cancels and says cant be done, CFB almost has to do the same.

To much money involved. To low a risk for players.
Posted by 610man
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
8324 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 8:39 pm to
0%, libs will not have it, no HS sports either. Meanwhile, every other professional sports league will be playing
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
59237 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 8:40 pm to
The season hasn’t been cancelled yet
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
39622 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 8:45 pm to
Here’s the thing I feel like most people aren’t looking at

No matter how statistically unlikely it is that a CFB player or coach dies from COVID, that number is not zero. (And I know - lightning strikes, car crashes, blah blah, we fricking get it.)

Do you really want to be the AD/coach/school/organization that has to explain someone dying from a pandemic that you were fully aware of when we all agreed to play fricking football?

Just honestly take a second to put down the tin foil hats and truly consider how that would look and how fricked that entity would be. For football.


This isn’t happening, IMO.
Posted by HailToTheChiz
Back in Auburn
Member since Aug 2010
54704 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 8:46 pm to
quote:

Do you really want to be the AD/coach/school/organization that has to explain someone dying from a pandemic that you were fully aware of when we all agreed to play fricking football?


this is what it boils down to

even though the mortality rate is bullshite
Posted by DrEdgeLSU
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Dec 2006
8697 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 9:05 pm to
I think it’s possible a season happens, but it’s not happening in September. Not with the new guidelines from the NCAA.
Posted by Hmerly
Member since May 2008
1456 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 9:08 pm to
Come November 4th, if the “correct” side wins, the media and followers will suddenly see the light and start encouraging resumption of life in the USA. Suddenly, the virus is not an existential threat and we can all return to our normal lives. Football will be back! However, should the “wrong” side win, the media will of course continue as is today, crying about how horrible this virus is and how we can’t possibly have sports or anything resembling the lives we all use to enjoy. Very simple.
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 7/16/20 at 10:00 pm to
sure has dude. did you read the guidelines. over for cfb
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