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What happens if the college athletics bubble burst?
Posted on 8/20/26 at 1:26 pm
Posted on 8/20/26 at 1:26 pm
What does that actually look like?
14
Posted on 8/20/26 at 1:30 pm to louisianamotocross
Boosters quit giving and it returns to amateur sports
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Posted on 8/20/26 at 1:31 pm to louisianamotocross
I don’t even know we’re looking at anymore, man.
Posted on 8/20/26 at 1:31 pm to louisianamotocross
At this point I’m praying for it to happen sooner than later.
If/When the bubble bursts, tuitions will lower as well as tickets. Colleges are already stating to face a crunch considering less and less kids are choosing college
If/When the bubble bursts, tuitions will lower as well as tickets. Colleges are already stating to face a crunch considering less and less kids are choosing college
Posted on 8/20/26 at 1:31 pm to louisianamotocross
The only bubble is D1 college football and a much lesser degree men's basketball.
The top schools will either break away and form their own thing for football. Or the whole pay for play thing gets totally overhauled, athletes are actually student athletes that aren't good enough to get paid, and the NFL is forced to create a minor league.
The top schools will either break away and form their own thing for football. Or the whole pay for play thing gets totally overhauled, athletes are actually student athletes that aren't good enough to get paid, and the NFL is forced to create a minor league.
Posted on 8/20/26 at 1:33 pm to louisianamotocross
I thought COVID might do that.
I guess I could see regular season ratings drop a bit because of the playoff. But, despite the fact that we think it goes too deep into January, I don't think ratings for the playoff will fall in the near future.
I do think NIL spending will cool down a bit at some point. But, maybe that's naive.
I guess I could see regular season ratings drop a bit because of the playoff. But, despite the fact that we think it goes too deep into January, I don't think ratings for the playoff will fall in the near future.
I do think NIL spending will cool down a bit at some point. But, maybe that's naive.
Posted on 8/20/26 at 1:33 pm to KosmoCramer
nobody will watch "minor league" football if the teams aren't "colleges" its the built in fan base that matters
Posted on 8/20/26 at 1:35 pm to Underwood
quote:
nobody will watch "minor league" football if the teams aren't "colleges" its the built in fan base that matters
They would.
If the best u22 players are playing, people will watch.
Posted on 8/20/26 at 1:39 pm to KosmoCramer
Do you mean when the Big Ten and SEC break away and form their own league?
Posted on 8/20/26 at 1:50 pm to Muahahaha
quote:
Do you mean when the Big Ten and SEC break away and form their own league?
That's exactly what would cause the bubble to burst.
Posted on 8/20/26 at 2:16 pm to louisianamotocross
quote:
What does that actually look like?
They will sell out to private equity like the big ten already considered. Anything to keep the money pouring in.
Posted on 8/20/26 at 2:17 pm to KosmoCramer
quote:
If the best u22 players are playing, people will watch.
I really doubt it. No minor leagues in any sports have ever moved the needle in attendance/tv ratings. And no professional football leagues outside of the nfl have ever gained any traction. Remove the colleges and no one will care about any of these players until they're in the nfl.
The biggest strength college football has always had is these universities are located in communities all over the country that wouldn't otherwise ever have their own pro teams. Remove the students, alumni, and ties to these local communities and the biggest reasons anyone cares about college sports are all gone.
Posted on 8/20/26 at 2:21 pm to louisianamotocross
The sport is totally effed.
Ncaa could’ve managed this in the front-end to mitigate.
Now it’s a runaway train .
Ncaa could’ve managed this in the front-end to mitigate.
Now it’s a runaway train .
Posted on 8/20/26 at 2:26 pm to BuckeyeGoon
quote:
I really doubt it. And no professional football leagues outside of the nfl have ever gained any traction. Remove the colleges and no one will care about any of these players until they're in the nfl.
Football is by far the most popular sport in the US. It would certainly be the most popular minor league, how much is up for debate.
quote:
No minor leagues in any sports have ever moved the needle in attendance/tv ratings.
The minor league teams in UK soccer are very popular.
Posted on 8/20/26 at 2:28 pm to KosmoCramer
quote:
They would.
If the best u22 players are playing, people will watch.
What makes you think that when we've already seen that viewers haven't turned in for all the minor league football organizations that have tried to do it in the last few years? AAF was dissolved after one season. XFL and USFL merged and still aren't in good shape.
If professional minor leagues would lure in viewers, why is college basketball extremely popular while practically nobody watches the NBA G-League?
Why do most SEC baseball programs average higher attendance per game than most minor league baseball teams? LSU averages about 50% more fans per game than the AAA teams with the best attendance numbers in the country. Even though most AAA teams are loaded with former college standouts and would win most series vs top NCAA teams.
Minor league sports are not going to get any big traction because fans don't have any emotional attachment to those teams. Fans do have attachments to colleges though and far more interest in college sports over pro minor leagues as a result.
Posted on 8/20/26 at 2:31 pm to BuckeyeGoon
quote:because its been understood that our college sports are those
No minor leagues in any sports have ever moved the needle in attendance/tv ratings
There would absolutely be an audience for a professional u22 league, or an officially licensed NFL minor league.
Posted on 8/20/26 at 2:31 pm to Tiger Prawn
quote:
What makes you think that when we've already seen that viewers haven't turned in for all the minor league football organizations that have tried to do it in the last few years? AAF was dissolved after one season. XFL and USFL merged and still aren't in good shape.
They didn't have the best players.
If they were required to play in the minor league for 3 years, that would be the case.
Posted on 8/20/26 at 2:38 pm to KosmoCramer
quote:
They didn't have the best players.
If they were required to play in the minor league for 3 years, that would be the case.
...and it would be largely ignored in favor of the major league product.
Posted on 8/20/26 at 2:38 pm to WestCoastAg
quote:
There would absolutely be an audience for a professional u22 league, or an officially licensed NFL minor league.
Sure there would be an audience but it wouldn't be anything close to what college football has. You arent getting 100,000 people into a stadium to watch what is basically an nfl combine scrimmage.
If you took the top 200 high school recruits each year out of the recruiting pool and put them into a minor league, and the college teams could get the leftovers, college football would annihilate the minor league in ratings.
Posted on 8/20/26 at 2:42 pm to KosmoCramer
quote:
Football is by far the most popular sport in the US. It would certainly be the most popular minor league, how much is up for debate.
If you think the Baton Rouge Riverboats vs Columbus Tree Nuts would draw even a fraction of interest that LSU vs OSU would draw, you’re in for a rude awakening
ETA - I do concede the fact that it MIGHT be a little different if the college football product that we know now (even more so from the early 2000s) didn’t exist at all
I still doubt that it would pack the same punch as NCAA football does now (or in the past)
This post was edited on 8/20/26 at 2:45 pm
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